Realized P&L
+$681
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
117
Trades
1,119
lifetime
Volume
$172.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-10 23:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Politics
87%
89%
+$520
Sports
11%
86%
+$135
Other
2%
73%
+$109
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$76
Crypto
0%
29%
-$6
Tech
0%
0%
-$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 19 | $14.3K | 7,592 | 7,592 | +0 | No | +$84 | 07-03 22:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 22 | $11.5K | 5,958 | 5,958 | +0 | Yes | +$79 | 04-07 23:55 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026 | 73 | $7.8K | 4,229 | 3,662 | +567 | No | +$70 | 02-06 00:26 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026 | 55 | $7.8K | 3,666 | 4,242 | -576 | No | +$48 | 02-24 23:01 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 39 | $6.9K | 3,238 | 3,650 | -412 | Yes | +$5 | 04-21 20:14 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 30 | $6.8K | 3,468 | 3,468 | +0 | Yes | +$12 | 04-16 19:15 |
| houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026 | 80 | $6.3K | 4,962 | 3,831 | +1,131 | Yes | -$180 | 04-04 20:42 |
| iran strike on israel by march 31 | 31 | $5.8K | 2,810 | 3,073 | -263 | Yes | +$44 | 02-28 20:01 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | 8 | $5.2K | 3,428 | 1,816 | +1,612 | Yes | +$9 | 04-16 19:57 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026 | 46 | $5.2K | 2,424 | 2,865 | -441 | No | +$27 | 02-08 00:50 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 10 | 10 | $5.1K | 2,980 | 2,153 | +827 | Yes | +$16 | 04-08 01:03 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026 | 18 | $4.3K | 2,578 | 1,722 | +856 | No | +$12 | 02-15 21:14 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 4 | $4.0K | 2,010 | 2,010 | +0 | No | +$6 | 04-22 06:31 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026 | 6 | $3.9K | 2,469 | 1,469 | +1,000 | Yes | +$6 | 03-02 12:34 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026 | 3 | $3.9K | 2,010 | 2,010 | +0 | No | +$4 | 04-22 20:40 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | 15 | $3.9K | 1,788 | 2,128 | -340 | Yes | +$30 | 04-10 12:38 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 14 | $3.8K | 1,980 | 1,980 | +0 | Yes | +$38 | 02-28 19:56 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026 | 27 | $3.4K | 1,601 | 1,812 | -211 | No | +$16 | 02-09 21:02 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 5 | $3.2K | 2,250 | 1,000 | +1,250 | No | +$51 | 04-30 18:30 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? | 13 | $3.0K | 1,230 | 1,805 | -575 | Yes | -$6 | 04-09 15:15 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026 | 35 | $2.9K | 2,097 | 843 | +1,254 | No | +$17 | 02-10 18:18 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026 | 29 | $2.8K | 1,769 | 1,024 | +745 | No | +$12 | 02-06 22:22 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 10 2026 | 21 | $2.7K | 1,766 | 972 | +794 | No | +$6 | 02-12 17:12 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026 | 7 | $2.5K | 1,688 | 800 | +888 | Yes | +$4 | 02-09 07:57 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? | 29 | $2.5K | 2,255 | 358 | +1,897 | No | +$23 | 04-13 06:54 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026? | 11 | $2.4K | 1,141 | 1,271 | -130 | No | +$27 | 05-02 04:37 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026 | 28 | $2.2K | 1,741 | 500 | +1,242 | No | +$10 | 02-28 22:02 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 9 | $2.1K | 1,150 | 1,150 | +0 | open | — | 05-17 19:58 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | 1 | $2.0K | 2,007 | 0 | +2,007 | Yes | +$4 | 04-08 17:57 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $2.0K | 1,017 | 1,017 | +0 | No | +$0 | 06-28 01:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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