Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

126 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$32

$214 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-02 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

79% 52% +$2

Politics

19% 60% +$7

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:51
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-08 01:22
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 23:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 15:17
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 18:10
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$2	09-18 01:06
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-09 13:09
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	09-15 23:58
wti closes above 97 on september 17 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-17 16:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$3	09-09 02:11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-12 17:33
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$1	09-11 02:29
spx up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Down	+$5	09-10 08:06
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	08-12 17:20
will abnb dip to 164 by september 7 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-09 23:00
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-15 07:30
will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-29 22:53
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-28 18:18
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-20 22:12
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-14 05:41
spy up or down on august 19 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$2	08-19 04:39
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 16:23
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-15 15:37
will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260830	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-23 03:13
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-14 22:19
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$2	08-13 01:22
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-21 07:16
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 07:25
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 00:55
will tsla reach 345 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-10 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:44:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x490a4b…
10-25 09:09:38	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xda8c5f…
10-23 16:47:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x260f0a…
10-23 08:17:02	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x670a03…
10-22 12:14:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x212f47…
10-18 11:21:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2fb8a5…
10-17 23:30:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdb1446…
10-17 14:07:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4cf406…
10-16 09:05:40	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3fdf32…
10-16 01:03:34	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x53dc4a…
10-15 16:41:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x300a55…
10-15 08:33:41	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbe645d…
10-15 00:22:56	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e988b…
10-14 21:22:03	will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc62156…
10-14 11:19:56	will googl reach 365 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e3903…
10-14 03:17:16	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x25bef0…
10-12 07:10:20	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x45f5eb…
10-12 07:10:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfc4afa…
10-11 23:10:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa9506b…
10-11 14:32:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x18aaab…
10-11 03:17:32	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb95ea7…
10-10 11:29:16	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x22f8c1…
10-09 19:19:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x433049…
10-09 09:25:12	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x96ac79…
10-08 23:55:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x77cf45…
10-08 08:06:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x82d002…
10-08 00:05:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfe0da1…
10-07 16:02:53	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x58a9ad…
10-07 04:28:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2b2f08…
10-06 20:24:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x46770a…
10-06 12:23:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x52922d…
10-06 04:21:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a1008…
10-05 17:35:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xeb6325…
10-05 00:31:44	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x244117…
10-02 07:35:59	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbe7c22…
10-01 12:26:03	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0e4f00…
10-01 04:05:54	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3d59fc…
09-30 10:10:32	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x114922…
09-30 10:07:48	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x814547…
09-30 00:26:23	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9e4f9f…
09-29 16:22:51	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x865f3b…
09-29 08:21:35	will trump say radical left during his remarks at the andrew w mellon auditorium september 29	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x602da8…
09-28 22:47:39	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6ad63a…
09-28 14:34:29	will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbec9a5…
09-28 05:40:18	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x246edc…
09-27 21:39:48	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd16489…
09-27 06:08:44	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1a7b28…
09-26 08:15:54	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe76178…
09-26 07:53:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd236da…
09-25 18:28:08	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc7b35f…
09-25 10:27:48	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd66211…
09-25 02:27:18	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3d577f…
09-24 15:31:14	Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x121b37…
09-24 15:21:42	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7fd038…
09-24 06:01:11	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6964c2…
09-23 09:59:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4bc86d…
09-23 00:27:02	spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfe7ec2…
09-21 23:18:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x50476d…
09-21 15:17:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x24b341…
09-21 07:16:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x02ed2b…
09-20 22:12:53	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3cd7f0…
09-19 11:01:47	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x708108…
09-19 00:51:37	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xaceb7f…
09-18 01:06:55	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1806ec…
09-17 16:33:39	wti closes above 97 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x2e1f3e…
09-16 16:01:12	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x42e5a9…
09-16 08:00:28	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x44f06f…
09-15 23:58:25	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x465c21…
09-15 15:37:06	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2434f0…
09-15 07:30:52	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc4059b…
09-14 22:19:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x561159…
09-14 14:03:40	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc11bf9…
09-14 05:41:51	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xd02699…
09-13 21:41:04	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xefa332…
09-12 17:33:30	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x58c46b…
09-11 02:29:36	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xa27de2…
09-10 18:10:34	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf1999f…
09-10 08:06:33	spx up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa1ac01…
09-09 23:00:58	will abnb dip to 164 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbbdbee…
09-09 13:09:12	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x9b9978…
09-09 02:11:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x6603cf…
09-08 16:23:58	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xee1389…
09-08 01:22:01	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x91cb7b…
09-07 14:25:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x2a6ce8…
09-03 00:55:33	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9f7991…
09-02 11:44:03	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x296bbc…
09-01 07:53:46	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x47641e…
08-30 23:52:06	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x52f24a…
08-30 07:25:22	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x343df5…
08-29 22:53:42	will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xc37521…
08-29 14:48:55	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xeef623…
08-29 03:48:04	will nflx dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x5118e8…
08-28 18:18:49	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x875d4f…
08-24 19:25:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x10325f…
08-24 10:16:13	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc15f9b…
08-24 02:09:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x210bf3…
08-23 03:13:43	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260830	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xaaf16a…
08-22 08:55:48	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xa4057e…
08-22 05:25:51	will nvidia say domestic during earnings call	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb54acd…
08-21 20:31:33	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x79ea55…