(anonymous) 0xb502c2…5330b9
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
14.5%
Resolved
59
Trades
153
lifetime
Volume
$20.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$2.40K
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-28 08:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
49% 33% -$1,915
Other
47% 21% -$1,204
Sports
4% 60% +$379
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +779 $500 66¢ $518 +$18 09-22 15:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +323 $200 68¢ $221 +$21 09-22 15:43
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +312 $200 68¢ $211 +$11 09-22 15:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +274 $200 70¢ $190 -$10 09-22 15:45
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +435 $100 40¢ $172 +$72 09-22 18:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +216 $100 65¢ $140 +$40 10-03 21:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +130 $100 98¢ $127 +$27 10-03 21:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +260 $100 43¢ $112 +$12 09-22 18:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +205 $100 54¢ $110 +$10 10-28 08:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +168 $100 64¢ $107 +$7 09-21 17:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +387 $91 27¢ $105 +$14 10-28 08:25
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +145 $100 72¢ $104 +$4 09-22 15:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +139 $100 74¢ $102 +$2 09-25 09:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +137 $100 72¢ $99 -$1 09-25 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +385 $100 12¢ $44 -$56 09-22 18:13
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +192 $100 18¢ $34 -$66 09-21 17:47