Grouchy-Giraffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$249

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-20 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

64% 20% -$38

Sports

35% 25% -$14

Crypto

1% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$16	155	155	+0	No	$0	05-20 21:45
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$16	127	127	+0	No	+$0	05-18 23:51
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$16	95	95	-0	No	$0	05-18 16:32
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	13	$14	156	156	+0	No	-$2	05-20 19:28
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$13	136	136	+0	No	+$1	05-20 01:57
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	13	$13	102	102	+0	No	+$0	05-20 19:28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	2	$10	38	38	+0	open	—	05-20 21:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-20 21:45
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$10	16	0	+16	Knicks	-$10	05-20 01:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	05-20 21:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	2	$9	38	38	+0	open	—	05-20 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	7	$9	56	56	+0	No	-$1	05-20 21:45
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$8	44	44	+0	No	$0	05-18 09:09
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$8	93	54	+39	No	-$2	05-18 20:37
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	10	$8	140	140	+0	No	-$3	05-18 16:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	2	$8	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 21:45
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	6	$6	105	105	+0	No	-$2	05-18 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on May 18?	6	$5	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-17 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 18?	5	$5	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-18 01:07
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$4	05-20 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?	5	$3	49	0	+49	No	-$3	05-17 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 18?	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-17 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 18?	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-18 00:45
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	5	$2	36	36	+0	No	-$2	05-20 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?	4	$2	36	0	+36	No	-$2	05-19 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?	4	$2	36	0	+36	No	-$2	05-20 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 21?	3	$2	33	33	+0	No	-$2	05-20 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 18?	2	$2	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-18 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?	5	$2	32	0	+32	No	-$2	05-17 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on May 19?	1	$2	40	0	+40	No	-$2	05-18 00:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:45:55	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x3e388e…
05-20 21:45:48	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0x14f858…
05-20 21:45:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x81256d…
05-20 21:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x57cd09…
05-20 21:45:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xc19f83…
05-20 21:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x4463b7…
05-20 21:44:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x5c61bf…
05-20 21:44:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x4ae848…
05-20 21:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x51653c…
05-20 21:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xb1d4de…
05-20 19:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x0025da…
05-20 19:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa22d9b…
05-20 19:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x6227b2…
05-20 19:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xa7a2fe…
05-20 19:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x3a3d5c…
05-20 19:28:23	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa07ed2…
05-20 19:28:15	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xace888…
05-20 17:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa54485…
05-20 16:26:48	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x801fcd…
05-20 16:23:53	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xeb74de…
05-20 16:01:36	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x68362e…
05-20 16:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x729348…
05-20 12:43:00	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd20af8…
05-20 10:35:34	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x11f49d…
05-20 10:35:29	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xb558f2…
05-20 01:57:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0xd09aa7…
05-20 01:50:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xef4e18…
05-20 01:50:31	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8ed329…
05-20 01:50:24	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x826946…
05-20 01:50:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe8c310…
05-20 01:50:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6dc248…
05-20 01:49:17	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1a29fe…
05-20 01:48:04	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xa6f304…
05-20 00:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xed8d3f…
05-19 22:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x7450e5…
05-19 22:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x90b2c7…
05-19 21:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf5a730…
05-19 20:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc45ce1…
05-19 19:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x642f8e…
05-19 19:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x286598…
05-19 19:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x213bf6…
05-19 19:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x959523…
05-19 19:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x203a8a…
05-19 19:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe33a81…
05-19 19:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x395637…
05-19 19:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x08905d…
05-19 19:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on May 20?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x5119d4…
05-19 19:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on May 20?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x151af1…
05-19 19:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd82b94…
05-19 19:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xc31b1d…
05-19 19:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x26ed69…
05-19 19:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7e6eab…
05-19 19:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x88f413…
05-19 18:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x28fdf9…
05-19 04:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x5a112e…
05-19 04:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe8721a…
05-19 04:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xc38afa…
05-19 04:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x36bec0…
05-18 23:51:16	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x827415…
05-18 20:47:12	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x12100a…
05-18 20:37:15	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x87939f…
05-18 20:37:13	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x16124e…
05-18 20:37:13	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x112bd2…
05-18 20:37:11	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xb7e01f…
05-18 16:33:35	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x453cfb…
05-18 16:33:32	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x84ee65…
05-18 16:32:22	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc407a8…
05-18 16:32:18	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x90ea24…
05-18 16:32:13	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0xdb6928…
05-18 16:32:10	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xdcd616…
05-18 16:32:06	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x184157…
05-18 16:30:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x62e599…
05-18 16:30:46	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xe378b9…
05-18 16:30:44	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xa23053…
05-18 16:30:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdb386b…
05-18 16:30:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8bb030…
05-18 16:30:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x64b923…
05-18 16:30:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x3baee3…
05-18 16:30:42	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x25b878…
05-18 16:29:25	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x5ac1c5…
05-18 16:29:18	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x263efa…
05-18 16:29:13	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$1	0x6c0765…
05-18 16:29:09	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xc80b0b…
05-18 16:29:04	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x0779c7…
05-18 16:28:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x56401b…
05-18 16:28:48	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x079283…
05-18 16:08:16	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x215c9a…
05-18 15:42:12	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x170b64…
05-18 15:38:52	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x1ae6d1…
05-18 15:37:44	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xfcad49…
05-18 15:37:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x052e44…
05-18 15:37:42	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x51adfc…
05-18 15:37:39	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xe36d48…
05-18 15:37:39	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x9c2fa6…
05-18 15:37:39	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x2d7bf0…
05-18 09:15:34	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0x056499…
05-18 09:14:54	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	47	8¢	$4	0x07530d…
05-18 09:12:00	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	58	6¢	$4	0x138eac…
05-18 09:11:10	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x348486…
05-18 09:10:54	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0x38f8e8…