Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$368

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

186

Trades

1,030

lifetime

Volume

$7.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$229

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-30 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

67% 31% -$517

Crypto

16% 48% +$451

Sports

7% 40% +$107

Politics

7% 36% -$336

Tech

3% 20% -$73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	+150	$138	97¢	$145	+$6	09-23 06:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+70	$35	55¢	$39	+$3	09-08 18:23
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+366	$42	6¢	$22	-$20	08-02 18:38
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$25	8¢	$8	-$18	09-07 02:26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+100	$16	6¢	$6	-$10	09-04 03:50
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+185	$9	3¢	$5	-$4	09-04 13:49
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+97	$15	4¢	$4	-$10	09-04 14:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	10	$473	309	309	+0	No	+$145	07-15 14:54
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$455	250	250	+0	No	+$5	01-14 14:49
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 31 2026?	2	$305	315	0	+315	Yes	+$10	09-02 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15?	12	$288	441	0	+441	Yes	-$288	07-15 22:27
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$250	200	200	+0	No	+$6	01-23 07:39
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	6	$245	170	170	+0	No	+$0	01-20 14:11
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$245	9,200	200	+9,000	Yes	+$155	07-08 09:59
meta up or down on july 9 2026	3	$221	240	240	+0	Up	+$187	07-09 16:17
will aapl reach 312 by august 3 2026	2	$215	120	120	+0	Yes	+$23	08-06 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?	6	$193	110	110	+0	No	+$26	07-15 14:13
will nvda reach 224 by august 3 2026	5	$158	200	0	+200	Yes	+$42	08-07 15:18
No one announced as next James Bond?	6	$141	200	200	+0	open	—	09-28 05:53
GTA VI released by November 30?	3	$138	150	0	+150	open	—	09-23 06:36
will pltr reach 129 by august 3 2026	3	$137	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	08-04 07:37
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	21	$136	466	100	+366	open	—	08-02 18:38
will trump say gay in june	10	$113	262	0	+262	No	-$113	06-28 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?	5	$104	128	0	+128	No	+$24	08-06 16:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	7	$101	126	0	+126	Yes	-$101	07-16 14:20
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	7	$97	100	100	+0	No	+$35	01-12 10:04
trump renames ai by september 30	5	$96	160	0	+160	Yes	-$96	09-29 05:37
will rklb reach 64 in august 2026	1	$92	100	0	+100	Yes	+$8	08-03 13:30
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by september 30 20260709004922353	6	$91	610	0	+610	No	-$91	07-31 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?	10	$88	60	60	+0	No	+$32	08-04 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?	7	$82	100	0	+100	Yes	-$82	08-05 12:29
will mu reach 990 by august 10 2026	4	$80	160	0	+160	No	-$80	08-14 13:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$76	400	0	+400	No	-$76	07-09 10:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$75	150	150	+0	Yes	+$25	07-15 14:33
will abnb reach 168 in august 2026	3	$73	90	0	+90	Yes	+$17	08-07 13:31
will trump say future president in august 20260728220215931	3	$71	100	100	+0	Yes	+$25	08-17 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?	3	$70	100	0	+100	Yes	-$70	08-06 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 14:02:23	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xf2bed1…
09-29 05:37:57	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb49d55…
09-28 11:50:23	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xdba00d…
09-28 11:31:32	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97a82e…
09-28 11:31:09	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa5db31…
09-28 05:53:12	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0xe94c12…
09-23 21:54:55	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0xba6988…
09-23 18:39:14	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xecd547…
09-23 13:57:31	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc38cfd…
09-23 13:57:31	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x9a0928…
09-23 13:57:31	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8ba2bc…
09-23 13:57:31	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$0	0x6ff2d9…
09-23 06:36:40	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb9a90b…
09-23 04:39:35	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xd2ca26…
09-23 03:36:17	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x688a06…
09-23 01:16:56	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x5d7f06…
09-23 01:16:53	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7e8ae4…
09-23 01:16:53	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x315970…
09-22 11:22:34	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xab751c…
09-21 23:51:03	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0xe189f9…
09-21 23:51:03	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5f9ae2…
09-21 23:51:03	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x34779c…
09-21 23:51:03	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0x2d9c3c…
09-19 11:54:41	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0x8c0b2b…
09-18 09:48:54	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xfd1bf5…
09-18 09:48:54	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xf102f6…
09-18 09:48:54	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x932ae6…
09-18 09:48:54	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x69cb21…
09-18 09:27:18	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	389	0¢	$1	0x18516f…
09-11 12:31:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x95d3c0…
09-11 03:33:22	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8ee244…
09-11 03:04:01	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x453034…
09-11 03:00:04	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xfd1df8…
09-10 20:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xba627d…
09-10 19:01:54	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa438c0…
09-10 11:59:18	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x87f68e…
09-10 09:12:40	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x57b4cb…
09-09 13:50:37	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xfbc481…
09-09 11:11:04	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	534	0¢	$2	0x7f435a…
09-09 10:17:51	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb1adb7…
09-09 10:17:51	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa007a1…
09-09 10:17:51	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x242ee8…
09-09 10:17:51	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x176caf…
09-09 10:17:49	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x50cb8e…
09-09 10:17:49	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f1029…
09-09 09:10:06	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2b6831…
09-09 08:32:21	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	324	0¢	$1	0xde5567…
09-09 01:56:43	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x671d4b…
09-09 01:41:51	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x09b04b…
09-08 23:44:18	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xee6052…
09-08 23:41:49	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xa47854…
09-08 23:41:49	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x921e9f…
09-08 23:36:55	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb92525…
09-08 23:07:33	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa8042e…
09-08 22:54:22	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x624b5b…
09-08 22:54:22	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5cfaf3…
09-08 22:50:55	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xab0d14…
09-08 22:28:19	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xafca4b…
09-08 21:15:51	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0c31c2…
09-08 21:15:49	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb86092…
09-08 21:15:49	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb68ed4…
09-08 21:15:49	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8558ba…
09-08 18:53:45	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	896	0¢	$2	0x2358d8…
09-08 18:23:07	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xa00fa3…
09-08 11:01:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x797c32…
09-08 00:36:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7e8778…
09-08 00:32:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x518af7…
09-07 15:40:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x0ad37c…
09-07 02:26:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$5	0xfd80ef…
09-07 02:24:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5f8aa7…
09-07 02:24:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x939336…
09-07 02:15:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x779dfc…
09-06 18:03:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa77cdf…
09-06 16:51:09	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x319fa6…
09-06 09:01:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xd9c219…
09-05 21:24:28	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xc2a152…
09-05 20:56:48	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x073a1c…
09-05 20:49:07	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x1e4855…
09-05 20:21:15	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xcb95a9…
09-05 19:49:54	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xd14e64…
09-05 18:26:45	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xc871df…
09-05 14:23:51	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xd3c0bc…
09-05 12:57:16	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x87d5c8…
09-05 12:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0xb55d88…
09-05 12:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xcd8523…
09-05 11:03:49	where will it rain on september 5 2026 los angeles ca	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xbe0fcf…
09-05 10:26:19	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x0f16d2…
09-05 10:15:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x1bc994…
09-05 09:05:42	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x39fa78…
09-05 09:02:34	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xeeb464…
09-05 08:40:37	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1cf218…
09-05 06:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x5caa2c…
09-05 06:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	472	0¢	$0	0x212a23…
09-05 05:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa3ba7e…
09-05 05:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x721158…
09-05 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfb272b…
09-05 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xeb295a…
09-05 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xb9c743…
09-05 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb771b6…
09-05 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xad3a5f…