Far-Off-Ectoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$142

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

384

Trades

758

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-11 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

90% 96% -$719

Politics

10% 33% -$475

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes		+62	$143	2¢	$1	-$142	09-11 13:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	48	$3.3K	5,220	4,672	+548	No	-$184	01-15 06:43
will paradex launch a token on march 5	24	$3.2K	2,043	2,035	+8	Yes	-$773	03-05 14:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$1.1K	950	950	+0	No	+$2	01-15 08:05
highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 65forbelow	1	$980	988	0	+988	No	+$8	03-14 12:56
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 2 2026 24c	2	$747	751	0	+751	No	+$4	04-02 12:45
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 30c	1	$731	735	0	+735	No	+$4	04-07 09:04
highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 17c	2	$659	660	0	+660	No	+$1	04-16 13:44
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 23corhigher	4	$650	653	0	+653	No	+$3	04-16 16:04
highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 14corbelow	1	$600	602	0	+602	No	+$2	04-13 04:42
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 6corbelow	4	$575	590	0	+590	No	+$15	03-29 03:06
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 26c	1	$495	496	0	+496	No	+$1	03-16 07:33
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 10c	1	$487	488	0	+488	No	+$0	04-13 15:25
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 6corbelow	1	$481	482	0	+482	No	+$0	04-12 15:25
highest temperature in lucknow on march 8 2026 38c	4	$405	410	0	+410	No	+$5	03-08 08:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 10?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	05-10 10:51
highest temperature in atlanta on march 9 2026 70 71f	3	$360	364	0	+364	No	+$3	03-09 14:12
highest temperature in lucknow on march 8 2026 35corbelow	12	$353	355	0	+355	Yes	+$2	03-08 09:11
highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 12corbelow	1	$333	333	0	+333	No	+$0	04-13 03:04
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 18c	2	$308	309	0	+309	No	+$0	04-19 01:29
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 12c	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-16 13:47
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 8corbelow	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	03-15 04:19
highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 25corhigher	1	$286	286	0	+286	No	+$1	04-23 14:45
highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	1	$280	285	0	+285	No	+$5	03-23 08:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 92 93f	1	$275	275	0	+275	No	+$1	04-17 15:37
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	1	$271	272	0	+272	Yes	+$1	01-28 12:42
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	3	$266	267	0	+267	No	+$1	03-06 16:26
highest temperature in chicago on march 7 2026 60forhigher	7	$265	280	0	+280	Yes	+$15	03-07 06:16
highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 33forbelow	1	$264	264	0	+264	No	+$1	03-18 15:33
highest temperature in lucknow on march 6 2026 36c	6	$262	265	0	+265	No	+$3	03-06 07:47
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 94 95f	1	$261	262	0	+262	No	+$1	04-17 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 13:00:07	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	435	8¢	$35	0x105600…
09-11 03:29:54	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	6¢	$6	0xa64912…
09-04 16:35:36	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x45b19e…
06-15 16:12:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x99968b…
06-15 16:10:43	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd08ff0…
06-15 16:10:31	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x896214…
06-15 16:03:07	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x77214d…
06-15 05:01:54	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc9b844…
06-14 17:57:42	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x6ac856…
06-14 17:18:01	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa47de2…
06-13 22:42:30	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x767535…
06-13 22:42:28	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xcc18ab…
06-13 22:25:52	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x608370…
06-13 22:24:24	Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x8d0c16…
06-13 22:11:06	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x187378…
06-13 21:57:31	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x927437…
06-13 16:55:57	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x091d74…
06-13 02:39:19	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xf3dd4b…
06-13 02:33:52	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x42288a…
06-13 02:27:39	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x04c84c…
06-08 10:38:46	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x341c2a…
06-01 13:21:50	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	118	24¢	$28	0x6132b4…
06-01 13:20:49	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xd9cc66…
05-30 16:46:40	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x852ed0…
05-25 13:38:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 26?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x458739…
05-24 04:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or below on May 24?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5fc0ff…
05-21 14:22:43	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xd62400…
05-21 02:58:45	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb968b5…
05-16 01:30:46	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x8d928b…
05-16 01:18:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd0be72…
05-16 00:49:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd1799c…
05-16 00:46:54	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbc7a1a…
05-15 16:12:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x727524…
05-15 11:13:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9cd3bb…
05-15 08:14:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x7a18ad…
05-15 08:10:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	99	86¢	$84	0xdd2713…
05-15 08:10:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x908e98…
05-15 08:09:04	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8f9691…
05-14 14:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbe8a74…
05-14 11:41:58	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x8613be…
05-13 15:52:04	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xed7e1a…
05-13 15:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xacd3a7…
05-13 00:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfc0b2b…
05-13 00:15:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x231dc4…
05-12 00:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf0206…
05-12 00:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x84e5b1…
05-12 00:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fffc3…
05-12 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdb0d60…
05-12 00:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd96701…
05-12 00:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xa93fd1…
05-11 11:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 11?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4c24fb…
05-11 11:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x42af6d…
05-11 09:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbed01b…
05-11 07:02:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x343304…
05-11 06:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c0986…
05-11 06:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6f6b65…
05-11 06:52:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0ccf17…
05-11 06:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xffe6ca…
05-11 06:51:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x9cb41e…
05-10 16:44:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x87ccff…
05-10 10:57:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x59904d…
05-10 10:52:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x624515…
05-10 10:51:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xc7f9d1…
05-10 10:45:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x928e32…
05-10 10:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2aef9c…
05-10 10:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 10?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0x155d09…
05-10 10:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x322138…
05-10 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xddf9ca…
05-10 03:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x44ae27…
05-10 01:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x5ba12d…
05-10 00:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbe33ba…
05-09 01:36:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x8a6010…
05-07 04:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75de10…
05-07 04:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f1810…
05-07 04:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x118033…
05-07 04:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1da33b…
05-07 04:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x153429…
05-07 03:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 7?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb25764…
05-06 18:59:11	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc40d46…
05-06 11:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc85b40…
05-06 11:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5a72ff…
05-06 07:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 6?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xd50818…
05-05 16:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc10441…
05-05 12:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xadf5d3…
05-05 12:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x0f79c4…
05-04 03:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xf17116…
05-04 01:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x80ac27…
05-04 01:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7828ce…
05-04 00:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xb8bc35…
05-04 00:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 4?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xa66c26…
05-04 00:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fd27c…
05-04 00:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x10300e…
05-02 14:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3d313e…
05-02 14:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x206757…
05-02 14:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x10c13d…
05-02 14:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x33a3f0…
05-02 14:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x2931ce…
05-02 14:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6b6af4…
05-02 14:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd2f56a…
04-30 18:38:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xd15deb…