Clueless-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 60% +$5

Other

39% 50% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	-11	$-0	99¢	$-11	$-11	05-13 07:39
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	5star	+5	$1	100¢	$5	+$4	05-13 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	+8	$1	6¢	$0	$-1	05-13 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$5	6	0	+6	Legacy	+$1	05-13 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	05-13 06:14
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$3	23	0	+23	Liquid	$-3	05-13 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	Down	+$5	05-13 02:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$2	400	0	+400	Yes	$-2	05-12 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Up	$-1	05-13 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-13 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 06:41
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-13 06:56
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$1	14	0	+14	Up	+$13	05-12 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-13 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$0	0	11	-11	open	—	05-13 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 07:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa9ee52…
05-13 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xf33ba8…
05-13 07:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x324143…
05-13 06:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6677f7…
05-13 06:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfcd9a9…
05-13 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfaa4b7…
05-13 06:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x06c5f8…
05-13 06:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x9cff01…
05-13 06:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8968f7…
05-13 06:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf74e4f…
05-13 06:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xebaff2…
05-13 06:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc24de…
05-13 06:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf06126…
05-13 06:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb15e3e…
05-13 06:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfdc60d…
05-13 06:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa7ac81…
05-13 03:51:19	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	M80	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x283656…
05-13 03:04:06	Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	5star	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xedae3d…
05-13 02:56:35	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	M80	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x257b6c…
05-13 02:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcbbc8a…
05-13 02:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3c08e4…
05-13 02:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb9f3f2…
05-13 01:06:42	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaf01f3…
05-12 08:37:38	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6ec7fd…
05-12 08:32:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xab392d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$2.69K	106	05-13 07:44
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$2.73K	32	05-13 07:36
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$673	67	05-13 07:21
(anonymous) 0x5bc3…7a59	8	$606	17	05-13 07:41
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	7	$1.17K	58	05-13 07:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$1.10K	45	05-13 07:21
Inferior-Fry 0x91aa…19b8	5	$1.78K	10	05-13 07:44
Hearty-Backup 0x5ff7…23c8	5	$1.36K	10	05-13 07:36