Clueless-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

706

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-01 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 44% +$18

Other

30% 57% +$12

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$121	119	119	+0	open	—	05-15 12:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	3	$90	185	185	+0	open	—	03-31 13:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	7	$76	484	467	+17	open	—	04-19 13:07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$74	141	141	+0	open	—	04-03 03:40
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	7	$55	44	44	+0	open	—	03-27 15:28
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$50	161	161	+0	open	—	05-15 10:26
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	2	$49	34	34	+0	open	—	03-31 09:35
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$45	39	39	+0	open	—	05-14 11:13
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	5	$37	225	145	+80	open	—	06-01 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$34	70	49	+21	open	—	05-14 13:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$33	61	61	+0	open	—	04-03 03:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$31	31	31	+0	open	—	03-29 11:02
ethereum above 2100 on march 27	7	$27	112	61	+50	open	—	03-27 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$25	19	19	+0	Down	+$13	05-14 04:35
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	3	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	03-26 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	11	$22	37	23	+14	Up	+$5	05-14 04:44
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	5	$20	106	86	+20	Up	+$26	05-12 15:42
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	3	$19	38	38	+0	open	—	03-30 15:18
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 60 79	15	$18	391	0	+391	open	—	03-29 18:00
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$18	139	139	+0	T1	+$10	05-13 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$17	60	60	+0	open	—	05-14 13:43
ethereum above 2300 on april 24	6	$17	121	0	+121	open	—	04-24 15:51
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	9	$17	86	86	+0	open	—	03-26 16:05
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	6	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$16	38	38	+0	Down	+$12	05-13 06:44
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	9	$15	48	0	+48	Liquid	$-15	05-13 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$14	17	14	+3	open	—	05-16 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$14	90	90	+0	open	—	05-14 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:46:42	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xbb260e…
06-01 16:37:25	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	145	3¢	$4	0x86ea8b…
06-01 15:04:04	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7817f0…
06-01 15:01:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x32a2f0…
06-01 15:00:13	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5e1611…
06-01 14:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcb15c8…
06-01 14:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x00f9ca…
06-01 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2f99a3…
06-01 14:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe24ac9…
06-01 14:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7d7cf3…
06-01 14:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa0db8b…
06-01 14:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2ac744…
06-01 14:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x783424…
06-01 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36b36a…
06-01 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5ef7c1…
06-01 14:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb803d2…
06-01 14:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe4e3bb…
06-01 14:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x9d71a9…
06-01 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1c0991…
06-01 12:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb8709c…
06-01 12:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x4d961a…
06-01 12:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa7b34…
06-01 12:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc08c00…
06-01 12:17:03	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x99ee06…
06-01 12:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6427ac…
06-01 11:46:01	Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Entropy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group B	Project 91	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7e07d6…
06-01 08:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x001c64…
06-01 08:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xced601…
06-01 08:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98a30e…
06-01 08:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa89c9f…
06-01 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x62cbe3…
06-01 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x64a8c5…
06-01 08:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc45c73…
06-01 08:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbc4736…
06-01 08:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x58362f…
06-01 08:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1ce73f…
06-01 08:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x44f27b…
06-01 08:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x83c848…
06-01 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x147ea1…
06-01 08:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x82fc47…
06-01 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc6014…
06-01 08:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x432678…
06-01 08:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3558ea…
06-01 08:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x65a0ea…
06-01 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe28f28…
06-01 07:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4bed4a…
06-01 07:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2849f2…
06-01 07:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb0b65…
06-01 07:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6d977b…
06-01 07:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd6dd88…
05-27 11:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x524d6a…
05-27 11:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe7831f…
05-27 11:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4fba42…
05-27 11:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfa29ab…
05-27 11:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb5c997…
05-27 11:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1eb41d…
05-27 11:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4c7e04…
05-27 11:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xa8a12b…
05-27 11:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9db503…
05-27 11:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x42c043…
05-27 11:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x05a3c8…
05-27 11:16:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xf8aaf9…
05-27 11:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc5f77d…
05-27 11:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x93d776…
05-27 11:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8e99e2…
05-27 11:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa70e68…
05-27 11:06:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3878c2…
05-27 11:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xad8934…
05-27 11:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb40cef…
05-27 11:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa86003…
05-27 10:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x469a53…
05-27 10:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb0fa74…
05-20 13:15:54	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4801cc…
05-20 13:14:37	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0b2b1c…
05-20 12:57:46	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd35dd7…
05-20 12:53:44	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15cbb5…
05-20 12:39:06	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe0ee0b…
05-19 23:05:26	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xad0e43…
05-16 12:26:13	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	358	0¢	$1	0xe2c14c…
05-16 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc184bf…
05-16 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa4e831…
05-16 12:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe70816…
05-16 12:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8e40c2…
05-16 12:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x84b2c5…
05-16 12:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf7439c…
05-16 12:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x1c1286…
05-16 12:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe3507d…
05-16 12:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa82a0f…
05-16 12:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x0ca562…
05-16 12:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xef9d88…
05-16 11:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6b23ac…
05-16 11:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x7eab3e…
05-16 11:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x24e9a0…
05-16 11:52:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x7a33d8…
05-15 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x151e82…
05-15 13:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd4ee63…
05-15 13:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x69a714…
05-15 13:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9cf400…
05-15 13:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5c272e…
05-15 13:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe6d047…