Misguided-Infiltration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-09 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

50% 11% $-32

Politics

36% 100% +$111

Crypto

11% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		+43	$10	32¢	$14	+$4	05-28 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	05-09 16:06
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$96	70	70	+0	open	—	05-31 16:11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$68	66	66	+0	open	—	04-01 01:10
mlb oak sea 2026 04 21 total 6pt5	3	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	04-22 04:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$41	32	32	+0	Yes	+$21	05-09 16:07
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$35	60	30	+29	open	—	05-19 03:36
mlb sd laa 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	4	$32	42	42	+0	open	—	04-19 03:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$30	81	0	+81	open	—	03-01 17:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$25	31	31	+0	open	—	04-21 23:29
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$25	28	28	+0	open	—	06-04 03:02
mlb sea sd 2026 04 16 total 7pt5	4	$24	50	30	+20	open	—	04-17 03:22
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	2	$24	40	39	+1	open	—	04-23 01:30
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-18 20:03
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	69	0	+69	open	—	04-15 15:24
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$20	118	0	+118	open	—	05-21 02:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-15 15:24
mlb sd col 2026 04 22 total 11pt5	2	$19	43	0	+43	open	—	04-23 00:49
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	2	$11	50	1	+49	open	—	04-28 04:35
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	2	$10	40	40	+0	open	—	05-31 03:43
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-01 03:13
mlb sd col 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 00:43
Will Trump say "Table" this week?	2	$10	272	0	+272	open	—	05-28 15:06
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	06-09 02:50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-24 00:49
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$10	31	0	+31	Los Angeles Dodgers	$-10	05-09 03:52
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$10	31	0	+31	Milwaukee Brewers	$-10	05-13 00:34
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$10	46	0	+46	Spurs	$-10	05-07 02:11
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-02 03:44
mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	06-03 23:55
mlb atl phi 2026 04 19 total 7pt5	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-20 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:50:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x210703…
06-04 03:10:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 199pt5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xad800b…
06-04 03:02:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x5d21f9…
06-04 02:29:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0fda3d…
06-04 02:29:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x32f360…
06-03 23:55:55	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	San Diego Padres	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x921867…
05-31 16:11:30	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd84131…
05-31 03:43:37	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x2fdce6…
05-28 15:06:41	Will Trump say "Table" this week?	No	BUY	267	4¢	$10	0xe68a01…
05-28 15:05:32	Will Trump say "Table" this week?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xed046e…
05-28 15:04:56	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1180af…
05-28 15:03:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb13b4e…
05-28 15:01:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xee8a6e…
05-22 01:41:29	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x07cbbc…
05-21 02:28:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x98ab1e…
05-20 02:47:25	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xae8354…
05-19 03:36:52	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xba2bd3…
05-19 02:56:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xd632fb…
05-19 02:23:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xdbadf5…
05-18 20:03:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0dac11…
05-16 02:49:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0x98d1d2…
05-14 02:54:03	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x41ae84…
05-13 00:34:36	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9500a4…
05-12 23:39:16	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x47643b…
05-12 23:30:33	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Colorado Rockies	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc163cb…
05-12 03:19:03	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x95ad1b…
05-09 16:07:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x37eb41…
05-09 16:06:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4266ec…
05-09 03:52:55	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x563949…
05-07 02:11:01	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x6e104e…
05-06 00:00:46	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x403d7f…
05-06 00:00:44	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5f2352…
05-06 00:00:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2d0c97…
05-05 02:18:36	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd9416a…
05-03 03:05:52	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x924446…
05-02 04:06:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x59c4ab…
05-02 04:05:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf19fc7…
05-02 03:44:46	Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe75716…
05-01 03:13:16	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Nuggets	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x85f670…
05-01 02:19:44	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x65278d…
04-30 03:45:32	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf5e300…
04-30 03:45:32	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x5a094e…
04-30 03:45:32	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x22b9f6…
04-30 03:41:46	Spread: Athletics (-4.5)	Athletics	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x11956e…
04-30 03:41:38	Spread: Athletics (-4.5)	Athletics	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x239cdf…
04-29 03:08:42	Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x259c31…
04-28 05:08:16	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xa795d4…
04-28 04:35:34	Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3bb304…
04-28 03:07:00	Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0c49dd…
04-28 02:03:48	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xe70b0c…
04-26 02:30:58	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x136b0f…
04-24 00:49:16	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x488ef5…
04-23 23:59:34	mlb min nym 2026 04 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd1da6e…
04-23 01:30:10	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	Minnesota Twins	SELL	39	37¢	$14	0xbc195e…
04-23 00:49:02	mlb sd col 2026 04 22 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x861f45…
04-23 00:48:58	mlb sd col 2026 04 22 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x14dbc9…
04-23 00:14:08	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	Minnesota Twins	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x38f6d0…
04-22 04:15:22	mlb oak sea 2026 04 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x153f6f…
04-22 03:46:44	mlb oak sea 2026 04 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x304e3b…
04-22 03:46:44	mlb oak sea 2026 04 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2c3b0a…
04-22 00:43:02	mlb sd col 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4b7a55…
04-21 23:29:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0x479353…
04-21 09:48:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa9c6c9…
04-21 09:36:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x9adb2b…
04-21 03:18:46	mlb tor laa 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf301f0…
04-21 03:18:44	mlb tor laa 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf172e5…
04-21 03:05:48	mlb tor laa 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x4d5f90…
04-21 03:04:54	mlb tor laa 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x7edf90…
04-21 03:04:40	mlb tor laa 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x8003f1…
04-21 02:44:44	mlb tor laa 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xc19e74…
04-21 00:09:30	mlb atl wsh 2026 04 20 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0404f8…
04-21 00:09:18	mlb atl wsh 2026 04 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xb4cb65…
04-20 00:28:08	mlb atl phi 2026 04 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd34e62…
04-20 00:24:26	mlb atl phi 2026 04 19 spread away 1pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x0d0783…
04-19 03:58:06	mlb sd laa 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	SELL	42	46¢	$19	0xaaee05…
04-19 03:23:48	mlb sd laa 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa7a84e…
04-19 03:23:14	mlb sd laa 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0xa7cb14…
04-19 03:20:18	mlb sd laa 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbc6e4e…
04-17 03:22:24	mlb sea sd 2026 04 16 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x225354…
04-17 02:55:02	mlb sea sd 2026 04 16 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xd798a1…
04-17 01:36:02	mlb sea sd 2026 04 16 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x1848c1…
04-17 01:36:00	mlb sea sd 2026 04 16 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x091019…
04-15 15:24:32	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x817896…
04-15 15:24:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x49dce7…
04-14 03:15:33	mlb tex oak 2026 04 13	Athletics	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3f8df0…
04-01 01:10:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	66	65¢	$43	0x0d5e42…
03-20 14:56:17	btc updown 5m 1774018500	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc8a556…
03-05 06:22:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xb8ac19…
03-05 06:21:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x212640…
03-02 07:16:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x9dbfcc…
03-01 17:47:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x720314…
03-01 17:47:09	epl ars che 2026 03 01 che	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x5e72cd…