Tense-Apparatus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes		-0	$-0	88¢	$-0	$-0	05-11 03:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$4	2	3	-1	Down	$-1	05-10 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	Down	+$4	05-10 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	-0	Up	$-0	05-10 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	+$1	05-11 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-10 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-11 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-11 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	+$1	05-11 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-11 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-11 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-11 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-10 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-10 20:16
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$0	0	0	-0	open	—	05-11 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4369c3…
05-11 05:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xba2b9c…
05-11 05:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc2b6bb…
05-11 04:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf06221…
05-11 04:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1de8ea…
05-11 04:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x37ac70…
05-11 04:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc0dd1e…
05-11 04:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x302be4…
05-11 04:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x7214b8…
05-11 04:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x095169…
05-11 04:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf1da29…
05-11 04:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x22bf31…
05-11 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3b9347…
05-11 04:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x524376…
05-11 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x28689d…
05-11 03:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x998556…
05-11 03:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c45cf…
05-11 03:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x69302b…
05-11 03:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8d3c3c…
05-11 03:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd06495…
05-11 03:28:27	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xf1804b…
05-11 02:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4cf886…
05-11 02:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc079a3…
05-11 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9e35fa…
05-11 02:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x22af87…
05-11 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f621a…
05-10 22:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x857bec…
05-10 20:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3a277f…
05-10 20:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x166e4f…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1a8524…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb17714…
05-10 19:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x432081…
05-10 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff872a…
05-10 19:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xea2e64…
05-10 19:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd0a005…
05-10 19:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1ccda3…
05-10 19:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3752f…
05-10 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xecd0c2…
05-10 19:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54eb16…
05-10 19:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x273444…
05-10 18:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x0a8723…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$3.99K	205	05-11 05:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$13.0K	245	05-11 05:38
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	23	$1.13K	282	05-11 05:54
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	23	$908	148	05-11 04:52
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	23	$617	76	05-11 05:54
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	21	$725	93	05-11 04:49
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	20	$2.32K	78	05-11 05:54
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	20	$1.62K	186	05-11 04:52