Woozy-Octagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

613

Trades

800

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-25 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Sports

26% 76% -$10

Crypto

25% 68% -$13

Tech

22% 71% +$25

Other

17% 51% -$11

Politics

10% 52% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+108	$70	38¢	$40	-$30	07-22 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$277	141	141	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 13:44
nba bkn mil 2026 04 10	4	$157	79	79	+0	Bucks	+$1	04-11 02:40
nba min hou 2026 04 10	2	$156	83	83	+0	Timberwolves	+$9	04-11 04:43
nba mem uta 2026 04 10	2	$154	78	78	+0	Jazz	+$0	04-11 02:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$146	106	106	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 04:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$143	14	138	-125	Yes	-$2	06-19 08:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	7	$100	117	0	+117	Yes	+$17	06-29 16:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$70	108	0	+108	open	—	07-22 09:20
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	7	$63	133	133	+0	No	-$23	07-21 16:01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$61	99	99	+0	Yes	+$20	06-19 03:12
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	5	$50	35	35	+0	No	+$2	04-10 10:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$48	125	125	+0	Yes	+$18	07-13 23:03
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$46	53	0	+53	No	+$7	04-14 14:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	05-27 01:24
bun wol ein 2026 04 11 ein	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 17:13
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$36	0	36	-36	Yes	-$1	06-14 13:18
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$31	35	0	+35	Pistons	-$29	05-02 00:29
US recession by end of 2026?	2	$27	136	136	+0	open	—	07-17 12:37
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 05:21
nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	5	$26	30	20	+10	Blue Jackets	-$3	04-12 01:07
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	2	$26	357	357	+0	No	-$14	06-29 12:00
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	4	$25	19	18	+0	Kings	+$12	04-11 04:44
lal rso ala 2026 04 11 rso	2	$25	28	0	+28	No	-$25	04-11 13:57
nba lac por 2026 04 10	3	$24	14	14	+0	Trail Blazers	+$4	04-11 04:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	07-16 05:34
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	4	$22	58	58	+0	No	-$8	07-08 10:46
atp alcaraz bublik 2026 04 10	4	$21	19	12	+8	Carlos Alcaraz	-$1	04-10 14:34
nhl cal sea 2026 04 11	2	$21	11	11	+0	Kraken	+$1	04-12 04:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:10 UTC	4	$20	23	0	+23	Down	-$20	08-06 14:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 15:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x28e673…
09-23 02:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x74ce78…
09-22 19:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdab171…
09-22 15:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4941a6…
09-22 01:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6c04c9…
09-22 00:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8d088e…
09-21 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcf8cb2…
09-21 10:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf648d5…
09-21 10:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x02377a…
09-21 00:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfe75bb…
09-20 13:25:09	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x4c2e9e…
09-18 09:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x515d35…
09-18 05:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x712bf7…
09-17 15:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf2a94e…
09-17 02:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2ed1cf…
09-17 00:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd89617…
09-16 18:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x10b755…
09-16 13:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaabd33…
09-16 08:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x366abc…
09-16 03:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x968e26…
09-15 20:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7010d1…
09-15 10:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x92449a…
09-13 22:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb1e0b1…
09-13 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe66d8e…
09-11 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa71bf8…
09-08 15:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x352a62…
09-08 08:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe40257…
09-08 06:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x28996a…
09-08 05:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4fe80c…
09-08 05:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x024714…
09-08 00:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd8c2a5…
09-07 14:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4859d3…
09-07 11:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xde3cde…
09-07 01:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x65f4cc…
09-04 01:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5bde56…
09-03 15:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x56e35f…
09-02 12:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf8ada6…
09-02 10:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd0c142…
09-02 00:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x29ee73…
09-01 08:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa9c7e4…
09-01 04:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x37381f…
09-01 01:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1c27cf…
08-31 01:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x109fc1…
08-29 01:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc549a8…
08-28 20:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc5dbad…
08-28 04:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9a8f78…
08-28 03:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcfa48b…
08-28 01:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x33b0f1…
08-28 00:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x219ab7…
08-28 00:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd9d1e2…
08-27 01:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe7eeb6…
08-27 01:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3b9b95…
08-26 14:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2298a6…
08-26 08:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7b31ad…
08-26 01:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa8f221…
08-26 00:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ccdd4…
08-25 23:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x39fe0d…
08-25 10:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2681e5…
08-25 09:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x31de36…
08-25 07:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9f4eff…
08-25 06:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa6b722…
08-25 03:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9e639d…
08-25 03:08:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe26f0e…
08-25 01:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd6c143…
08-25 00:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3f57be…
08-25 00:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc9b965…
08-24 14:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa83801…
08-24 14:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x81a517…
08-24 08:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x926035…
08-24 07:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x860ca3…
08-24 07:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3cc6e0…
08-24 05:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9ddeb5…
08-24 05:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3d3900…
08-24 05:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5aa05b…
08-24 05:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb730f1…
08-24 05:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x354599…
08-24 03:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x21547f…
08-24 03:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa49838…
08-24 03:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x268a29…
08-24 03:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x45c576…
08-24 03:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x57bda5…
08-24 02:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x46b8f9…
08-24 02:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2f1b90…
08-24 02:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbddcbd…
08-24 02:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x11bf7a…
08-24 01:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x950b91…
08-24 01:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x39b9ed…
08-24 01:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x220336…
08-24 00:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9f2296…
08-24 00:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x06d523…
08-24 00:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2e8983…
08-24 00:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6f6aad…
08-24 00:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe8f7f1…
08-24 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x422880…
08-23 23:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa98e44…
08-23 23:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc0e68e…
08-23 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x82a267…
08-23 22:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcc921b…
08-23 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4d833b…
08-23 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4f4428…