Menacing-Participation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

1,700

Trades

3,499

lifetime

Volume

$3.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 08-09 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% -$61

Other

0% 25% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	15	$41	43	41	+2	Down	-$7	05-27 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	14	$28	29	29	+0	Down	-$4	05-16 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	10	$22	25	23	+2	Down	-$2	05-06 07:14
bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	10	$21	27	27	+0	Down	+$6	06-25 18:24
bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	15	$19	28	19	+9	Up	-$1	06-26 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	11	$19	23	18	+5	Up	+$1	05-10 01:31
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	14	$18	24	20	+4	Up	-$2	06-27 15:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 00:00 UTC	5	$15	11	11	+0	Down	-$1	06-16 03:35
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	12	$14	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	06-29 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	10	$13	16	13	+3	Down	$0	05-16 10:08
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 04:00 UTC	10	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	06-17 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	10	$12	11	11	+0	Down	-$4	05-12 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	8	$12	9	9	+0	Up	$0	05-30 14:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 04:00 UTC	8	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 07:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC	10	$11	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	06-16 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2AM ET	8	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-29 07:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	5	$11	8	8	+0	Up	-$2	07-25 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	11	$11	11	9	+1	Up	$0	05-30 11:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 08:00 UTC	11	$10	12	11	+2	Up	$0	06-16 11:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 00:00 UTC	9	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	06-19 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 13:15 UTC	7	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	07-03 13:27
bitcoin up or down on june 28 2026	9	$10	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	06-28 11:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	7	$9	10	9	+1	Up	$0	06-17 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	6	$9	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	05-30 15:04
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 10pm et	6	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	07-15 03:03
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 12am et	10	$9	11	9	+2	Down	-$1	07-15 04:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 03:30 UTC	5	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	07-25 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-29 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$9	10	7	+2	Down	+$3	05-05 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 04:45 UTC	6	$9	7	6	+1	Up	$0	07-17 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 10:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe5f7c5…
08-09 09:55:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x28a734…
08-09 09:47:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9fc9be…
08-09 09:39:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa297de…
08-09 09:37:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x4d6cb0…
08-09 09:31:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x90e683…
08-09 09:22:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x551ae0…
08-09 09:05:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3dc1f1…
08-09 08:48:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaa7e47…
08-09 07:56:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xd87a5d…
08-09 07:45:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x498e35…
08-09 07:43:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8e9481…
08-09 07:36:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2c5980…
08-09 07:25:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xbd050a…
08-09 07:25:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x60fe04…
08-09 07:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf7adc9…
08-09 07:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb250e6…
08-09 07:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c86f5…
08-09 07:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbb4a94…
08-09 07:09:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1dd7cb…
08-09 06:55:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9a5690…
08-09 06:18:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6c99cb…
08-09 06:08:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x58ee98…
08-09 06:07:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x19b252…
08-09 06:05:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9b18df…
08-09 05:57:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8b692…
08-09 05:54:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x50164e…
08-09 05:52:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x04de4f…
08-09 05:47:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb6a893…
08-09 05:34:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x044d95…
08-09 05:33:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x016d49…
08-09 05:32:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x318fd9…
08-09 05:29:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x83a160…
08-09 05:28:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x014228…
08-09 05:19:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9d6a58…
08-09 05:14:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdac0c4…
08-09 05:09:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x20d005…
08-09 05:04:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8b5e9…
08-09 04:53:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa7999b…
08-09 04:36:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xed45b4…
08-09 04:21:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe349fb…
08-09 03:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x103bca…
08-09 03:34:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3818a9…
08-09 03:20:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb9b87e…
08-09 03:02:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb19d53…
08-09 02:49:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3b8fe2…
08-09 02:47:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x20f880…
08-09 02:46:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa7f4cc…
08-09 02:40:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x465655…
08-09 02:08:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe23579…
08-09 01:04:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6698bd…
08-09 00:48:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x438883…
08-09 00:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcb62d3…
08-09 00:19:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6d27a5…
08-09 00:14:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x3f5a18…
08-09 00:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x8b58da…
08-09 00:08:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x000de6…
08-09 00:07:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xf665eb…
08-09 00:04:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9d10d5…
08-08 23:49:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf9554…
08-08 23:34:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x23a814…
08-08 23:17:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfa4ee6…
08-08 23:06:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x71fd94…
08-05 12:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb63157…
08-05 11:59:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x52248b…
08-05 11:58:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x83886a…
08-05 11:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4436e5…
08-05 11:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xfaa5b8…
08-05 11:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x143f78…
08-05 11:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xecab0b…
08-05 11:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5df79e…
08-05 11:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x492632…
08-05 11:08:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5c8a39…
08-05 11:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd721ff…
08-05 11:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x6f698e…
08-05 11:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x24f7e7…
08-05 11:03:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xc56d59…
08-05 11:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x23cba7…
08-05 10:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x771aa2…
08-05 10:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc39cee…
08-05 10:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x7b6991…
08-05 10:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd4445b…
08-05 10:47:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x981698…
08-05 10:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x443c6d…
08-05 10:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf3b2d1…
08-05 10:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9e237d…
08-05 10:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x469e34…
08-05 10:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x551c64…
08-05 10:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x425bd3…
08-05 10:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb09370…
08-05 10:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb6eaab…
08-05 10:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x7d3be8…
08-05 10:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x70df4e…
08-05 10:12:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x5c3ab9…
08-05 10:09:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd945ae…
08-05 09:58:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe424a3…
08-05 09:42:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x584ade…
08-05 09:38:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6f0310…
08-05 09:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb66fd5…
08-05 09:21:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2b38f3…