Realized P&L
-$223
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
238
Trades
365
lifetime
Volume
$3.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$210
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 11-08 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Crypto
73% 54% -$211
Politics
15% 50% -$2
Other
11% 73% +$10
Sports
1% 50% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +126 $100 82¢ $104 +$5 11-06 15:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +42 $31 74¢ $31 +$1 11-06 18:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +92 $18 19¢ $18 +$0 11-06 14:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $17 17¢ $17 -$1 11-06 10:32
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +12 $10 98¢ $12 +$2 11-04 16:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $8 67¢ $8 +$0 11-06 03:38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 +$0 11-07 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 11-05 14:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 82¢ $3 +$1 10-28 06:28
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-06 03:15
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +4 $2 41¢ $2 $0 10-26 09:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $2 45¢ $2 $0 10-19 06:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7 $2 26¢ $2 $0 11-06 18:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $2 18¢ $1 $0 11-06 05:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-05 14:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-26 09:47