Quirky-Ostrich — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$327

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

6,956

Trades

26,982

lifetime

Volume

$410.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$80

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-27 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

68% 46% +$9,631

Sports

31% 46% -$9,044

Politics

1% 45% -$898

Crypto

1% 53% -$26

Tech

0% 83% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2622 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+1,883	$58	4¢	$80	+$22	10-22 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	1	$2.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	Over	+$3,630	07-15 06:36
nba hou mia 2026 02 28 spread away 3pt5	7	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Heat	+$375	03-01 00:25
atp taberne kumstat 2026 08 14	21	$1.7K	1,276	869	+407	Jan Kumstat	+$212	08-14 14:03
atp norrie minaur 2026 08 06	46	$1.7K	1,669	558	+1,111	Cameron Norrie	-$146	08-06 22:30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$1.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$0	06-13 21:53
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 total 216pt5	6	$1.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	-$1,484	04-20 14:43
nba min den 2026 04 20 total 233pt5	1	$1.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	+$1,344	04-21 01:38
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$1.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$170	06-22 23:53
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	7	$1.3K	1,049	457	+592	Celtics	-$471	04-12 23:33
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	33	$1.3K	2,600	0	+2,600	Knicks	+$1,326	05-04 18:22
wta kostyuk keys 2026 08 05	23	$1.2K	1,351	90	+1,260	Marta Kostyuk	+$15	08-06 22:04
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	25	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	Under	+$0	05-05 22:30
nba uta lal 2026 04 12 total 236pt5	7	$1.2K	779	769	+10	Over	+$347	04-13 02:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	42	$1.2K	2,061	705	+1,356	Yes	-$168	02-28 07:15
nba por sas 2026 04 19 spread home 11pt5	3	$1.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	Spurs	+$1,127	04-20 00:55
atp zandsch hurkacz 2026 08 07	42	$1.2K	1,511	74	+1,437	Botic van de Zandschulp	-$752	08-07 21:45
mlb pit mia 2026 08 11 total 6pt5	18	$1.1K	1,155	617	+539	Under	+$548	08-12 00:56
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	44	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,100	06-19 02:50
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$900	06-16 15:12
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	15	$1.1K	2,400	0	+2,400	Jordan	-$397	06-22 23:53
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	56	$1.1K	1,921	0	+1,921	Suns	+$823	04-18 01:52
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,065	07-15 13:12
nba phi bos 2026 04 21 spread home 13pt5	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	76ers	-$1,060	04-21 16:31
wta sakkari gauff 2026 08 06	15	$1.0K	1,388	365	+1,022	Coco Gauff	-$30	08-08 00:19
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	3	$1.0K	1,200	800	+400	Falcons	-$210	10-25 16:37
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	20	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Over	+$0	06-14 14:44
nba orl phi 2026 04 15 total 224pt5	4	$1.0K	684	675	+10	Under	+$319	04-16 02:16
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5	1	$1.0K	1,800	0	+1,800	Under	-$1,026	05-05 22:49
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	5	$1.0K	714	714	+0	Manchester United FC	+$401	08-30 17:22
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?	3	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$575	08-17 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:51:45	Will Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0xcf0ceb…
10-27 09:47:30	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x65dce5…
10-27 09:47:24	Spread: Kyoto Sanga FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United Jets	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd3d5ba…
10-27 09:45:29	Spread: Kyoto Sanga FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United Jets	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xf3b64b…
10-27 09:45:29	Spread: Kyoto Sanga FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United Jets	BUY	94	52¢	$49	0x851925…
10-27 09:44:47	Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	65	41¢	$27	0xef300e…
10-27 09:37:24	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x3270c4…
10-27 09:01:32	Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	71	41¢	$29	0xba4192…
10-27 08:28:09	Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	84	41¢	$34	0x4c51b9…
10-26 18:05:36	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Rockets	BUY	190	55¢	$105	0x6a3de7…
10-26 16:58:50	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Suns	BUY	130	52¢	$68	0xc9171b…
10-26 16:54:18	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xeb3bb6…
10-26 12:08:29	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x8acd56…
10-25 19:47:44	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Raptors	BUY	330	54¢	$178	0xda0e17…
10-25 19:22:14	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	320	54¢	$173	0x7ba414…
10-25 16:38:18	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xdc70c9…
10-25 16:37:09	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	SELL	800	52¢	$416	0xc8b82c…
10-25 16:36:24	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x511ee9…
10-25 16:31:15	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x6f8e19…
10-25 15:41:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x1a8336…
10-25 15:40:29	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xb8d39d…
10-25 15:23:35	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	794	2¢	$14	0x1748ba…
10-25 14:19:23	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	231	2¢	$4	0x71f101…
10-25 14:09:56	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x083c07…
10-25 13:41:45	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x95a5ae…
10-25 13:41:44	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$5	0xa366ca…
10-25 13:37:38	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	783	2¢	$14	0x9b072d…
10-25 13:36:26	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 1 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xd2389f…
10-22 22:28:06	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x76d5c7…
10-22 22:25:45	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x4af463…
10-22 19:42:48	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x072f8a…
10-22 17:35:21	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xfa111a…
10-22 13:30:32	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	150	26¢	$39	0x6c323a…
10-22 12:25:33	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	203	54¢	$109	0x31c350…
10-22 12:17:14	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	127	54¢	$69	0xbc0356…
10-22 12:15:38	Panathinaikos vs. Kosner Baskonia: O/U 171.5	Under	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x37765a…
10-22 12:15:17	Spread: BC Dubai (-3.5)	BC Dubai	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x8dbe23…
10-22 12:14:50	Spread: Anadolu Efes (-4.5)	Besiktas	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9e02c6…
10-22 12:07:54	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xe65fc4…
10-22 12:07:39	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xc84332…
10-22 09:02:38	Illawarra Hawks vs. Sydney Kings	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xa80b8a…
10-22 08:08:59	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xae1960…
10-22 07:01:17	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd5726d…
10-22 07:01:03	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x62777d…
10-22 06:52:24	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$2	0x64c15a…
10-22 06:52:18	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$1	0xb49eab…
10-22 06:27:55	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x1ea372…
10-22 06:08:56	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6b184d…
10-22 06:04:26	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x9ea8b2…
10-22 06:04:07	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfe0a45…
10-22 06:04:07	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$1	0xaffb5e…
10-22 06:04:07	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x41e476…
10-22 06:04:07	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x0a0644…
10-22 06:04:04	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	440	3¢	$15	0xceab47…
10-22 06:03:53	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xc35aa6…
10-22 05:45:40	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xae2546…
10-21 21:44:00	Spread: Wizards (-3.5)	Wizards	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xed5978…
10-21 21:23:51	Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5	Over	BUY	330	53¢	$175	0xf108c7…
10-21 21:01:18	Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	330	52¢	$172	0x7fd6b4…
10-21 21:01:00	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Lakers	BUY	360	51¢	$184	0xb5eee2…
10-21 21:00:02	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xb774a0…
10-21 18:50:27	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x375524…
10-21 18:50:11	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	400	5¢	$22	0xb8d9be…
10-21 18:46:32	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0x2c3c14…
10-21 18:46:09	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	345	5¢	$17	0xd9ce77…
10-21 18:37:18	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 1 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x3e3c1a…
10-21 18:36:47	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xd6d319…
10-21 18:36:09	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xe39e33…
10-21 18:27:11	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x9e534f…
10-21 17:56:27	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7c99e1…
10-21 17:56:23	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	229	3¢	$7	0x7891b0…
10-21 17:51:11	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc077aa…
10-21 17:51:09	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	526	3¢	$17	0x9d566d…
10-21 17:51:08	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x11d7c7…
10-21 17:29:53	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf88b53…
10-21 17:29:53	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	174	7¢	$12	0x2aeab6…
10-21 17:29:51	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	221	7¢	$15	0xee2623…
10-21 17:22:11	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb3d8ce…
10-21 17:22:11	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xacc36b…
10-21 17:22:11	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x79d15b…
10-21 17:22:08	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xc405d1…
10-21 16:44:30	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 2 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2b9fd2…
10-21 16:44:12	Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x75b705…
10-21 16:01:09	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xaf50bf…
10-21 15:41:47	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf205ef…
10-21 15:41:39	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xc21ddd…
10-21 15:41:29	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xf71aca…
10-21 15:40:05	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 2 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x9b98dc…
10-21 14:52:29	Exact Score: Como 1907 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x0e319e…
10-21 14:50:09	Exact Score: Como 1907 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	374	4¢	$15	0xa635ab…
10-21 14:12:53	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x2ad4a8…
10-21 12:31:06	Exact Score: Como 1907 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xb57fc9…
10-21 12:31:06	Exact Score: Como 1907 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9f6394…
10-21 11:50:29	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 2 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xf4718a…
10-21 11:49:27	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xfeb140…
10-21 11:49:18	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x516985…
10-21 11:49:03	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xa2d1f8…
10-21 10:39:44	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x738c6b…
10-21 10:39:36	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x8e1b27…
10-21 10:02:08	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xd34d92…