Quirky-Ostrich — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$109

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved (90d)

1,490

Trades (90d)

3,060

26,893 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$74.7K

$421.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$401

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-14 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Other

67% 45% +$8,954

Sports

31% 46% -$8,823

Politics

1% 45% -$898

Crypto

1% 53% -$26

Tech

0% 83% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	+200	$126	100¢	$200	+$74	11-14 08:17
Spread: Perth Wildcats (-4.5)	Illawarra Hawks	+200	$108	67¢	$134	+$26	11-14 08:12
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,883	$58	4¢	$67	+$9	10-22 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	1	$2.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	Over	+$3,630	07-15 06:36
nba hou mia 2026 02 28 spread away 3pt5	7	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Heat	+$375	03-01 00:25
atp taberne kumstat 2026 08 14	21	$1.7K	1,276	869	+407	Jan Kumstat	+$212	08-14 14:03
atp norrie minaur 2026 08 06	46	$1.7K	1,669	558	+1,111	Cameron Norrie	-$146	08-06 22:30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$1.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$0	06-13 21:53
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 total 216pt5	6	$1.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	-$1,484	04-20 14:43
nba min den 2026 04 20 total 233pt5	1	$1.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	+$1,344	04-21 01:38
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$1.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$170	06-22 23:53
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	7	$1.3K	1,049	457	+592	Celtics	-$471	04-12 23:33
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	33	$1.3K	2,600	0	+2,600	Knicks	+$1,326	05-04 18:22
wta kostyuk keys 2026 08 05	23	$1.2K	1,351	90	+1,260	Marta Kostyuk	+$15	08-06 22:04
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	25	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	Under	+$0	05-05 22:30
nba uta lal 2026 04 12 total 236pt5	7	$1.2K	779	769	+10	Over	+$347	04-13 02:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	42	$1.2K	2,061	705	+1,356	Yes	-$168	02-28 07:15
nba por sas 2026 04 19 spread home 11pt5	3	$1.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	Spurs	+$1,127	04-20 00:55
atp zandsch hurkacz 2026 08 07	42	$1.2K	1,511	74	+1,437	Botic van de Zandschulp	-$752	08-07 21:45
mlb pit mia 2026 08 11 total 6pt5	18	$1.1K	1,155	617	+539	Under	+$548	08-12 00:56
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	44	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,100	06-19 02:50
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$900	06-16 15:12
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	15	$1.1K	2,400	0	+2,400	Jordan	-$397	06-22 23:53
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	56	$1.1K	1,921	0	+1,921	Suns	+$823	04-18 01:52
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,065	07-15 13:12
nba phi bos 2026 04 21 spread home 13pt5	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	76ers	-$1,060	04-21 16:31
wta sakkari gauff 2026 08 06	15	$1.0K	1,388	365	+1,022	Coco Gauff	-$30	08-08 00:19
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	3	$1.0K	1,200	800	+400	Falcons	-$210	10-25 16:37
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	20	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Over	+$0	06-14 14:44
nba orl phi 2026 04 15 total 224pt5	4	$1.0K	684	675	+10	Under	+$319	04-16 02:16
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5	1	$1.0K	1,800	0	+1,800	Under	-$1,026	05-05 22:49
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	5	$1.0K	714	714	+0	Manchester United FC	+$401	08-30 17:22
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?	3	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$575	08-17 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 08:17:41	Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xf5242b…
11-14 08:12:34	Spread: Perth Wildcats (-4.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xebad7b…
11-14 00:54:40	Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)	Pelicans	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x21b102…
11-14 00:54:10	Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xcaf0d3…
11-14 00:53:48	Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	180	54¢	$97	0x7cdab2…
11-14 00:53:15	Hawks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0xf74e38…
11-14 00:52:31	Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0x554d9b…
11-14 00:52:00	Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)	Kings	BUY	250	55¢	$137	0xecbb7f…
11-14 00:51:22	Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x3b81c3…
11-13 21:59:00	Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	Knicks	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xb4a0db…
11-13 20:17:00	Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xaab983…
11-12 23:29:28	Spread: 76ers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xaddb37…
11-12 23:14:49	Spread: 76ers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	165	56¢	$92	0x15eac4…
11-12 23:13:57	Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xde9f77…
11-12 23:13:09	Spread: Pistons (-11.5)	Wizards	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x6f66e7…
11-12 19:33:09	Exact Score: Montenegro 2 - 0 Latvia?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x43fe3d…
11-12 18:46:19	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x930ff0…
11-12 18:46:19	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x73bc64…
11-12 18:46:18	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	168	8¢	$13	0x3184af…
11-12 18:27:12	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x45686a…
11-12 18:19:18	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9f6ce8…
11-12 17:30:58	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xcb9cc4…
11-12 14:51:01	Spread: 76ers (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	330	54¢	$178	0x1fc1cb…
11-12 14:49:25	Spread: Suns (-5.5)	Suns	BUY	330	54¢	$178	0x70c192…
11-12 14:49:04	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xa86309…
11-12 14:48:49	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	250	54¢	$135	0xe41b45…
11-12 14:37:18	Spread: Pistons (-9.5)	Pistons	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xe7a89a…
11-12 13:13:07	Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	BUY	180	57¢	$103	0x3bec28…
11-12 13:08:01	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xdfc1d4…
11-12 13:05:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x4fb7d1…
11-12 11:25:45	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 1 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x167afb…
11-12 11:18:24	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 1 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1b9b8f…
11-12 11:16:28	Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)	Montenegro	BUY	350	52¢	$182	0xfd7790…
11-12 11:00:48	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 1 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb04134…
11-12 11:00:46	Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 1 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xd2ac9e…
11-12 10:23:24	Exact Score: Montenegro 3 - 0 Latvia?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xdb277a…
11-12 09:55:33	Perth Wildcats vs. Tasmania JackJumpers	Perth Wildcats	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc10397…
11-12 09:28:46	Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United	Melbourne United	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x5b67a0…
11-12 09:28:45	Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United	Melbourne United	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9dae4d…
11-12 09:28:43	Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United	Melbourne United	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x0de441…
11-12 09:28:42	Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United	Melbourne United	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xfa2650…
11-12 09:25:40	Perth Wildcats vs. Tasmania JackJumpers	Perth Wildcats	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x1ec042…
11-11 19:23:34	Spread: Thunder (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x42b6cb…
11-11 19:22:46	Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xa67da5…
11-11 19:22:15	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x481137…
11-11 19:21:54	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0x88c705…
11-11 17:11:30	Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x2a5f5f…
11-10 14:28:13	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x433345…
11-10 11:25:04	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x8f40af…
11-10 10:28:36	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd98f6b…
11-10 09:44:16	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc89973…
11-10 09:16:21	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xdfa44c…
11-10 08:16:34	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x55c4c8…
11-10 06:39:18	nba mil nyk 2026 11 10 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xc72b91…
11-10 05:06:33	Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5	Over	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x22ee4f…
11-09 13:56:27	Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xb78797…
11-09 13:55:49	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x94eff3…
11-09 13:55:28	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Rockets	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x9e36c2…
11-09 12:30:40	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x5198a0…
11-08 22:27:21	Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)	Clippers	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0x7b462b…
11-08 22:26:58	Spread: Heat (-9.5)	Heat	BUY	230	52¢	$120	0x111293…
11-08 21:03:27	Texans vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	99	34¢	$34	0xc57dcb…
11-08 20:48:09	Texans vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x41e4c1…
11-08 20:48:01	Texans vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x8f79ab…
11-08 19:59:15	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x7d3cbf…
11-08 19:34:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x471841…
11-08 19:34:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0x729bc7…
11-08 19:24:40	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 2 Olympique de Marseille?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x9008e1…
11-08 19:24:30	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 1 Olympique de Marseille?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x61ea78…
11-08 17:39:37	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Colts	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x05f930…
11-08 17:39:07	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Colts	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x22a1f5…
11-08 17:38:51	Cowboys vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xb7d93f…
11-08 17:36:27	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Eagles	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xacc17f…
11-08 17:33:24	Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Under	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x22b3cc…
11-08 16:50:18	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x59da9a…
11-08 16:39:27	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 FC Schalke 04?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x525930…
11-08 15:58:28	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9f7481…
11-08 14:29:24	Giants vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x4acbc6…
11-08 14:19:43	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 1 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdb37b2…
11-08 14:18:22	Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x8f1294…
11-08 14:15:55	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x1afb7f…
11-08 14:14:12	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x447d58…
11-08 14:14:01	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xfd77b8…
11-08 14:08:51	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0xa1b2fb…
11-08 14:07:06	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x9e6871…
11-08 14:06:52	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0xe32dd0…
11-08 14:06:13	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	420	48¢	$202	0x377615…
11-08 14:04:52	Exact Score: AC Monza 2 - 3 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xe39e7c…
11-08 14:04:42	Exact Score: AC Monza 2 - 1 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x822884…
11-08 14:04:18	Exact Score: AC Monza 2 - 2 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x87aa43…
11-08 14:03:36	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 0 - 2 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x654d96…
11-08 14:03:10	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 0 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0xa9cecd…
11-08 14:02:51	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 0 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xd53268…
11-08 14:02:48	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 0 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x7739a1…
11-08 14:02:42	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 0 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x20467a…
11-08 14:02:37	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 0 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x5eb7be…
11-08 14:02:37	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 0 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x237fb4…
11-08 14:02:25	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 1 - 1 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x20a092…
11-08 14:01:58	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0x26b496…
11-08 14:01:36	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x44e878…