Quirky-Ostrich — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$110

Unrealized P&L

-$80

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

127

27,121 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.98K

$417.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$493

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-07 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

67% 46% +$9,498

Sports

31% 46% -$9,185

Politics

1% 45% -$898

Crypto

1% 53% -$26

Tech

0% 83% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1469 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	+400	$172	42¢	$170	-$2	11-07 14:19
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Under	+200	$100	50¢	$99	-$1	11-05 20:48
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	+200	$60	40¢	$79	+$19	11-07 14:22
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,883	$58	4¢	$69	+$11	10-22 08:08
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+140	$45	29¢	$40	-$5	11-07 14:22
Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	+800	$39	4¢	$34	-$5	11-07 13:31
Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+180	$99	1¢	$2	-$97	11-07 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	1	$2.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	Over	+$3,630	07-15 06:36
nba hou mia 2026 02 28 spread away 3pt5	7	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Heat	+$375	03-01 00:25
atp taberne kumstat 2026 08 14	21	$1.7K	1,276	869	+407	Jan Kumstat	+$212	08-14 14:03
atp norrie minaur 2026 08 06	46	$1.7K	1,669	558	+1,111	Cameron Norrie	-$146	08-06 22:30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$1.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$0	06-13 21:53
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 total 216pt5	6	$1.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	-$1,484	04-20 14:43
nba min den 2026 04 20 total 233pt5	1	$1.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Under	+$1,344	04-21 01:38
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$1.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$170	06-22 23:53
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	7	$1.3K	1,049	457	+592	Celtics	-$471	04-12 23:33
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	33	$1.3K	2,600	0	+2,600	Knicks	+$1,326	05-04 18:22
wta kostyuk keys 2026 08 05	23	$1.2K	1,351	90	+1,260	Marta Kostyuk	+$15	08-06 22:04
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	25	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	Under	+$0	05-05 22:30
nba uta lal 2026 04 12 total 236pt5	7	$1.2K	779	769	+10	Over	+$347	04-13 02:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	42	$1.2K	2,061	705	+1,356	Yes	-$168	02-28 07:15
nba por sas 2026 04 19 spread home 11pt5	3	$1.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	Spurs	+$1,127	04-20 00:55
atp zandsch hurkacz 2026 08 07	42	$1.2K	1,511	74	+1,437	Botic van de Zandschulp	-$752	08-07 21:45
mlb pit mia 2026 08 11 total 6pt5	18	$1.1K	1,155	617	+539	Under	+$548	08-12 00:56
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	44	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,100	06-19 02:50
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$900	06-16 15:12
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	15	$1.1K	2,400	0	+2,400	Jordan	-$397	06-22 23:53
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	56	$1.1K	1,921	0	+1,921	Suns	+$823	04-18 01:52
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$1,065	07-15 13:12
nba phi bos 2026 04 21 spread home 13pt5	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	76ers	-$1,060	04-21 16:31
wta sakkari gauff 2026 08 06	15	$1.0K	1,388	365	+1,022	Coco Gauff	-$30	08-08 00:19
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	3	$1.0K	1,200	800	+400	Falcons	-$210	10-25 16:37
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	20	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Over	+$0	06-14 14:44
nba orl phi 2026 04 15 total 224pt5	4	$1.0K	684	675	+10	Under	+$319	04-16 02:16
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5	1	$1.0K	1,800	0	+1,800	Under	-$1,026	05-05 22:49
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	5	$1.0K	714	714	+0	Manchester United FC	+$401	08-30 17:22
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?	3	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$575	08-17 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 14:22:19	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	140	32¢	$45	0xb65882…
11-07 14:22:06	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x0023bc…
11-07 14:19:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x3b5189…
11-07 13:40:09	Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0xd828cc…
11-07 13:38:55	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x85cbab…
11-07 13:31:10	Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x3d4692…
11-07 13:20:16	Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x188f7c…
11-07 13:10:42	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xae36a3…
11-07 13:05:15	Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	296	5¢	$15	0x3ac43b…
11-07 12:49:28	Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	307	5¢	$15	0x50fc7c…
11-07 11:54:10	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xd56b10…
11-07 11:19:37	Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 2 - 2 Frosinone Calcio?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xa2e0cb…
11-07 11:06:22	Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xcd3268…
11-07 07:22:15	Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x141e34…
11-07 06:42:01	Melbourne United vs. Brisbane Bullets: O/U 193.5	Over	BUY	190	55¢	$105	0x202893…
11-07 06:38:34	Spread: Adelaide 36ers (-6.5)	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xfd3ac6…
11-07 06:38:06	Spread: Adelaide 36ers (-6.5)	Adelaide 36ers	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x16c14c…
11-07 04:55:52	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x4926bb…
11-07 04:52:37	Will Sagan Tosu vs. Kataller Toyama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x252208…
11-07 04:52:30	Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x71891e…
11-07 04:49:30	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	270	46¢	$124	0x55589d…
11-07 01:25:45	Raptors vs. Bucks	Raptors	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x20047e…
11-07 01:16:15	Raptors vs. Bucks	Raptors	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x49753f…
11-07 01:04:16	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xf2ab00…
11-07 00:39:42	Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xefb92a…
11-06 23:58:30	Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5	Under	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x930e9c…
11-06 23:53:06	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xb491a3…
11-06 23:46:34	Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xdbcb5c…
11-06 23:46:22	Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x7e64a7…
11-06 17:45:21	Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)	Jazz	BUY	260	54¢	$140	0x33bef2…
11-06 14:49:48	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	202	51¢	$103	0x329779…
11-06 14:13:01	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x852d55…
11-06 14:12:51	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xfb2268…
11-06 13:43:28	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeee5b6…
11-06 13:43:28	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6b83df…
11-06 13:21:30	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	220	58¢	$128	0xef0f2d…
11-06 13:18:33	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	230	51¢	$117	0x029352…
11-05 21:24:36	Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)	Ravens	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xe1f090…
11-05 20:50:33	Spread: Warriors (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	175	52¢	$91	0x2a7666…
11-05 20:49:00	Spread: Warriors (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x09b1c5…
11-05 20:48:01	Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xed51fa…
11-05 19:24:29	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x71eba5…
11-05 18:39:24	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x370d92…
11-05 18:35:10	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0x41ccca…
11-05 18:30:52	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	115	10¢	$12	0x382be7…
11-05 18:30:49	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	191	10¢	$19	0x698776…
11-05 18:29:43	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0xd7fe19…
11-05 17:41:27	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x59ca9b…
11-05 17:41:06	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 1 RU Saint-Gilloise?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x055cbc…
11-05 17:40:45	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 RU Saint-Gilloise?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xefb55d…
11-05 17:40:22	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x93a3e1…
11-05 17:40:15	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x86520f…
11-05 17:35:33	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x6ab5b9…
11-05 17:35:25	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xe7acfa…
11-05 17:35:13	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	180	57¢	$103	0x10db09…
11-05 07:59:43	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x34120b…
11-05 07:59:42	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	67	50¢	$33	0xce35c4…
11-05 07:59:42	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4714c2…
11-05 07:59:42	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2cfae8…
11-05 07:59:40	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd519b…
11-05 07:59:40	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5af710…
11-05 07:57:57	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc8e074…
11-05 07:57:55	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xc2d76d…
11-05 07:57:55	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa72983…
11-05 07:57:55	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1578e1…
11-05 07:57:54	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1bb3e3…
11-05 07:57:54	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Machida Zelvia	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x143a37…
11-04 22:31:46	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	280	52¢	$146	0x16378d…
11-04 22:18:45	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x765cdb…
11-04 20:30:40	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xa341a6…
11-04 20:26:28	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x7725ea…
11-04 20:21:03	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xfe6a56…
11-04 20:19:51	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x29d6f7…
11-04 17:23:42	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xac6d2e…
11-04 17:15:00	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x4ed2c2…
11-04 14:39:09	Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xc35e6f…
11-04 13:33:19	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xe82855…
11-04 13:19:15	Spread: Pistons (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xc87ae1…
11-04 13:06:22	Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	180	52¢	$94	0x612da0…
11-04 13:06:22	Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4a4b17…
11-04 12:39:27	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xea2620…
11-04 10:50:54	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xa657b7…
11-03 18:58:37	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	266	17¢	$45	0x88db84…
11-03 18:58:37	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x101b50…
11-03 18:23:31	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x098f73…
11-03 18:22:45	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6d15ec…
11-03 18:22:39	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x5d8660…
11-03 18:22:31	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x5c579f…
11-03 18:21:15	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x20f222…
11-03 18:16:15	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0x539048…
11-03 18:16:04	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0x981645…
11-03 18:15:54	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x36aa1c…
11-03 18:14:58	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 4 AS Roma?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0xdb0955…
11-03 18:14:19	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x24a2b0…
11-03 18:13:48	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$16	0x10b378…
11-03 18:13:13	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 3 AS Roma?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xd4f064…
11-03 18:12:54	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 3 AS Roma?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0x57df9b…
11-03 18:11:37	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x84fbfb…
11-03 16:45:16	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	230	45¢	$104	0x61f84d…
11-03 16:25:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xedb2d8…