Big-Hearted-Circulation-Listening — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$854

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

438 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.90K

$41.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$624

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-29 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

87% 70% -$1,478

Sports

8% 62% +$390

Politics

4% 33% -$155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+705	$550	88¢	$624	+$74	10-29 02:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl kau din 2026 08 11 team to advance	1	$1.9K	1,878	0	+1,878	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	+$8	08-11 18:19
wta maneiro potapov 2026 06 29	2	$1.8K	952	952	+0	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	-$62	06-29 19:28
col rap pai 2026 08 12 team to advance	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	SK Rapid Wien	+$32	08-12 16:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.6K	1,467	1,467	+0	No	+$411	08-21 14:50
Fed rate hike in 2026?	11	$1.4K	1,924	1,924	+0	Yes	-$496	09-11 14:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$1.3K	868	868	+0	Yes	-$26	07-29 15:53
atp gaston cina 2026 06 24	1	$1.2K	1,273	0	+1,273	Hugo Gaston	+$25	06-24 15:15
wta mandlik charaev 2026 06 23	2	$1.2K	1,248	0	+1,248	Alina Charaeva	+$12	06-23 16:06
wta gorgodz valdman 2026 06 23	2	$1.2K	1,235	0	+1,235	Ekaterine Gorgodze	+$12	06-23 15:03
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	1	$1.2K	1,224	0	+1,224	Yes	+$1	06-21 16:25
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.2K	1,381	0	+1,381	Yes	+$162	09-18 02:39
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Yes	+$1	06-25 00:02
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	10	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	Yes	+$1	05-30 18:26
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	44	$1.0K	4,773	3,713	+1,060	No	+$35	07-09 03:44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$949	950	0	+950	Yes	+$1	06-17 02:42
wta mcnally ruzic 2026 06 16	1	$948	949	0	+949	Caty McNally	+$2	06-16 15:04
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	1	$904	905	0	+905	Yes	+$1	05-10 14:01
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	1	$902	903	0	+903	Lakers	+$1	05-10 02:48
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	5	$895	1,032	0	+1,032	Yes	+$137	07-14 13:16
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$878	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$46	06-05 01:06
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	14	$867	1,203	1,203	+0	No	-$313	08-21 13:09
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	1	$827	828	0	+828	Yes	+$1	06-14 18:18
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$826	827	0	+827	Yes	+$1	06-11 21:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	4	$750	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$50	10-21 14:12
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	1	$749	751	0	+751	Jannik Sinner	+$2	05-26 20:28
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin	1	$748	749	0	+749	Casper Ruud	+$1	05-25 17:27
Roland Garros WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Elena Rybakina	1	$669	670	0	+670	Elena Rybakina	+$1	05-25 14:08
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro	1	$669	670	0	+670	Emma Navarro	+$1	05-23 15:40
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	33	$645	942	942	+0	No	-$423	07-17 16:59
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	5	$620	2,557	0	+2,557	No	-$620	07-09 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:50:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	78¢	$217	0xab0fe8…
10-29 02:50:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0xbf4ad0…
10-29 02:50:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0x98fd1b…
10-29 02:50:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x795212…
10-29 02:50:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x26eecd…
10-29 02:50:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xea4bab…
10-29 02:50:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xfff2ea…
10-29 02:15:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x227ba0…
10-29 02:14:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	78¢	$59	0x33e16c…
10-21 14:12:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	266	14¢	$37	0x0eb29f…
10-21 13:26:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x9d2cb4…
10-21 13:02:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	2,194	14¢	$307	0x5ee4b9…
10-19 19:54:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2,500	16¢	$400	0x702a43…
10-17 04:07:57	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x82ea6f…
10-14 17:04:58	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	225	19¢	$43	0xf493f0…
10-13 03:12:03	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	397	25¢	$99	0x4e19ff…
10-12 21:32:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0xb59bde…
10-12 21:02:44	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0xd8fa99…
10-12 17:02:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x3c16d7…
10-12 17:02:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	591	32¢	$189	0xff7752…
10-12 17:02:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x725794…
10-12 13:10:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xfc3ff2…
10-12 07:27:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xba0daf…
10-12 07:27:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x2de466…
10-12 07:27:17	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	543	32¢	$174	0xba77c4…
10-12 07:27:17	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0x92e5a2…
10-09 13:15:43	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	772	15¢	$116	0x2c9628…
10-08 21:46:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	2,156	7¢	$151	0x849053…
09-18 02:39:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xa14614…
09-17 17:15:33	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	410	64¢	$262	0xa630a6…
09-17 17:15:16	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xa2e725…
09-11 19:25:31	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,057	5¢	$48	0x808e20…
09-11 15:43:10	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xd8d7ef…
09-11 15:14:48	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x90f314…
09-11 14:19:45	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4c986b…
09-11 14:18:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,375	13¢	$179	0x5b79c4…
09-04 14:38:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,044	0¢	$5	0xe06a7d…
09-04 02:21:15	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0xc353a5…
09-03 22:07:24	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	487	1¢	$3	0x8c0f27…
09-03 06:14:52	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xbe8f43…
09-02 21:34:51	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x716c31…
09-02 21:32:03	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xf37fb6…
09-02 21:25:33	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x82ba77…
09-02 21:24:28	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xdafe95…
09-02 21:20:54	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xb02330…
09-02 21:14:55	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xc242e8…
09-02 20:29:27	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x0206db…
09-02 20:13:54	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe87dea…
09-02 20:13:52	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x5cbfe4…
09-02 20:13:51	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xfa9be8…
09-02 20:13:51	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xec8b76…
09-02 20:13:51	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	1,594	26¢	$414	0xbbe0ce…
09-02 20:13:51	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x7b64f5…
08-21 15:34:25	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	844	86¢	$726	0xff19e5…
08-21 15:31:39	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,120	10¢	$112	0xa77d89…
08-21 15:03:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27,999	0¢	$112	0xe48c6c…
08-21 14:50:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,467	67¢	$983	0x3e5082…
08-21 13:31:39	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	307	86¢	$264	0x09ff6c…
08-21 13:09:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,203	23¢	$277	0x2f4c17…
08-14 22:38:15	uel ki lep 2026 08 13 team to advance	KKS Lech Poznań	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xb7caf5…
08-14 22:19:33	uel ki lep 2026 08 13 team to advance	KKS Lech Poznań	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dcf5e…
08-14 19:36:37	uel ki lep 2026 08 13 team to advance	KKS Lech Poznań	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf180d5…
08-13 15:02:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x92ff62…
08-12 22:34:58	col tro clu 2026 08 13 team to advance	Tromsø IL	BUY	176	98¢	$173	0xa59ef9…
08-12 16:28:18	col rap pai 2026 08 12 team to advance	SK Rapid Wien	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,470	0xba5cd3…
08-12 16:14:55	col rap pai 2026 08 12 team to advance	SK Rapid Wien	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x833b03…
08-11 23:49:22	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x8152e6…
08-11 23:12:51	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xce2c6f…
08-11 23:12:49	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xddd1f7…
08-11 23:12:49	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0xac4fca…
08-11 23:12:49	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x6509f7…
08-11 23:09:24	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa90360…
08-11 23:09:21	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcc9c25…
08-11 23:06:07	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x46c93c…
08-11 23:06:06	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf59823…
08-11 23:06:04	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa27c94…
08-11 23:05:31	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x8efb7f…
08-11 23:05:30	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x0fe9a2…
08-11 23:05:16	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x56b43e…
08-11 23:05:16	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5153f5…
08-11 23:02:24	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb7ae43…
08-11 22:58:45	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf228bd…
08-11 22:57:45	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa589d8…
08-11 22:57:37	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xa63ce7…
08-11 22:57:37	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	96	15¢	$14	0x692155…
08-11 22:57:37	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x51f7fc…
08-11 22:57:18	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2d1344…
08-11 22:53:06	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x87a455…
08-11 22:52:36	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x919881…
08-11 22:48:46	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd2409e…
08-11 22:41:33	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x8fb080…
08-11 22:37:36	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x201647…
08-11 22:19:09	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x2c3df7…
08-11 22:17:07	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xa07559…
08-11 22:17:06	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x94cd3c…
08-11 22:17:06	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0x33ada6…
08-11 21:54:25	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd643d1…
08-11 21:54:25	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	228	15¢	$34	0x24aa68…
08-11 21:53:16	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x004c92…
08-11 21:53:15	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc7a274…