Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$243

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

827

Trades

1,726

lifetime

Volume

$7.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$259

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 69% +$12

Politics

6% 67% +$231

Other

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+408	$140	41¢	$167	+$27	10-26 14:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+324	$120	28¢	$89	-$31	10-11 07:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-39	-$4	6¢	$-2	+$2	06-14 17:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$148	423	15	+408	open	—	10-26 14:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$120	324	0	+324	open	—	10-11 07:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$100	217	0	+217	Yes	+$117	01-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	11	$99	59	59	+0	Up	+$9	10-15 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:55 UTC	9	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	10-15 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	10	$78	44	38	+5	Down	+$3	10-20 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	8	$66	42	42	+0	Up	+$7	10-15 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	9	$61	41	33	+8	Down	+$4	10-19 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$56	32	32	+0	Down	+$6	09-11 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$55	31	29	+2	Down	+$2	10-21 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC	7	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	10-17 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	8	$51	35	35	+0	Down	+$5	10-16 15:59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$50	172	0	+172	Yes	+$122	01-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	11	$50	39	37	+2	Down	+$16	09-15 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:10 UTC	11	$48	38	38	+0	Up	+$8	09-25 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:20 UTC	4	$48	68	49	+19	Down	+$8	04-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	9	$47	37	37	+0	Up	-$9	10-21 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	10	$47	59	19	+40	Down	+$0	10-19 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	11	$46	32	32	+0	Up	+$6	09-24 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	9	$45	47	0	+47	Up	+$2	10-20 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$43	71	43	+28	Up	-$21	09-11 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$43	28	28	+0	Up	+$13	10-20 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	8	$38	28	28	+0	Down	+$6	09-11 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$38	105	105	+0	Down	+$27	10-15 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:15 UTC	6	$38	77	21	+57	Up	-$5	10-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	9	$37	63	23	+40	Up	-$7	10-20 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	6	$37	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	10-16 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$37	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	09-11 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:55 UTC	7	$37	39	33	+6	Down	+$0	09-17 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	6	$35	28	28	+0	Down	+$11	10-14 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:09:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xbbd6a0…
10-26 14:52:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x6001fb…
10-25 14:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x38535b…
10-25 14:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x1febdc…
10-25 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab9f48…
10-25 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2c6e60…
10-25 14:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x980bee…
10-25 14:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3c0180…
10-25 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x95fa02…
10-25 06:01:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8deb89…
10-24 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x21a3a9…
10-24 15:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xae5787…
10-24 15:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xccc58f…
10-24 15:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x1b9530…
10-24 15:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x4b0900…
10-24 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x25e333…
10-24 14:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x5b5819…
10-24 14:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd64271…
10-24 14:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x0f87e6…
10-24 14:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf9d238…
10-24 14:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x39cd32…
10-24 14:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x138402…
10-24 14:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x078031…
10-24 14:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xaabbbd…
10-24 14:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x08b535…
10-24 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xfddec6…
10-22 14:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xdbefef…
10-22 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x296ff2…
10-22 14:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x26e7ea…
10-22 14:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x35bf89…
10-22 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x25ff5f…
10-22 13:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbb9996…
10-22 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x506e6a…
10-22 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd3a72c…
10-22 13:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x9d1a35…
10-22 13:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xad4ca9…
10-22 13:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfe8170…
10-22 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xef44ae…
10-22 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf73405…
10-22 13:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0da41d…
10-22 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xeba53d…
10-22 13:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x97e9ce…
10-22 13:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0xe7cca3…
10-22 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdcf9d2…
10-22 13:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0x0a982e…
10-22 13:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2d658c…
10-22 13:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7fdfe0…
10-22 13:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x361f32…
10-22 13:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x47d420…
10-22 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xefb6bb…
10-22 13:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2e46e3…
10-22 13:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x049658…
10-22 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf15ef1…
10-22 13:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xb56e78…
10-22 13:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x689f0f…
10-22 13:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x74ea19…
10-22 13:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xb6150b…
10-22 13:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1f8134…
10-22 13:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x17f720…
10-22 13:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa5f645…
10-22 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcfcbab…
10-22 13:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x3fa837…
10-22 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcc916f…
10-22 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x8cf87f…
10-22 12:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1b6852…
10-22 12:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5c0d6c…
10-22 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x44a9bb…
10-22 12:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x32820f…
10-22 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x96036f…
10-22 12:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8091a1…
10-21 19:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x29423e…
10-21 19:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbd5f81…
10-21 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe0c100…
10-21 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5c3fd9…
10-21 19:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xfba294…
10-21 19:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x121f44…
10-21 19:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5ff642…
10-21 19:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdf9dfd…
10-21 19:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd86e1d…
10-21 18:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x384758…
10-21 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc6c333…
10-21 18:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xb96c15…
10-21 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa04609…
10-21 18:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf45972…
10-21 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2c3f67…
10-21 18:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c2ede…
10-21 18:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x71e6a0…
10-21 18:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc1c520…
10-21 18:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x16865e…
10-21 18:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf31068…
10-21 18:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xef1eda…
10-21 18:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xba0757…
10-21 18:11:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x94cbf8…
10-21 17:32:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x3969a0…
10-21 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x24aaf2…
10-21 11:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2776db…
10-21 11:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x997d77…
10-21 11:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x88b44f…
10-21 11:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x294cf0…
10-21 11:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x00af8e…