Frequent-Airship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,099

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-05 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Other

27% — —

Sports

21% 100% +$113

Politics

15% 0% $-5

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	22	$3.3K	4,360	4,360	+0	Yes	$-5	03-22 13:39
nba cle det 2026 02 27	6	$2.1K	1,622	1,588	+34	open	—	02-28 02:12
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	10	$2.0K	2,036	2,036	+0	open	—	01-10 10:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$2.0K	2,966	1,404	+1,562	open	—	02-28 19:56
will a human or an ai win the aster trading competition	13	$1.6K	1,215	910	+305	open	—	01-29 16:28
will coca cola run an ad during super bowl lx	7	$1.4K	1,160	870	+290	open	—	02-08 06:43
nhl det nj 2026 03 08	2	$1.3K	1,307	1,307	+0	open	—	03-08 21:46
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	9	$1.2K	877	697	+180	open	—	01-27 18:52
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$1.1K	741	741	+0	open	—	02-05 21:42
nba min mem 2026 02 02	2	$1.0K	1,474	0	+1,474	open	—	02-02 22:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$871	1,319	1,319	+0	open	—	03-12 15:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	8	$864	570	570	+0	open	—	02-07 18:12
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	2	$826	526	526	+0	open	—	02-08 18:30
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	10	$742	715	715	+0	open	—	02-09 22:39
nba okc min 2026 01 29	2	$736	715	358	+358	open	—	01-29 21:38
will jynxzi joe bart win jynxzis rocket league tournament	6	$710	1,410	1,001	+409	open	—	02-15 23:57
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$641	625	625	+0	open	—	02-05 21:44
will kanye release bully by january 30	12	$633	1,794	0	+1,794	open	—	01-28 19:38
nba nyk was 2026 02 03	1	$600	714	0	+714	open	—	02-03 23:58
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	20	$594	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	02-07 21:32
nba bkn den 2026 01 29	1	$591	845	0	+845	open	—	01-29 21:42
epl mac bri 2026 01 07 total 3pt5	2	$577	377	377	+0	open	—	01-07 23:20
epl tot new 2026 02 10 new	2	$565	940	0	+940	open	—	02-09 18:34
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$544	304	304	+0	open	—	01-21 23:43
nba por nyk 2026 01 30	2	$540	740	0	+740	open	—	01-30 23:35
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	1	$504	1,230	0	+1,230	open	—	03-10 19:59
cbb wichst tulsa 2026 02 01	2	$500	685	0	+685	open	—	02-01 17:20
nba nop phi 2026 01 31	1	$500	714	0	+714	open	—	01-31 19:51
will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	12	$481	867	0	+867	open	—	01-19 23:36
lal val rea 2026 02 08 val	2	$430	235	235	+0	open	—	02-08 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:17:43	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf86b91…
06-05 19:17:39	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x127d00…
06-05 19:16:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	571	32¢	$183	0x12c1d2…
06-05 19:15:39	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xa4a826…
04-22 11:29:08	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x1f40f7…
04-18 17:13:48	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x51288e…
04-18 17:13:40	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x0eeee3…
04-18 17:13:20	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	124	25¢	$31	0xb5fbef…
04-12 17:32:29	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	260	67¢	$174	0x723f00…
04-11 00:58:43	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xb66738…
04-08 21:27:53	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,093	23¢	$250	0xcf9a7b…
04-07 17:27:21	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x7d4274…
04-07 16:40:25	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x3db4b6…
04-07 12:17:53	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd0b459…
04-07 12:14:09	will jd vance say oil 2 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x846aee…
04-07 11:56:47	will jd vance say oil 2 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x08b210…
04-07 07:29:07	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	58	28¢	$16	0xd93479…
04-07 01:13:23	will jd vance say oil 2 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x26f840…
04-07 01:03:49	will jd vance say oil 2 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb20ad2…
04-07 00:59:25	will jd vance say oil 2 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5a1429…
04-07 00:43:25	will jd vance say oil 2 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9a8050…
04-07 00:22:37	trump announces attorney general pick by april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0x6d01de…
04-06 23:55:05	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x4e9288…
04-06 22:15:05	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x9a6d73…
04-05 02:25:33	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	690	2¢	$15	0xfe3ae3…
04-05 02:05:53	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$6	0x131264…
04-05 02:05:37	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x4d8b80…
03-31 22:07:41	highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd478b1…
03-31 22:07:21	highest temperature in moscow on april 1 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x34f7b3…
03-31 22:07:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 1 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x791e46…
03-31 22:06:49	highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7f9317…
03-31 22:05:59	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x5db10d…
03-31 22:05:35	highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x42a87c…
03-31 22:05:09	highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xba6981…
03-31 22:04:45	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x990ee2…
03-31 22:04:15	highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9f692f…
03-31 22:03:33	highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x31d4fc…
03-31 22:03:11	highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x31eefd…
03-31 22:02:45	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x65d56b…
03-31 22:02:25	highest temperature in ankara on april 1 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5da6aa…
03-31 22:01:57	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8f64e0…
03-31 22:01:37	highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ea0f6…
03-31 22:01:07	highest temperature in taipei on april 1 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1c94f7…
03-31 22:00:33	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2098d6…
03-31 22:00:15	highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb17130…
03-31 21:59:53	highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x26908a…
03-29 23:00:52	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xe0a69d…
03-29 23:00:42	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x5608be…
03-29 22:52:24	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	197	25¢	$49	0x561bee…
03-29 22:52:14	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x301062…
03-29 21:43:48	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Hornets	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x5925b4…
03-29 17:51:24	nhl bos cbj 2026 03 29	Blue Jackets	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x664e57…
03-29 17:51:10	mlb min bal 2026 03 29	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdf960f…
03-29 17:46:10	mlb min bal 2026 03 29	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xeccc20…
03-29 17:43:38	nhl bos cbj 2026 03 29	Blue Jackets	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x34a91f…
03-28 11:54:41	nhl ott tb 2026 03 28	Lightning	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb1435b…
03-28 11:54:29	nhl fla nyi 2026 03 28	Islanders	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x5fab7c…
03-28 11:53:55	nhl ana edm 2026 03 28	Oilers	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x2c8d5e…
03-28 11:53:43	nhl sea buf 2026 03 28	Sabres	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9cfe84…
03-28 11:53:29	nhl wsh las 2026 03 28	Golden Knights	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbd87c1…
03-25 21:50:27	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Down	BUY	56	34¢	$19	0xd9de8b…
03-25 21:40:19	btc updown 5m 1774474800	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x26a593…
03-25 21:32:35	btc updown 5m 1774474200	Up	SELL	35	46¢	$16	0xabb32b…
03-25 21:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774474200	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xf5d40b…
03-25 21:25:25	btc updown 5m 1774473900	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x44420a…
03-25 21:21:41	btc updown 5m 1774473600	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x046b42…
03-25 21:17:39	btc updown 5m 1774473300	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x10f3ae…
03-25 21:06:53	btc updown 5m 1774472700	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4e36a8…
03-25 21:02:31	btc updown 5m 1774472400	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x538361…
03-25 20:57:31	btc updown 5m 1774472100	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x583310…
03-25 20:51:43	btc updown 5m 1774471800	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4fe8ba…
03-24 21:33:39	btc updown 5m 1774387800	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa81bb4…
03-24 21:16:39	btc updown 5m 1774386900	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2dff48…
03-24 21:12:17	btc updown 5m 1774386600	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe0ae08…
03-24 21:02:19	btc updown 5m 1774386000	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8ab020…
03-24 20:29:17	btc updown 5m 1774383900	Down	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xe63b3b…
03-24 20:27:29	btc updown 5m 1774383900	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7504b8…
03-24 20:20:11	btc updown 5m 1774383600	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbb03eb…
03-24 20:17:47	btc updown 5m 1774383300	Down	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x1be70e…
03-24 20:15:37	btc updown 5m 1774383300	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5b6b65…
03-24 20:12:29	btc updown 5m 1774383000	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x501d22…
03-24 20:09:11	btc updown 5m 1774382700	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf8625c…
03-24 20:08:37	btc updown 5m 1774382700	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x8932a5…
03-24 20:07:27	btc updown 5m 1774382700	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf21b7d…
03-23 20:47:45	btc updown 5m 1774298700	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xab0838…
03-23 20:37:27	btc updown 5m 1774298100	Down	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x394b25…
03-23 20:36:13	btc updown 5m 1774298100	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xfec916…
03-23 20:34:03	btc updown 5m 1774297800	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe8895b…
03-23 20:29:13	btc updown 5m 1774297500	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x38643a…
03-23 20:16:11	btc updown 5m 1774296900	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa0e1a6…
03-23 20:07:13	btc updown 5m 1774296300	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xbf50c5…
03-23 20:05:37	btc updown 5m 1774296300	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x84d82f…
03-23 20:01:45	btc updown 5m 1774296000	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x71dc8a…
03-23 19:56:27	btc updown 5m 1774295700	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7df007…
03-23 19:52:21	btc updown 5m 1774295400	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe5470d…
03-22 22:14:29	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x50cc04…
03-22 22:03:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf3f68a…
03-22 18:16:23	will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x42bc38…
03-22 18:11:17	will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0a45e7…
03-22 17:50:19	will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x567d28…