Frequent-Airship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.62K

Unrealized P&L

+$409

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

902

Trades

1,811

lifetime

Volume

$82.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$1.13K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 50% -$1,122

Other

28% 36% -$1,545

Sports

21% 52% +$1,083

Politics

12% 44% -$378

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$633

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No		+1,423	$724	80¢	$1.1K	+$409	10-30 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	22	$3.3K	4,360	4,360	+0	Yes	-$5	03-22 13:39
nba cle det 2026 02 27	6	$2.1K	1,622	1,588	+34	Pistons	-$10	02-28 02:12
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	10	$2.0K	2,036	2,036	+0	Yes	+$448	01-10 10:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$2.0K	2,966	1,404	+1,562	Yes	-$263	02-28 19:56
will a human or an ai win the aster trading competition	13	$1.6K	1,215	910	+305	AI	+$534	01-29 16:28
will coca cola run an ad during super bowl lx	7	$1.4K	1,160	870	+290	No	+$425	02-08 06:43
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$1.3K	1,127	1,127	+0	Yes	+$776	05-30 19:12
nhl det nj 2026 03 08	2	$1.3K	1,307	1,307	+0	Red Wings	-$25	03-08 21:46
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	9	$1.2K	877	697	+180	No	+$356	01-27 18:52
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$1.1K	741	741	+0	Yes	+$340	02-05 21:42
nba min mem 2026 02 02	2	$1.0K	1,474	0	+1,474	Grizzlies	-$1,019	02-02 22:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$871	1,319	1,319	+0	No	-$184	03-12 15:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	8	$864	570	570	+0	Yes	+$66	02-07 18:12
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	2	$826	526	526	+0	No	+$226	02-08 18:30
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	10	$742	715	715	+0	No	-$59	02-09 22:39
nba okc min 2026 01 29	2	$736	715	358	+358	Timberwolves	-$265	01-29 21:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	2	$724	1,423	0	+1,423	open	—	10-30 01:03
will jynxzi joe bart win jynxzis rocket league tournament	6	$710	1,410	1,001	+409	No	+$209	02-15 23:57
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$641	625	625	+0	Yes	+$41	02-05 21:44
will kanye release bully by january 30	12	$633	1,794	0	+1,794	No	-$633	01-28 19:38
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$617	1,267	207	+1,060	No	-$291	10-18 01:56
nba nyk was 2026 02 03	1	$600	714	0	+714	Knicks	+$114	02-03 23:58
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	5	$600	868	100	+768	No	+$366	08-31 18:40
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	20	$594	1,084	0	+1,084	Yes	-$594	02-07 21:32
nba bkn den 2026 01 29	1	$591	845	0	+845	Nuggets	+$253	01-29 21:42
Hornets vs. Nets	2	$588	625	625	+0	Hornets	-$12	10-21 23:23
epl mac bri 2026 01 07 total 3pt5	2	$577	377	377	+0	Under	+$177	01-07 23:20
epl tot new 2026 02 10 new	2	$565	940	0	+940	Yes	-$565	02-09 18:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	1	$563	1,043	0	+1,043	Yes	-$563	10-27 03:08
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$544	304	304	+0	No	+$45	01-21 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:03:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x929109…
10-30 00:56:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,413	51¢	$719	0x9abf47…
10-27 03:08:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,043	54¢	$563	0x8fe4d2…
10-27 01:15:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	4¢	$12	0xad125d…
10-27 01:14:57	Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	SELL	556	18¢	$100	0x3caf03…
10-27 01:14:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0xf4a190…
10-26 03:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xd24582…
10-26 03:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x331e54…
10-26 02:05:27	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x4ab135…
10-26 02:04:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	1,669	5¢	$75	0x823d21…
10-26 02:02:45	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,670	3¢	$50	0x004879…
10-26 01:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x95a817…
10-25 22:34:17	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x35103c…
10-25 01:50:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x986d83…
10-25 01:48:44	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	91	23¢	$21	0x30e32b…
10-23 23:27:38	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	303	76¢	$230	0x3cbd1d…
10-23 01:50:24	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	134	73¢	$98	0x7ab09d…
10-23 01:50:24	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	136	73¢	$99	0x5bbe83…
10-21 23:23:27	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	SELL	625	46¢	$288	0x9e4f4e…
10-21 21:44:51	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0xeb2a6b…
10-21 21:38:45	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x36e9e1…
10-21 21:38:29	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe1adb2…
10-21 21:38:08	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x687b35…
10-19 23:32:45	Sharks vs. Maple Leafs	Sharks	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x4fa7d5…
10-19 23:27:15	M25 Tamworth: Eric Tripathi vs Matthew Shearer	Matthew Shearer	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0xd4de72…
10-19 23:27:15	M25 Tamworth: Eric Tripathi vs Matthew Shearer	Matthew Shearer	BUY	47	59¢	$28	0xb2f381…
10-19 23:19:29	M25 Tamworth: Eric Tripathi vs Matthew Shearer	Matthew Shearer	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5154df…
10-19 23:11:23	Ducks vs. Rangers	Ducks	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa68e47…
10-18 22:58:39	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbf640f…
10-18 22:58:18	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x0ffaa3…
10-18 02:10:02	Bears vs. Falcons	Bears	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0xd7e494…
10-18 02:06:54	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x07f1f5…
10-18 02:04:36	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Taylah Preston vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6000f4…
10-18 02:01:09	Oilers vs. Utah	Oilers	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x3d9989…
10-18 01:56:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	712	28¢	$200	0x0890c9…
10-12 05:06:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0x928735…
10-07 00:28:53	Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xb31563…
10-06 15:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb02f71…
10-06 15:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x7309e0…
10-06 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x9c0afc…
09-21 21:59:34	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	571	70¢	$400	0x88b8a1…
09-21 21:58:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0x961650…
09-16 20:45:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	7¢	$20	0x04b60c…
09-13 15:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6606d9…
09-13 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x207dae…
09-13 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x7a207d…
09-13 00:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x57c427…
09-13 00:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe8d65f…
09-13 00:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x78dc13…
09-12 23:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3d3ae5…
09-09 00:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	325	31¢	$100	0x6d9586…
09-09 00:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	245	16¢	$40	0x7c932f…
09-09 00:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	524	14¢	$75	0xc0507e…
09-09 00:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x583cf2…
09-09 00:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x328f00…
09-09 00:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	332	30¢	$100	0xf7ba88…
09-09 00:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x429cfb…
09-08 23:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	74	45¢	$33	0xa1970f…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xea708c…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe8cd8d…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xad209e…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa572fc…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8d61f7…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x79631b…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x64e011…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3e8003…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2b10b5…
09-08 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1c7efa…
09-08 23:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x487c2c…
09-08 23:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0xde519e…
09-08 23:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xa18363…
09-08 23:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x49c6fc…
09-08 23:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x0d327e…
09-08 23:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0x39a032…
09-08 23:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x75e1c2…
09-08 00:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	790	6¢	$50	0x13c05e…
09-07 23:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c2018…
09-07 23:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa068da…
09-07 22:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	952	0¢	$1	0x2ba4c3…
09-07 22:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x587455…
09-07 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x6bc27d…
09-07 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x548b86…
09-07 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x214f52…
09-07 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x163e19…
09-07 22:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xfb095b…
09-07 22:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x8d8578…
09-07 22:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xe60577…
09-07 22:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xa0d31d…
09-07 22:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	71	12¢	$9	0x8e2769…
09-07 22:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x024384…
09-07 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x424352…
09-07 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x1d9b8a…
09-07 22:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xfbf644…
09-07 22:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	203	8¢	$16	0xbdcd3b…
09-07 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	148	13¢	$19	0x2ce5d3…
09-07 22:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xda6bb6…
09-07 22:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x232f8d…
09-07 22:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x163358…
09-07 22:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x89b0fc…
09-07 22:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x3b5c18…