Elastic-Cilantro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,173

lifetime

Volume

$6.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 08-13 03:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 59% +$6

Politics

11% 50% $-5

Sports

9% 70% +$14

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 22:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	21	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 18:40
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	9	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$-0	05-02 13:13
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	17	$87	82	47	+36	open	—	03-11 19:48
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	4	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	02-28 21:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$56	66	16	+50	open	—	04-06 00:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$51	50	1	+49	open	—	04-02 14:35
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	10	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	03-11 15:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-21 15:59
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-08 01:59
will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-02 17:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	06-02 22:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-16 21:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 02:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 17:11
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	11	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	03-11 19:59
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	17	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	03-18 17:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:06
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	12	$48	94	0	+94	open	—	03-11 20:03
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 spread away 1pt5	8	$45	39	24	+15	open	—	03-11 19:51
atp fomin bouzige 2026 04 15	8	$44	71	0	+71	open	—	04-16 05:07
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spo1	13	$42	75	0	+75	open	—	03-11 19:52
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	10	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	03-10 20:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 21:21
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	1	$38	75	0	+75	open	—	06-17 19:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	75	$37	25	25	-0	open	—	07-30 08:42
wta andreev potapov 2026 04 12	9	$33	59	0	+59	open	—	04-12 13:08
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 total 3pt5	8	$33	63	0	+63	open	—	03-11 19:59
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	10	$32	55	0	+55	open	—	06-21 19:26
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 tot	12	$28	54	0	+54	open	—	03-18 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 03:02:55	wta ito dart 2026 08 12	Harriet Dart	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x324784…
08-13 03:02:54	wta ito dart 2026 08 12	Harriet Dart	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x70efb6…
08-13 02:29:27	wta svitoli swiatek 2026 08 12	Elina Svitolina	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x42eda8…
08-13 00:50:24	wta yuan day 2026 08 12	Kayla Day	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb583ec…
08-13 00:11:57	mlb bos tor 2026 08 12	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x683a5b…
08-12 23:59:30	wta yuan day 2026 08 12	Yue Yuan	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9608bd…
08-12 01:53:06	wta osaka rybakin 2026 08 11	Elena Rybakina	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7f41b8…
08-12 01:45:25	mlb mil sd 2026 08 11	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x5a847a…
08-11 23:30:31	wta selekhm mandlik 2026 08 11	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xfc04e3…
08-11 18:06:34	wta iatcenk liu 2026 08 11	Claire Liu	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7cd5d3…
08-10 14:21:10	atp dellie galan 2026 08 10	Daniel Galan	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5ee843…
08-10 14:21:10	atp dellie galan 2026 08 10	Daniel Galan	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x071dd3…
08-10 01:31:52	wta eala bencic 2026 08 09	Belinda Bencic	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x727673…
08-09 19:12:30	wta samsono rybakin 2026 08 09	Elena Rybakina	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xf6e1e8…
08-08 23:49:00	mlb tor phi 2026 08 08 spread away 2pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6bb87c…
08-06 11:46:47	wta lee falkows 2026 08 06	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x635301…
08-05 17:45:12	wta bouzkov townsen 2026 08 06	Taylor Townsend	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x1463c0…
08-05 17:45:11	wta bouzkov townsen 2026 08 06	Taylor Townsend	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x05d2de…
08-05 17:32:47	wta bouzkov townsen 2026 08 06	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb7fa2d…
08-04 13:36:38	wta samson barthel 2026 08 03	Laura Samson	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4d978e…
08-03 23:08:32	wta zarazua korpats 2026 08 03	Renata Zarazua	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xac4aa9…
08-03 22:01:53	atp galarne kopriva 2026 08 03	Vit Kopriva	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8e0581…
08-03 20:17:33	atp galarne kopriva 2026 08 03	Vit Kopriva	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xd95168…
08-03 17:42:29	atp milev batalla 2026 08 03	Oriol Roca Batalla	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x665f37…
08-02 21:04:30	wta ito sebov 2026 08 02	Katherine Sebov	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc7f2c3…
08-02 21:04:30	wta ito sebov 2026 08 02	Katherine Sebov	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x48bb2f…
08-01 16:32:56	atp trungel mejia 2026 08 01	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x27f4ab…
08-01 11:52:17	atp inchaus debru 2026 08 01	Gabriel Debru	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x1c26bb…
08-01 03:19:29	wta vidmano volynet 2026 07 31	Darja Vidmanova	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd8a5dc…
07-31 23:42:06	wta eala svitoli 2026 07 31	Alexandra Eala	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x94a87d…
07-31 11:02:18	wta samson ristic 2026 07 31	Mia Ristic	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2a3964…
07-31 09:48:20	wta samson ristic 2026 07 31	Mia Ristic	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa5c56a…
07-31 09:48:20	wta samson ristic 2026 07 31	Mia Ristic	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ffdaf…
07-30 18:55:06	wta tjen kalinsk 2026 07 29	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x4251e5…
07-30 16:23:57	mlb tex tb 2026 07 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf80f1b…
07-30 09:16:06	atp pankin manas 2026 07 29	Semen Pankin	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe55e16…
07-30 08:42:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xdcf20b…
07-30 08:40:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x529b90…
07-30 08:40:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x4f60fc…
07-30 08:40:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x30d2fb…
07-30 08:24:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xf119c3…
07-30 08:24:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x05199e…
07-30 08:18:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x26175f…
07-30 08:18:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x91a7d2…
07-30 08:10:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x96935a…
07-30 08:10:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x8b275c…
07-30 08:10:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x62c48a…
07-30 08:08:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x707f24…
07-30 08:08:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x36555b…
07-30 08:08:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x286e24…
07-30 08:08:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x0aceb4…
07-30 08:08:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x65a85c…
07-30 08:07:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xbbb86e…
07-30 08:07:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x17af17…
07-30 08:07:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x16a427…
07-30 08:07:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xd33f1a…
07-30 08:07:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xfe3639…
07-30 08:07:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xd02e70…
07-30 08:07:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x989f41…
07-30 08:07:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xf27e37…
07-30 08:07:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x6d6a8e…
07-30 08:07:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x14dc92…
07-30 08:07:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xce42b8…
07-30 08:07:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x8a465e…
07-30 08:07:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xf61d1f…
07-30 08:07:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xa135ad…
07-30 08:07:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x64eb51…
07-30 08:07:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x5f9115…
07-30 08:07:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x23c231…
07-30 08:01:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x1adb93…
07-30 08:01:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x3b9859…
07-30 08:01:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x80e151…
07-30 08:01:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x9dd72c…
07-30 08:01:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xb59e57…
07-30 08:01:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xa08213…
07-30 08:01:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x6315f2…
07-30 08:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x2922a9…
07-30 08:00:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x26151c…
07-30 08:00:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x09db1f…
07-30 08:00:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xf19173…
07-30 08:00:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xed78ca…
07-30 08:00:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xc7aaab…
07-30 08:00:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x51c1a8…
07-30 08:00:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xd9a5d3…
07-30 08:00:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x138f39…
07-30 08:00:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x96e552…
07-30 08:00:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0x5b8000…
07-30 07:57:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x2329b1…
07-30 07:56:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x32378a…
07-30 07:56:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x413789…
07-30 07:56:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x6c9d82…
07-30 07:56:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xee9df9…
07-30 07:56:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xab6d4c…
07-30 07:56:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x43b063…
07-30 07:55:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xa9cc70…
07-30 07:55:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x15c247…
07-30 07:55:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x4d531e…
07-30 07:55:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x03a170…
07-30 07:54:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x90b6e2…
07-30 07:54:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x7fc2a4…