Realized P&L (90d)
+$15
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (90d)
33
Trades (90d)
74
92 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$166
$277 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$15
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 11-14 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
64% 63% -$2
Politics
25% 33% +$6
Sports
7% 0% -$16
Crypto
3% 50% +$0
Tech
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +47 $10 16¢ $7 -$3 11-11 21:17
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by december 31 134 No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 08-31 23:06
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 11-11 21:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 11-11 21:18
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 11-14 00:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $0 11-04 21:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $1 9¢ $1 $0 11-11 21:18
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 11-14 00:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 37¢ $1 $0 09-15 02:12