Enlightened-Inversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

+$1.43K

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

1,044

Trades

2,081

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.63K

21 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-29 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Other

45% 43% -$21

Sports

28% 52% +$13

Crypto

20% 44% -$86

Politics

4% 29% -$51

Tech

3% 25% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+3,258	-$176	42¢	$1.4K	+$1,533	10-23 13:38
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		-146	-$9	47¢	$-69	-$59	05-01 16:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+85	$60	76¢	$65	+$5	10-22 18:57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes		+480	$28	8¢	$38	+$11	10-26 19:45
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+40	$18	44¢	$18	+$0	10-22 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes		+20	$13	62¢	$12	-$1	10-22 18:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No		+150	$17	8¢	$11	-$6	10-26 16:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+15	$10	68¢	$11	+$1	10-19 17:54
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes		+40	$10	23¢	$9	-$1	10-19 18:00
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+448	$9	2¢	$7	-$2	10-20 18:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+20	$7	29¢	$6	-$1	10-23 18:04
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+200	$6	3¢	$5	-$1	10-22 18:29
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+800	$4	1¢	$4	+$0	10-22 18:28
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+800	$4	0¢	$4	$0	10-22 18:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+143	$10	2¢	$3	-$7	05-25 02:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+223	$46	1¢	$3	-$44	07-05 13:28
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+100	$3	3¢	$3	-$1	10-22 18:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	94¢	$-1	$0	05-03 21:56
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+510	$1	0¢	$1	-$1	10-20 18:30
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	—	-200	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-03 21:55
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No		-9	-$5	0¢	$-0	+$5	04-30 17:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	85	$1.8K	6,318	3,060	+3,258	open	—	10-23 13:38
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	9	$106	152	149	+4	Warriors	+$27	04-16 04:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	7	$97	370	370	+0	open	—	10-29 16:12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	7	$84	337	114	+223	open	—	07-05 13:28
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	9	$67	112	112	+0	Yes	+$38	04-29 02:33
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	5	$66	159	159	+0	Seahawks	-$37	02-09 02:12
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$60	85	0	+85	open	—	10-22 18:57
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	4	$55	41	40	+1	Timberwolves	+$26	04-26 03:11
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$46	37	37	+0	Yes	+$26	03-11 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:20 UTC	8	$41	88	0	+88	Up	-$41	03-29 12:25
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	4	$40	37	36	+1	Celtics	+$25	04-13 00:30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	3	$40	723	0	+723	No	-$40	06-06 17:23
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?	36	$39	1,737	0	+1,737	open	—	10-26 16:11
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$37	98	69	+29	No	-$13	06-14 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:05 UTC	8	$36	92	0	+92	Up	+$56	03-23 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:30 UTC	11	$35	21	20	+0	Up	+$2	04-17 00:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$35	90	90	+0	open	—	10-23 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:45 UTC	2	$35	22	21	+0	Up	+$8	03-15 17:50
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	35	$35	2,324	0	+2,324	open	—	10-26 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:45 UTC	3	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$12	03-15 02:51
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	3	$33	200	50	+150	open	—	10-26 16:57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	46	$33	3,099	0	+3,099	open	—	10-29 17:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	03-07 10:19
nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	6	$32	30	29	+1	Lakers	+$3	04-10 03:40
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	49	$31	2,933	0	+2,933	open	—	10-26 17:03
nba sac mem 2026 02 23	3	$31	23	19	+4	Kings	-$3	02-24 02:56
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	6	$30	96	0	+96	No	-$30	03-23 05:14
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	15	$28	479	0	+479	open	—	10-24 12:55
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	15	$28	480	0	+480	open	—	10-26 19:45
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	07-05 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:43:47	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$0	0x5c7330…
10-29 16:12:32	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	318	12¢	$38	0x33ac6f…
10-28 17:02:44	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe369ca…
10-28 17:02:44	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x5feb41…
10-28 04:05:22	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0xe951de…
10-28 04:05:22	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc2de91…
10-28 04:05:22	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x15a1ef…
10-28 01:58:57	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xe1aa62…
10-27 23:41:36	Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0xe88281…
10-27 23:41:09	Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x915564…
10-27 17:24:47	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xb79f63…
10-27 17:02:05	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b5497…
10-27 17:02:05	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4106d2…
10-27 05:53:59	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xbd881c…
10-27 03:18:14	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x638ae4…
10-27 01:33:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xe22333…
10-27 01:33:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$1	0x092e85…
10-26 23:44:32	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcce9ee…
10-26 23:21:00	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x58fe27…
10-26 19:48:00	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x9756bd…
10-26 19:47:03	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x5cfb72…
10-26 19:45:32	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x014a90…
10-26 17:09:06	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0x372107…
10-26 17:09:06	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0x0b1d44…
10-26 17:05:30	Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc213f2…
10-26 17:03:26	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xac9fd7…
10-26 17:03:05	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x45556c…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xbfdd5e…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaadce0…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x91cb41…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8b9646…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x56949d…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x306733…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x26c70a…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x243ff5…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1b065d…
10-26 17:03:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x107c3c…
10-26 17:01:21	Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	548	0¢	$1	0x706e53…
10-26 16:57:57	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x720d9b…
10-26 16:57:35	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5edfbf…
10-26 16:56:50	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x099bc9…
10-26 16:56:20	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x90d6d3…
10-26 16:53:20	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$5	0xcf8388…
10-26 16:53:02	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xb46ed8…
10-26 16:52:53	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$2	0xbd9930…
10-26 16:50:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd8d244…
10-26 16:49:18	Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x42fa19…
10-26 16:49:00	Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5ebf21…
10-26 16:48:23	Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x9910b2…
10-26 16:47:21	Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0xa028ce…
10-26 16:46:21	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x680fbc…
10-26 16:46:21	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x22aa35…
10-26 16:41:20	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdc8216…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xfa96a3…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xdcbe91…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xce5e5b…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xbf89e3…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xb62449…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xaa7732…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x9b19f6…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x98d327…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x926261…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x7edb7a…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x68c288…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x67cbbd…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63f773…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x5d9608…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3e040d…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x260072…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x208a6b…
10-26 16:41:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x0850f8…
10-26 16:40:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe675d7…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf17781…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xf16a55…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xb19d33…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb17e2d…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$0	0xa08f13…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x8130c5…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x4e14e5…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x407f09…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x3b96a2…
10-26 16:40:51	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x230b40…
10-26 16:40:50	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x1a5285…
10-26 16:40:41	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	176	2¢	$3	0x66985f…
10-26 16:40:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xffa78c…
10-26 16:40:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9c013…
10-26 16:40:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdf8012…
10-26 16:40:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9daa1a…
10-26 16:40:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a4f7a…
10-26 16:40:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x74101d…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xc42af7…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb403ed…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xa108b3…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xa04da3…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x9fe531…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0x85bd2a…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x71428b…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x6da397…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x459080…
10-26 16:39:53	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x31f524…