Vivacious-Rawhide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-20 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$2,064

Other

43% 100% +$67

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.3K	2,094	2,094	+0	Yes	+$1,932	05-09 08:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$1.3K	2,403	2,403	+0	open	—	07-20 14:30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$1.2K	24,031	0	+24,031	open	—	05-21 20:13
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	11	$884	3,174	0	+3,174	open	—	06-26 18:10
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	3	$824	424	424	+0	open	—	04-14 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$693	2,385	0	+2,385	open	—	04-20 18:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	1	$493	530	0	+530	open	—	05-26 06:40
will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$424	274	274	+0	open	—	07-19 22:18
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$400	482	0	+482	open	—	05-15 07:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$382	238	238	+0	open	—	03-07 19:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$331	700	0	+700	open	—	05-28 18:18
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	7	$320	3,480	0	+3,480	open	—	06-26 18:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$313	930	0	+930	open	—	06-13 12:25
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	2	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	06-17 16:20
lal osa rea 2026 02 21 btts	2	$250	150	150	+0	open	—	02-21 19:31
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$231	467	0	+467	open	—	07-14 19:28
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 03 13	2	$224	124	124	+0	open	—	03-13 18:47
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 b04	2	$204	154	154	+0	open	—	03-14 18:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$200	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-01 19:51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	05-24 11:46
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$200	208	0	+208	open	—	05-18 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$175	410	3,791	-3,382	open	—	06-29 19:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$168	250	0	+250	open	—	05-29 15:18
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	2	$167	217	217	+0	Under	+$67	05-06 20:03
will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	4	$157	775	0	+775	open	—	06-22 05:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$154	717	0	+717	open	—	04-20 18:04
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	2	$151	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	05-14 15:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$150	179	0	+179	open	—	05-20 15:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$140	29,333	0	+29,333	open	—	06-03 21:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$135	130	130	+0	open	—	05-29 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,403	2¢	$41	0x5229c8…
07-19 22:18:46	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0xc556cf…
07-19 21:58:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x285959…
07-18 22:22:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0xdffd53…
07-18 11:38:34	will the announcers say ishowspeed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403334	Yes	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0x365874…
07-18 11:36:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x37a75f…
07-15 19:00:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0xa348d7…
07-14 20:48:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x92db17…
07-14 19:28:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xc041dc…
07-14 15:11:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	223	59¢	$131	0xb3ceaa…
07-11 20:58:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	177	68¢	$120	0xf1867b…
07-11 20:58:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x8c7253…
07-09 19:50:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfa04a3…
07-09 19:50:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc77f80…
07-09 18:05:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0xb3c45b…
07-09 18:03:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xafc84d…
07-07 16:31:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	88	58¢	$51	0xf34420…
07-07 16:24:44	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x4f6598…
07-06 18:21:29	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x9e117d…
07-06 17:34:16	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x61b9fc…
07-06 17:33:58	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xa38548…
07-05 21:07:47	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xc63317…
07-04 18:58:29	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0xd1d264…
07-04 13:07:22	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0xb19f38…
07-03 21:06:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x1ecb5b…
07-01 15:38:43	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x3830b6…
06-30 20:08:05	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x4cc406…
06-30 20:07:55	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xedeab0…
06-29 20:57:19	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x07d74f…
06-29 19:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,791	1¢	$30	0xc30ee0…
06-28 18:07:46	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners team away 5pt5	Over	BUY	97	60¢	$58	0x7c926b…
06-27 19:58:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0x3f6aad…
06-27 08:03:34	will the announcers say assist during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511675	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8666a3…
06-27 08:02:44	will the announcers say assist during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914433	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xbd73ba…
06-26 20:37:32	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x763444…
06-26 20:32:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xe66d4e…
06-26 18:10:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,374	15¢	$200	0x4d3185…
06-26 18:10:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,380	5¢	$110	0xbceb54…
06-26 18:04:20	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	130	36¢	$47	0x7d61e8…
06-25 19:42:10	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x7d14ac…
06-25 19:39:17	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 assists arda guler gte1	Yes	BUY	160	18¢	$29	0xf8e9f1…
06-25 19:38:44	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 goals cody gakpo gte1	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xfd5279…
06-23 19:23:35	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xba9d3e…
06-23 16:24:47	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xbcca4d…
06-22 20:27:47	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x255dc6…
06-22 20:10:29	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x97cff4…
06-22 20:08:52	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xa184d6…
06-22 05:14:55	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x814d6b…
06-21 21:04:17	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x561077…
06-21 20:31:35	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1f440e…
06-21 08:46:56	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3c2522…
06-20 15:35:40	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	189	25¢	$47	0xd20a82…
06-20 15:35:31	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xf524a8…
06-20 15:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x92eb61…
06-20 15:21:53	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xdbda91…
06-19 21:32:28	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x607f66…
06-19 18:20:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	385	36¢	$139	0x69b929…
06-19 18:15:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xabade8…
06-19 17:32:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0x50e79a…
06-19 17:32:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x324781…
06-19 17:27:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3f9091…
06-19 17:06:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	106	35¢	$37	0x680cce…
06-19 16:55:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x81e804…
06-19 14:08:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xfdb4c3…
06-19 13:36:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	985	40¢	$394	0x13df4d…
06-19 13:33:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf6ea5a…
06-19 13:33:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	600	19¢	$116	0x4b1229…
06-19 13:33:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x1b44d4…
06-19 13:33:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$29	0x022da2…
06-19 11:08:44	will the announcers say assist during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505068	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x13191e…
06-18 20:53:14	will the announcers say champion during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914473	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$33	0xf19c11…
06-18 19:51:44	will the announcers say assist during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505068	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa6744e…
06-18 19:47:20	will the announcers say assist during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914472	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xc23bce…
06-18 19:47:20	will the announcers say assist during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914472	Yes	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x313ee2…
06-18 19:46:40	will the announcers say qatar during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914465	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xd9de71…
06-18 19:41:14	will the announcers say what a save during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650885	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xf72262…
06-18 19:29:40	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0x31a029…
06-17 18:39:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0x8cdcb2…
06-17 18:39:50	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2b42bb…
06-17 17:54:26	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xf568b8…
06-17 17:54:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xeca6a6…
06-17 16:20:47	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x1be070…
06-17 16:11:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x17dfa6…
06-17 13:51:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0xabc838…
06-17 13:17:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6abf80…
06-17 13:07:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6d4c4a…
06-17 12:57:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeaeabe…
06-17 12:57:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1619c0…
06-17 12:47:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe324b4…
06-17 12:40:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x85c993…
06-17 12:40:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x66d04a…
06-17 12:20:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	159	55¢	$88	0xb106ae…
06-17 12:15:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	403	55¢	$222	0xba5f5b…
06-17 12:14:56	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$1	0x18c1bc…
06-17 11:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	843	55¢	$464	0x9f1214…
06-14 22:24:18	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x0a8e57…
06-14 21:36:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xe32d87…
06-14 21:17:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x394923…
06-14 19:18:52	charles de ketelaere 20260609173850410	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x336dcb…
06-14 19:11:28	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x03d7d6…