Smoggy-Bribery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

9,221

lifetime

Volume

$2.90M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$314

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-12 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 50% +$87

Politics

8% 0% $-106

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	718	$259.0K	147,532	135,139	+12,393	open	—	03-30 18:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	277	$207.5K	96,932	119,992	-23,060	open	—	03-26 11:00
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	334	$167.4K	85,326	90,237	-4,911	open	—	03-26 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	202	$136.8K	67,787	72,936	-5,149	open	—	04-17 16:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	307	$115.0K	56,372	61,325	-4,953	open	—	04-11 01:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	280	$101.8K	53,517	54,090	-573	open	—	04-29 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	172	$96.9K	49,464	50,340	-875	open	—	04-27 13:22
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	166	$94.9K	44,611	51,580	-6,970	open	—	03-31 14:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	48	$76.5K	25,327	52,098	-26,771	open	—	06-27 09:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	262	$72.6K	50,535	38,264	+12,270	open	—	03-31 17:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	155	$62.8K	31,168	35,242	-4,074	open	—	04-18 13:20
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	13	$56.0K	41,200	15,000	+26,200	open	—	03-05 22:13
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	55	$50.4K	35,740	15,387	+20,353	open	—	07-29 13:14
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	52	$49.1K	24,945	25,898	-953	open	—	07-24 20:41
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	89	$44.4K	22,082	24,082	-1,999	open	—	03-30 18:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	73	$32.6K	16,316	17,043	-728	open	—	05-26 13:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	178	$31.1K	18,269	18,105	+164	open	—	04-21 19:46
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	07-05 22:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	62	$29.7K	15,876	16,894	-1,018	open	—	06-24 13:28
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	45	$27.7K	18,367	9,666	+8,701	open	—	01-30 21:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	45	$27.5K	14,466	14,524	-57	open	—	04-25 15:49
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	58	$27.4K	18,036	10,036	+8,000	open	—	02-23 14:19
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	43	$26.5K	14,793	11,864	+2,929	open	—	03-10 20:57
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	40	$24.1K	11,029	14,316	-3,287	open	—	06-12 16:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	81	$23.8K	20,511	24,019	-3,508	open	—	02-27 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	138	$23.0K	14,941	15,066	-125	open	—	04-24 15:45
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	14	$22.4K	11,217	11,217	+0	open	—	03-05 22:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	56	$22.1K	21,010	24,010	-3,000	open	—	02-27 02:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	44	$20.9K	11,600	11,567	+33	open	—	04-29 15:57
crude oil all time high by march 31	32	$20.0K	10,521	10,521	+0	open	—	03-30 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:11:06	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	313	99¢	$309	0xb865fa…
08-12 12:34:43	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x29f599…
08-12 05:16:43	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	211	40¢	$84	0xdeb153…
08-12 05:04:39	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2f4d69…
08-12 04:10:45	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x20ee41…
08-12 02:55:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd29ec3…
08-11 16:27:06	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x7b2704…
08-11 08:43:48	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6c4cc8…
08-11 08:41:01	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe44b2d…
08-11 06:06:15	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	403	98¢	$394	0x1584b8…
08-11 01:29:00	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	763	98¢	$752	0x67929e…
08-10 23:21:34	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb020c9…
08-10 18:33:36	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0x2a6b40…
08-10 11:39:30	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,042	99¢	$1,032	0xdd9d31…
08-08 19:46:57	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xd321dc…
08-08 19:46:49	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0x40b0a3…
08-08 19:45:36	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	700	99¢	$691	0x6cca97…
08-07 11:56:01	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x757f8e…
08-06 14:26:21	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0x4d02d5…
08-03 13:57:48	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0xcd5bb7…
08-03 13:56:08	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x66691d…
08-03 02:19:45	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xa5bc65…
08-02 23:38:08	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xe1983c…
08-02 21:04:33	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc6e63c…
08-02 21:04:32	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	244	86¢	$210	0xdb75e0…
08-02 20:50:00	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x9750d7…
08-02 20:31:41	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	33	53¢	$17	0xf0c30b…
08-02 19:58:06	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xaa7258…
08-02 18:04:21	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x393fed…
08-02 16:53:42	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x779fb0…
08-02 16:53:38	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x3d3b7f…
08-02 16:52:56	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc99361…
08-02 16:30:26	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	156	9¢	$14	0x7555c8…
08-02 15:12:00	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x4d79be…
08-02 14:46:05	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x32f5f8…
08-02 14:31:56	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc70e96…
08-02 07:31:54	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x557fa3…
08-02 07:05:09	will xagusd dip to 58 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x37350c…
08-02 05:37:06	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x5bf8f5…
08-02 02:05:32	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	BUY	528	82¢	$431	0x38bff2…
08-02 01:38:53	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	320	98¢	$313	0xf04e2c…
08-02 01:37:56	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8dc3d8…
08-02 01:23:42	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,557	99¢	$1,538	0xc87a41…
08-02 00:39:42	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	149	98¢	$147	0x5677d0…
08-02 00:39:33	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	2,489	99¢	$2,459	0x46b9aa…
08-02 00:13:27	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x69f892…
08-02 00:06:48	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	87	11¢	$10	0xe58a2f…
08-02 00:06:26	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0xbaf649…
08-01 23:42:47	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	598	98¢	$588	0x4932f3…
08-01 23:36:57	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x39e810…
08-01 23:15:57	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	328	10¢	$33	0x765a60…
08-01 22:13:41	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	335	34¢	$115	0x65746d…
08-01 21:18:03	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	294	98¢	$289	0x5b5e2d…
08-01 21:17:29	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,176	98¢	$1,156	0x0656bc…
08-01 20:47:08	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	824	98¢	$810	0x8adcf3…
08-01 20:08:26	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xc167af…
08-01 20:08:15	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xa21714…
08-01 20:00:57	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	310	94¢	$291	0xd8dc49…
08-01 19:35:21	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	229	98¢	$226	0xda3f21…
08-01 19:12:32	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xfdef17…
08-01 19:09:47	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	157	60¢	$94	0x86502a…
08-01 19:09:02	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	SELL	124	98¢	$122	0x5933f1…
08-01 19:09:02	will spy dip to 710 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	112	21¢	$24	0x2ee21e…
08-01 19:07:51	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xb120b4…
08-01 19:06:30	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	124	93¢	$115	0x48e003…
08-01 19:06:14	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	252	93¢	$234	0xd34f2c…
08-01 19:06:02	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,076	94¢	$1,008	0x4cd7bf…
08-01 19:03:53	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	57	59¢	$34	0xc3b931…
08-01 19:03:51	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	159	60¢	$96	0xf9106a…
08-01 19:03:51	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xe3dcd3…
08-01 19:03:51	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xa90a36…
08-01 18:49:36	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xc8498e…
08-01 18:48:20	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	3,333	99¢	$3,286	0x233abe…
08-01 18:45:47	will spy dip to 710 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xf30c6d…
08-01 18:42:21	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,333	98¢	$3,280	0x9fcfef…
08-01 18:41:50	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x44b8f1…
08-01 18:39:30	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xa201b8…
08-01 18:32:27	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0xebd2f8…
08-01 18:31:42	will spy dip to 710 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	177	20¢	$35	0xf3f11e…
08-01 18:31:42	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x3af444…
08-01 18:31:41	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	230	34¢	$78	0x53ec7f…
08-01 18:28:12	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	645	94¢	$605	0x08b0e1…
08-01 18:26:56	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	468	89¢	$417	0xe181a3…
08-01 18:26:32	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	753	7¢	$53	0x3d05dd…
08-01 18:22:38	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xaeb093…
08-01 18:21:59	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	265	94¢	$249	0x617a62…
08-01 17:39:42	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	842	98¢	$826	0x1de2ad…
08-01 17:33:38	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x12d826…
08-01 16:19:30	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	111	59¢	$65	0xfe9e48…
08-01 16:19:26	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x964bff…
08-01 16:19:06	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa91ec1…
08-01 16:19:06	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xa38382…
08-01 16:18:57	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	111	31¢	$34	0x0c3993…
08-01 15:01:15	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x30e8f8…
08-01 14:57:20	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x40acda…
08-01 14:49:51	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x38f8b6…
08-01 14:47:39	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x6951b7…
08-01 14:26:30	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	333	95¢	$316	0x85e83c…
08-01 13:05:03	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	No	BUY	468	88¢	$413	0x7a5100…
08-01 12:55:47	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x0e151a…