Smoggy-Bribery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,143

lifetime

Volume

$2.60M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

$300

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-02 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

85% 50% +$87

Politics

9% 0% $-106

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-301	$-319	100¢	$-300	+$19	06-11 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	718	$259.0K	147,532	135,139	+12,393	open	—	03-30 18:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	277	$207.5K	96,932	119,992	-23,060	open	—	03-26 11:00
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	334	$167.4K	85,326	90,237	-4,911	open	—	03-26 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	202	$136.8K	67,787	72,936	-5,149	open	—	04-17 16:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	307	$115.0K	56,372	61,325	-4,953	open	—	04-11 01:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	280	$101.8K	53,517	54,090	-573	open	—	04-29 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	172	$96.9K	49,464	50,340	-875	open	—	04-27 13:22
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	166	$94.9K	44,611	51,580	-6,970	open	—	03-31 14:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	48	$76.5K	25,327	52,098	-26,771	open	—	06-27 09:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	262	$72.6K	50,535	38,264	+12,270	open	—	03-31 17:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	155	$62.8K	31,168	35,242	-4,074	open	—	04-18 13:20
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	13	$56.0K	41,200	15,000	+26,200	open	—	03-05 22:13
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	89	$44.4K	22,082	24,082	-1,999	open	—	03-30 18:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	73	$32.6K	16,316	17,043	-728	open	—	05-26 13:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	178	$31.1K	18,269	18,105	+164	open	—	04-21 19:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	62	$29.7K	15,876	16,894	-1,018	open	—	06-24 13:28
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	45	$27.7K	18,367	9,666	+8,701	open	—	01-30 21:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	45	$27.5K	14,466	14,524	-57	open	—	04-25 15:49
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	58	$27.4K	18,036	10,036	+8,000	open	—	02-23 14:19
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	43	$26.5K	14,793	11,864	+2,929	open	—	03-10 20:57
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	40	$24.1K	11,029	14,316	-3,287	open	—	06-12 16:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	81	$23.8K	20,511	24,019	-3,508	open	—	02-27 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	138	$23.0K	14,941	15,066	-125	open	—	04-24 15:45
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	14	$22.4K	11,217	11,217	+0	open	—	03-05 22:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	56	$22.1K	21,010	24,010	-3,000	open	—	02-27 02:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	44	$20.9K	11,600	11,567	+33	open	—	04-29 15:57
crude oil all time high by march 31	32	$20.0K	10,521	10,521	+0	open	—	03-30 18:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	61	$19.8K	11,900	12,357	-457	open	—	04-08 01:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	47	$18.0K	9,559	10,213	-655	open	—	04-30 18:59
will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	90	$16.0K	9,645	9,060	+585	open	—	06-29 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:30:52	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	55	59¢	$32	0x9eb0e9…
07-01 17:14:28	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x1a4668…
07-01 15:19:43	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x3f7190…
07-01 15:19:20	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3636bb…
07-01 15:18:46	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x11cde8…
07-01 15:18:08	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	268	94¢	$252	0x3b6960…
06-30 12:51:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x0d2941…
06-30 12:50:43	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	1,347	100¢	$1,342	0x37d276…
06-29 20:48:14	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x3430bb…
06-29 19:48:56	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3e36f5…
06-29 13:45:47	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	222	97¢	$215	0xc5db9c…
06-29 11:49:58	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	812	95¢	$771	0x5245a9…
06-29 02:08:04	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	373	92¢	$343	0x8b6ec0…
06-29 00:24:56	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	261	93¢	$242	0xa2dfac…
06-29 00:07:41	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xddcd16…
06-29 00:07:32	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,682	94¢	$1,584	0xe65c86…
06-28 11:39:56	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x048dd8…
06-28 08:10:02	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x09c14a…
06-27 22:30:59	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	101	75¢	$76	0x03af08…
06-27 20:13:52	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xd360d4…
06-27 15:58:02	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0x192020…
06-27 15:23:52	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc56596…
06-27 09:23:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x39019a…
06-27 07:11:13	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xf1b173…
06-27 07:10:28	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	35	90¢	$31	0xf94298…
06-27 05:38:02	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbf2aa9…
06-27 05:38:01	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x6db426…
06-27 05:13:53	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xf549b4…
06-26 16:27:20	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	1,617	88¢	$1,423	0x3294b3…
06-26 14:40:02	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x31d30e…
06-26 14:39:53	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa35219…
06-26 14:03:49	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	304	84¢	$255	0x503caa…
06-26 14:03:27	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xf9e304…
06-26 13:59:40	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	162	82¢	$133	0x44da22…
06-26 01:28:13	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xe67a9d…
06-25 23:02:46	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x111f32…
06-25 22:58:44	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x6f19e1…
06-25 22:57:46	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x0aac73…
06-25 22:46:08	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	111	88¢	$98	0x40b5e2…
06-25 18:28:08	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0x2ae5db…
06-25 15:16:07	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	SELL	346	94¢	$325	0x2f9eee…
06-25 14:02:02	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x9b866a…
06-25 13:38:37	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	979	89¢	$867	0xbe1194…
06-25 12:37:38	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x1a8789…
06-25 12:10:47	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	907	21¢	$190	0x85b3d7…
06-25 11:47:41	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x569eda…
06-25 11:42:20	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	298	96¢	$286	0xf38fa8…
06-24 20:07:29	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	97	83¢	$81	0x691194…
06-24 20:05:26	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x01da2b…
06-24 20:05:20	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xf57fa4…
06-24 19:29:34	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x746f3b…
06-24 18:51:47	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xfb9ce3…
06-24 17:54:56	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	104	38¢	$39	0x1044b3…
06-24 17:46:11	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	299	80¢	$240	0x19d352…
06-24 14:35:28	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	261	83¢	$217	0x4c3081…
06-24 14:31:17	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xa4c7e7…
06-24 14:03:59	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	225	32¢	$71	0x8cacdd…
06-24 13:53:01	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x36adfa…
06-24 13:34:31	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	79	30¢	$24	0xa118aa…
06-24 13:34:13	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	138	78¢	$108	0x819c4d…
06-24 13:28:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	439	24¢	$103	0x0a86f9…
06-24 13:27:38	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	217	97¢	$211	0x86c78a…
06-24 13:27:23	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	240	97¢	$233	0x7fb9c9…
06-24 02:52:58	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	180	79¢	$142	0x89b2c3…
06-24 02:52:46	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	321	32¢	$102	0x1ad89e…
06-23 16:10:55	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0x066e3f…
06-23 16:10:43	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	92	33¢	$30	0x245900…
06-23 15:53:20	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	387	29¢	$111	0x8b615c…
06-23 15:52:58	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	388	79¢	$306	0x7b25bf…
06-23 15:50:40	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	262	93¢	$244	0x591bab…
06-23 15:50:23	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	188	28¢	$53	0x5f5c29…
06-23 15:32:02	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	813	94¢	$768	0x894533…
06-23 14:32:07	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xe32263…
06-23 14:29:11	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xc0ab01…
06-23 13:52:11	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x4a0bba…
06-23 13:48:02	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	452	33¢	$150	0x2aeeb3…
06-23 13:42:34	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	269	36¢	$97	0x588e6a…
06-23 13:30:28	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	939	95¢	$894	0x95d89b…
06-23 13:10:08	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xe5317a…
06-23 13:07:01	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	55	76¢	$42	0xdb4ac9…
06-23 12:09:41	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	225	75¢	$169	0x0aef8a…
06-23 11:24:58	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	360	80¢	$286	0x25903f…
06-23 11:24:23	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	361	34¢	$124	0xbe0a0a…
06-23 08:40:49	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x57bb99…
06-23 08:40:32	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x0a4489…
06-23 08:40:22	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x60791d…
06-23 08:19:11	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc30dea…
06-23 08:01:23	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x634c0b…
06-23 08:00:34	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xad0f30…
06-23 08:00:04	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xbd0914…
06-23 07:59:20	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	227	24¢	$54	0x108ef0…
06-23 07:56:26	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xde3dca…
06-23 07:49:20	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x304907…
06-23 07:48:41	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0xc0f1f6…
06-23 07:41:22	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	56	24¢	$13	0x592c14…
06-23 07:25:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,688	18¢	$304	0x86e8ad…
06-23 07:23:20	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0xe6632e…
06-23 07:14:44	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x1ec6a9…
06-23 07:05:50	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	SELL	216	97¢	$209	0x1947e2…
06-23 07:05:25	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	89	86¢	$77	0x8fd48a…