Smoggy-Bribery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,908

lifetime

Volume

$2.76M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-23 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 50% +$87

Politics

9% 0% $-106

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+202	$119	50¢	$102	$-17	07-09 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	718	$259.0K	147,532	135,139	+12,393	open	—	03-30 18:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	277	$207.5K	96,932	119,992	-23,060	open	—	03-26 11:00
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	334	$167.4K	85,326	90,237	-4,911	open	—	03-26 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	202	$136.8K	67,787	72,936	-5,149	open	—	04-17 16:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	307	$115.0K	56,372	61,325	-4,953	open	—	04-11 01:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	280	$101.8K	53,517	54,090	-573	open	—	04-29 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	172	$96.9K	49,464	50,340	-875	open	—	04-27 13:22
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	166	$94.9K	44,611	51,580	-6,970	open	—	03-31 14:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	48	$76.5K	25,327	52,098	-26,771	open	—	06-27 09:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	262	$72.6K	50,535	38,264	+12,270	open	—	03-31 17:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	155	$62.8K	31,168	35,242	-4,074	open	—	04-18 13:20
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	13	$56.0K	41,200	15,000	+26,200	open	—	03-05 22:13
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	89	$44.4K	22,082	24,082	-1,999	open	—	03-30 18:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	73	$32.6K	16,316	17,043	-728	open	—	05-26 13:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	178	$31.1K	18,269	18,105	+164	open	—	04-21 19:46
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	07-05 22:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	62	$29.7K	15,876	16,894	-1,018	open	—	06-24 13:28
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	45	$27.7K	18,367	9,666	+8,701	open	—	01-30 21:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	45	$27.5K	14,466	14,524	-57	open	—	04-25 15:49
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	58	$27.4K	18,036	10,036	+8,000	open	—	02-23 14:19
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	43	$26.5K	14,793	11,864	+2,929	open	—	03-10 20:57
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	40	$24.1K	11,029	14,316	-3,287	open	—	06-12 16:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	81	$23.8K	20,511	24,019	-3,508	open	—	02-27 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	138	$23.0K	14,941	15,066	-125	open	—	04-24 15:45
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	14	$22.4K	11,217	11,217	+0	open	—	03-05 22:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	56	$22.1K	21,010	24,010	-3,000	open	—	02-27 02:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	44	$20.9K	11,600	11,567	+33	open	—	04-29 15:57
crude oil all time high by march 31	32	$20.0K	10,521	10,521	+0	open	—	03-30 18:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	61	$19.8K	11,900	12,357	-457	open	—	04-08 01:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	47	$18.0K	9,559	10,213	-655	open	—	04-30 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:39:43	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8ca0da…
07-23 07:57:31	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	195	22¢	$43	0x3c4c3f…
07-23 07:54:52	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0x6c18e1…
07-23 07:51:43	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x959877…
07-23 07:41:28	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc115c2…
07-23 07:38:37	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	153	27¢	$41	0xe645a0…
07-23 07:35:30	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x454112…
07-23 07:35:07	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xbcf621…
07-23 07:11:51	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	196	29¢	$57	0x976edf…
07-23 06:52:31	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x445f8b…
07-23 05:36:34	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	203	99¢	$200	0xe94c55…
07-23 05:33:49	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x78d4f8…
07-23 05:17:42	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x267f4c…
07-23 05:14:45	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x29c758…
07-23 05:10:03	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x09ad9f…
07-23 04:36:00	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x914360…
07-23 04:19:58	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfe3d1c…
07-23 04:17:28	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	194	99¢	$192	0xe588d4…
07-23 02:56:19	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4c1b6a…
07-23 02:48:01	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x68506b…
07-23 02:36:12	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x240e72…
07-23 01:31:45	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	227	99¢	$224	0xca4247…
07-23 01:31:42	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	443	99¢	$437	0x950ed9…
07-23 01:23:39	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x272c06…
07-23 00:13:52	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	2,282	98¢	$2,245	0xd55de9…
07-22 23:45:40	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	533	99¢	$526	0x41e275…
07-22 23:31:46	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x8912db…
07-22 23:25:00	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4c26e9…
07-22 23:06:04	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x627bab…
07-22 23:03:30	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb00a0c…
07-22 22:15:16	will googl reach 400 in july 2026	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0xe90d48…
07-22 22:12:36	will googl reach 390 in july 2026	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x9357b1…
07-22 22:11:58	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x32fd72…
07-22 22:11:19	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4bfa6a…
07-22 22:10:30	will googl reach 390 in july 2026	No	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0xa1cd0e…
07-22 21:35:37	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0xc56595…
07-22 21:29:40	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x12e6ee…
07-22 20:48:57	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbc1851…
07-22 20:20:42	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x533bc7…
07-22 20:06:42	will googl reach 400 in july 2026	No	BUY	449	94¢	$422	0x261ec9…
07-22 19:39:30	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	419	99¢	$415	0x6e6c91…
07-22 19:32:07	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc0b82b…
07-22 19:20:12	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfce4e9…
07-22 18:41:01	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2d8c28…
07-22 18:04:30	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7c8162…
07-22 17:31:22	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd3626b…
07-22 17:20:55	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd62383…
07-22 17:20:00	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,111	99¢	$1,104	0x10a8dc…
07-22 17:12:24	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	351	99¢	$348	0x62ee68…
07-22 17:10:49	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x75495d…
07-22 17:00:03	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	870	99¢	$858	0x2cf9bf…
07-22 16:47:18	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9c9de8…
07-22 16:46:12	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc229b4…
07-22 16:33:58	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x90b724…
07-22 16:08:48	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfb685b…
07-22 16:03:58	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	396	96¢	$379	0xf29f12…
07-22 15:32:12	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x043fb3…
07-22 15:19:01	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x351de3…
07-22 15:13:46	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	430	99¢	$424	0xe3b6fe…
07-22 15:09:25	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x92b4b0…
07-22 15:08:52	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	471	14¢	$66	0xcf2fee…
07-22 15:07:58	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	192	95¢	$183	0x74c7c3…
07-22 15:06:10	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0x91fa87…
07-22 15:05:22	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	390	15¢	$58	0x4fc3d0…
07-22 14:41:46	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc6fc3…
07-22 14:39:21	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0bdddd…
07-22 14:03:37	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0xda1f37…
07-22 13:54:45	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	112	95¢	$107	0x06e69c…
07-22 13:38:42	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	912	91¢	$830	0x4e4e20…
07-22 13:31:51	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	387	90¢	$349	0x9a2a0b…
07-22 11:35:06	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	190	17¢	$32	0xac7e0c…
07-22 10:41:21	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	555	98¢	$545	0x6bb533…
07-22 10:13:33	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x6d527f…
07-22 10:13:30	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x086a82…
07-22 10:13:25	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,050	98¢	$1,033	0x3bfff8…
07-22 10:12:01	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xc8294b…
07-22 10:06:40	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2,222	98¢	$2,169	0xe51eef…
07-22 09:36:16	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,946	0x83f584…
07-22 09:00:16	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xb61754…
07-22 07:55:57	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc86be0…
07-22 07:40:51	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,122	90¢	$1,010	0x7226e3…
07-22 07:40:36	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	550	15¢	$82	0x427af2…
07-22 07:35:43	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	870	14¢	$122	0xca7506…
07-22 07:35:36	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x65927f…
07-22 07:32:48	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0x9594e9…
07-22 07:04:46	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfbae87…
07-22 06:57:40	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	48	30¢	$15	0x6d53a2…
07-22 06:45:45	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xb209bd…
07-22 06:24:16	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xf44160…
07-22 06:07:58	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa3a15a…
07-22 05:56:00	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x350762…
07-22 02:36:09	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4c2636…
07-22 02:28:16	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xbbf6a0…
07-22 01:29:34	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x8250b4…
07-22 01:26:04	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	No	BUY	48	64¢	$31	0x05676b…
07-22 01:05:15	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x950425…
07-22 00:58:12	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x8420dc…
07-21 23:34:18	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x63f2e8…
07-21 22:53:09	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$4	0x54dbc6…
07-21 22:33:39	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2836ee…