Dramatic-Leptocephalus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

168

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-12 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 69% -$27

Other

25% 64% -$42

Sports

0% 67% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-6	-$4	74¢	$-4	-$1	05-23 07:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-3	-$2	96¢	$-2	$0	05-23 07:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	4	$148	88	88	+0	No	+$5	09-16 09:29
will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	6	$94	64	64	+0	No	+$9	10-15 06:58
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	3	$90	86	46	+40	Yes	-$25	09-14 22:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	2	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$5	11-08 11:01
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	4	$54	40	40	+0	No	+$10	10-23 06:37
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	2	$52	30	30	+0	No	+$1	10-22 01:38
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	4	$46	35	35	+0	No	-$15	10-26 23:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	2	$42	50	50	+0	No	-$6	10-26 23:13
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?	1	$41	50	0	+50	Yes	-$41	09-16 09:30
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	09-10 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	1	$32	35	0	+35	No	+$4	10-09 07:29
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	1	$30	34	0	+34	No	+$4	09-10 13:29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$25	40	0	+40	resolved	-$25	11-09 02:40
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 31-September 6?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	09-01 16:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	1	$21	30	0	+30	No	+$9	10-26 23:17
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	2	$20	11	10	+0	No	+$0	04-18 02:50
will bitcoin reach 86k august 24 30 2026	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	08-25 01:44
will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	08-24 06:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$18	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-23 08:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	1	$17	20	0	+20	Yes	-$17	11-12 04:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	3	$16	44	0	+44	Yes	+$8	11-08 11:14
dota2 bb4 liquid 2026 03 15	9	$13	10	10	+0	Team Liquid	-$1	03-15 14:00
will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	1	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$1	10-15 07:49
will team yandex win pgl wallachia season 7	4	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	03-15 23:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-23 08:41
will googl dip to 320 in july 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-15 13:02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$9	20	0	+20	Bilibili Gaming	-$9	11-08 11:10
will bitcoin dip to 74k august 24 30 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	08-27 00:11
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in June?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	-$8	05-26 14:41
will bitcoin reach 74k april 13 19	1	$7	12	0	+12	Yes	-$7	04-13 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:26:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb871f6…
11-12 04:02:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8471d8…
11-09 02:40:30	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xba1828…
11-08 11:14:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x3a2acc…
11-08 11:10:13	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa797b4…
11-08 11:07:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2c56c4…
11-08 11:01:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x19c0ea…
11-02 09:59:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xcbe86e…
11-02 09:57:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xe6d232…
10-26 23:17:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x45003b…
10-26 23:16:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x93ba58…
10-26 23:14:39	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x85cc99…
10-26 23:13:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xe438fa…
10-23 12:46:11	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf70fd1…
10-23 12:44:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa963be…
10-23 06:37:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x09336d…
10-23 05:17:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xc3809b…
10-23 05:02:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x26487c…
10-23 04:39:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x78f665…
10-22 01:38:23	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x65c85f…
10-21 23:47:15	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x2d312b…
10-21 23:45:33	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x59f11a…
10-15 07:49:44	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xdff55b…
10-15 06:58:02	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x3e8bca…
10-15 06:57:31	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x5f70ba…
10-15 06:57:28	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	No	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0x2916e3…
10-13 04:05:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x197054…
10-12 23:05:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x3f8a93…
10-12 08:16:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x6e5858…
10-09 07:29:42	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x53a30e…
10-09 07:25:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x23bd73…
10-08 02:55:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xaa3c62…
09-30 05:41:39	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe4a410…
09-22 05:18:24	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x644e52…
09-16 09:30:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x3e3a5d…
09-16 09:29:37	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0xd1d2f1…
09-15 04:42:28	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0x6dcee4…
09-14 22:01:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x2e69d6…
09-10 13:31:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xadefe2…
09-10 13:29:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x0ccc2f…
09-10 13:24:21	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	No	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0x16cd81…
09-10 13:23:37	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x5d5357…
09-02 06:11:36	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x318f8f…
09-02 06:05:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xb4bbe8…
09-01 16:36:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x4adb66…
09-01 03:29:33	will bitcoin reach 82k august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdda0fe…
08-27 00:11:34	will bitcoin dip to 74k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa4073d…
08-25 01:44:30	will bitcoin reach 86k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x0b849a…
08-24 06:56:34	will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xfbb4c8…
07-15 15:14:40	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15 game2	1win	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xecf710…
07-15 15:13:59	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15 game1	1win	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd377b0…
07-15 13:03:01	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15	1win	BUY	7	69¢	$4	0x587f04…
07-15 13:02:37	will googl dip to 320 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x1e4b3a…
07-15 12:57:55	dota2 1win vg 2026 07 15 game1	1win	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x928536…
07-12 09:56:32	will googl dip to 320 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7becfd…
06-02 19:49:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x39a106…
05-30 14:10:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5f5f29…
05-30 14:07:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa77e26…
05-30 14:05:21	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $385-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe5b22c…
05-30 14:04:46	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xf25a1c…
05-30 14:02:05	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x907037…
05-28 01:51:16	Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xee4134…
05-28 01:50:26	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2c378b…
05-26 14:41:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in June?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x659797…
05-23 08:41:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6e3366…
05-23 08:41:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x62d742…
05-23 07:58:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3d98e1…
05-23 07:48:16	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xc010ee…
05-23 07:48:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x0df549…
05-23 07:47:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x42d654…
05-04 12:32:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x208f67…
05-04 12:28:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2f6e41…
04-28 08:13:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x03d77e…
04-28 06:00:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfc15f7…
04-28 05:58:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xa78b46…
04-28 05:54:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xe3fa4f…
04-28 05:51:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xaa9812…
04-22 07:43:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x02d5a2…
04-22 07:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3b9a23…
04-22 07:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x98488c…
04-19 07:57:54	dota2 pari heroic 2026 04 19	PARIVISION	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd61ab8…
04-19 07:57:32	dota2 ts8 flc 2026 04 19	Team Falcons	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe4a661…
04-19 07:57:26	dota2 ty sar1 2026 04 19	Team Yandex	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa0c4ed…
04-19 07:57:10	dota2 xtreme aur1 2026 04 19	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x90dc3e…
04-18 02:54:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x98447f…
04-18 02:53:46	dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	Aurora	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa8a5a0…
04-18 02:53:08	dota2 tundra heroic 2026 04 18	Tundra Esports	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb65a46…
04-18 02:52:48	dota2 pari mouz 2026 04 18	PARIVISION	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xad85f4…
04-18 02:52:34	dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	Aurora	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd04586…
04-18 02:50:00	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x82c74c…
04-17 11:57:14	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6f08e0…
04-15 02:11:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5ae222…
04-14 11:07:27	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x834969…
04-14 10:59:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf33ff8…
04-14 10:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x8bac2d…
04-13 10:46:05	will bitcoin reach 74k april 13 19	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xfa7cf6…
04-10 13:42:53	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5e8b4c…
04-10 13:31:37	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf7056c…
04-10 07:10:17	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x206cd6…
04-10 07:09:31	will tsla reach 382 50 by april 6 2026	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x8ebf21…