Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

8,532 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$84.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 03-01 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

63% 55% -$2,397

Other

26% 66% -$318

Crypto

6% 48% +$228

Tech

4% 78% -$67

Sports

1% 71% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	184	$10.7K	6,721	4,646	+2,075	No	+$175	02-28 07:03
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	236	$5.1K	2,756	2,657	+99	No	+$98	02-23 04:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	497	$5.0K	1,596	3,660	-2,064	Yes	+$72	02-02 23:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	143	$4.1K	2,124	2,074	+49	No	-$13	03-01 20:47
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	45	$2.8K	2,212	626	+1,586	Yes	+$26	02-03 20:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	201	$2.3K	4,055	1,986	+2,069	Yes	+$1,011	02-28 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	62	$2.2K	2,144	2,144	+0	Yes	-$1,273	03-01 20:45
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	113	$2.1K	1,264	887	+376	Yes	+$41	02-28 00:18
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	90	$1.9K	1,364	620	+744	No	+$18	02-25 02:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	64	$1.5K	1,480	100	+1,380	No	+$74	02-01 05:31
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	38	$1.5K	1,407	861	+546	Yes	+$215	02-27 23:06
will axiom be accused of insider trading	52	$1.4K	1,378	662	+716	Yes	-$512	02-26 08:32
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	27	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	No	+$46	02-27 00:48
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	68	$1.2K	608	608	-0	No	+$10	02-11 13:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	25	$1.2K	840	840	+0	Yes	-$387	03-01 20:48
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	34	$1.1K	922	274	+648	No	+$25	02-20 03:40
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	34	$991	831	225	+606	No	+$43	02-28 06:48
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	36	$984	974	35	+939	No	+$24	02-23 22:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	37	$969	1,694	1,694	+0	Yes	-$893	03-01 21:11
Will the US strike Iran next?	42	$963	907	97	+810	No	+$39	01-29 23:57
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	129	$930	585	406	+179	No	+$10	02-28 14:14
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20	26	$860	631	311	+320	No	+$38	02-21 02:45
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	701	$840	2,882	411	+2,471	Yes	-$674	02-27 21:03
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	53	$834	844	58	+786	No	+$53	02-22 02:18
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	466	$805	621	457	+164	Yes	-$131	02-27 18:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	211	$805	8,529	8,481	+49	No	-$123	02-28 03:51
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	26	$795	783	37	+746	No	+$23	02-25 21:46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	28	$746	760	394	+366	Yes	-$170	02-28 16:11
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	147	$732	644	279	+365	Yes	-$107	02-28 09:55
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	46	$701	626	92	+534	Yes	+$17	01-30 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-01 21:14:51	bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x9c78f5…
03-01 21:14:37	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xf20c90…
03-01 21:14:23	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x58167f…
03-01 21:13:55	will the sp 500 index lose at least 4 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xd5066c…
03-01 21:12:43	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xcc513e…
03-01 21:12:35	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	2¢	$1	0x90040d…
03-01 21:12:27	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	292	0¢	$1	0x0fb667…
03-01 21:12:11	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	585	0¢	$2	0x4060c9…
03-01 21:12:01	will the sp 500 index gain at least 2 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xb080ff…
03-01 21:11:45	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0f08d6…
03-01 21:11:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,590	0¢	$2	0xc80f6d…
03-01 21:11:23	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xf7ed9a…
03-01 21:11:15	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xc11af5…
03-01 21:11:05	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x139a62…
03-01 21:10:45	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0728d1…
03-01 21:10:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xdb209a…
03-01 21:10:13	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0x0e493c…
03-01 21:10:03	will the sp 500 index gain at least 5 on any day in q1	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x001979…
03-01 21:09:49	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x17e07b…
03-01 21:09:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	316	2¢	$7	0xc6b26e…
03-01 21:08:59	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x37ce87…
03-01 21:08:31	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x27565c…
03-01 21:07:51	Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xe596f1…
03-01 21:07:33	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x9aa442…
03-01 21:07:17	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xad0dd9…
03-01 21:07:03	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x25f562…
03-01 21:06:35	will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	Yes	SELL	208	5¢	$10	0x22f03b…
03-01 21:05:43	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	337	4¢	$14	0x2794ab…
03-01 21:05:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x9144e2…
03-01 21:04:55	will the voice of hind rajab win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xf62623…
03-01 21:04:25	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0x9f3df8…
03-01 21:03:57	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 55m and 60m	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd1ec19…
03-01 21:03:17	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf81360…
03-01 21:02:47	pter magyar sextape released by march 31	No	SELL	39	61¢	$24	0xfd961a…
03-01 21:00:13	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xbccba5…
03-01 20:59:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	126	41¢	$51	0xa91fff…
03-01 20:53:47	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x467e94…
03-01 20:53:19	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	SELL	64	78¢	$50	0xda3a48…
03-01 20:52:33	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	54	98¢	$52	0x25f98d…
03-01 20:52:03	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0xffe3fc…
03-01 20:51:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	82	75¢	$62	0xc02b04…
03-01 20:51:35	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x48e41f…
03-01 20:51:27	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	79¢	$68	0x19077a…
03-01 20:51:15	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	84	85¢	$72	0xd58bae…
03-01 20:50:47	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	94	92¢	$87	0xd2c243…
03-01 20:50:35	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x142b4a…
03-01 20:50:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	84¢	$88	0xbc4659…
03-01 20:50:05	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	101	95¢	$96	0x8b6d96…
03-01 20:49:51	Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0x4049a1…
03-01 20:49:37	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xdb008e…
03-01 20:49:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	37¢	$115	0xaffa68…
03-01 20:48:49	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x6793b4…
03-01 20:48:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	477	28¢	$134	0xa4ee00…
03-01 20:48:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	579	29¢	$168	0xf0fbdd…
03-01 20:47:55	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x1d0c30…
03-01 20:47:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	248	96¢	$239	0xb1248f…
03-01 20:45:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,613	0¢	$2	0x983b07…
02-28 17:38:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	84	25¢	$21	0xc9145f…
02-28 17:29:25	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2641b9…
02-28 17:27:35	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xc4784a…
02-28 17:13:03	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7875ac…
02-28 17:13:01	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc744a7…
02-28 17:07:45	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5c2245…
02-28 17:02:43	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb9ddc8…
02-28 17:01:05	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfdd790…
02-28 16:40:03	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0e818f…
02-28 16:37:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1e13c1…
02-28 16:36:49	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0c8ecb…
02-28 16:32:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xe2a152…
02-28 16:32:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x7b786e…
02-28 16:31:49	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe4ded8…
02-28 16:31:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$27	0x1d82c2…
02-28 16:28:29	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 55m and 60m	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6cf434…
02-28 16:23:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	176	25¢	$44	0xff26be…
02-28 16:18:23	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8a9652…
02-28 16:15:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	404	97¢	$392	0x482499…
02-28 16:15:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0x713723…
02-28 16:15:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	237	98¢	$233	0xd14ddb…
02-28 16:15:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	235	98¢	$230	0x346ef1…
02-28 16:14:25	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	219	16¢	$35	0x1db778…
02-28 16:12:27	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	228	16¢	$36	0x1a1964…
02-28 16:11:45	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x982836…
02-28 16:11:43	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0x417fbb…
02-28 16:11:29	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xf706d6…
02-28 16:11:29	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0e3bc9…
02-28 16:11:25	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8b994a…
02-28 16:11:09	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8a8a02…
02-28 16:11:09	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x055375…
02-28 16:11:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xb46e16…
02-28 16:11:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x9f521f…
02-28 16:10:17	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90634d…
02-28 16:08:49	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfa371e…
02-28 16:08:33	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x3a1b5d…
02-28 16:06:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x0fad2b…
02-28 16:06:19	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x6d4d07…
02-28 16:05:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x60e613…
02-28 16:05:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	124	27¢	$34	0x4db726…
02-28 16:03:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf416ae…
02-28 16:03:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8ab2cb…
02-28 16:02:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd61e3b…