Apprehensive-Spy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

102

Trades

1,372

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$86

15 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 11-02 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

63% 42% -$211

Other

36% 55% +$248

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+78	$10	32¢	$25	+$15	10-02 00:48
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+21	-$3	84¢	$17	+$20	11-02 07:21
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+424	$69	2¢	$10	-$59	11-01 04:08
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+10	$9	98¢	$10	+$0	09-21 14:36
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+47	$10	15¢	$7	-$4	10-26 00:44
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+20	$6	28¢	$6	-$1	11-02 16:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+23	$8	22¢	$5	-$3	07-30 14:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+7	$4	28¢	$2	-$2	06-02 02:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	26¢	$1	-$1	10-03 14:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	$0	11-02 19:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+7	$1	13¢	$1	$0	10-31 01:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	+10	$2	6¢	$1	-$2	05-10 16:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+105	$2	0¢	$0	-$1	05-17 09:20
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	+74	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	10-31 22:37
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	-0	$5	4¢	$-0	-$5	11-02 09:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	134	$155	1,517	689	+827	Yes	-$96	04-10 22:16
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	78	$147	324	172	+151	No	+$13	04-10 23:15
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	14	$118	249	53	+195	Yes	-$3	04-11 13:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	28	$100	163	136	+27	Yes	+$7	04-12 12:04
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	11	$100	265	132	+134	No	-$16	05-24 17:27
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	20	$96	52	52	+0	No	+$4	09-06 07:52
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	7	$96	251	251	+0	Yes	+$5	06-14 16:53
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$79	183	154	+29	Yes	-$2	04-10 23:25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$73	157	65	+92	Yes	+$82	06-12 10:20
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	3	$72	77	0	+77	No	+$5	05-22 21:42
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	72	$70	462	38	+424	open	—	11-01 04:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$67	88	0	+88	Yes	+$21	04-07 23:00
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	2	$66	291	0	+291	Yes	-$66	08-20 15:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$64	203	203	+0	No	-$6	03-29 01:54
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	16	$52	51	51	+0	No	+$4	04-12 10:28
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	3	$51	61	6	+56	Yes	+$16	06-25 16:17
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	41	$48	1,020	10	+1,010	No	-$30	07-15 15:25
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	14	$46	46	13	+33	Yes	+$12	05-07 12:33
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	32	$44	201	201	+0	No	-$4	04-11 09:29
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$7	07-13 17:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	12	$40	168	0	+168	Yes	+$128	05-14 09:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$40	158	158	+0	No	-$1	06-17 10:43
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$40	574	0	+574	No	-$40	05-16 20:56
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	4	$37	109	11	+98	open	—	06-25 13:35
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	3	$35	43	22	+21	open	—	11-02 07:21
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	06-17 18:45
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	21	$34	29	29	+0	Yes	+$14	04-09 22:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$32	49	49	+0	Yes	+$16	04-07 22:32
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	2	$32	22	19	+3	Yes	+$9	07-26 09:18
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$31	35	0	+35	No	+$3	05-14 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:29:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xec120d…
11-02 18:27:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe816a1…
11-02 16:41:58	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xa6a740…
11-02 16:41:57	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x997627…
11-02 15:53:57	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x62d859…
11-02 15:38:21	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x69ddb4…
11-02 13:26:09	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xc88872…
11-02 12:29:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc2e741…
11-02 11:43:09	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x65fa54…
11-02 10:56:46	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x6817e1…
11-02 09:17:22	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xc987a3…
11-02 08:52:09	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe25351…
11-02 08:49:10	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x668790…
11-02 08:25:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x18039f…
11-02 08:20:46	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7d07bf…
11-02 08:04:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd11685…
11-02 07:50:12	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x08b2b7…
11-02 07:25:49	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x21907a…
11-02 07:22:46	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8a2701…
11-02 07:21:52	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x7fca91…
11-02 07:16:19	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x449ba7…
11-02 07:16:06	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x449dee…
11-02 03:08:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a54f4…
11-02 02:31:03	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0x93979c…
11-02 00:35:03	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xeec763…
11-01 21:26:48	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x413b0e…
11-01 15:56:58	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xc92018…
11-01 15:34:51	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x2505d0…
11-01 15:34:04	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x7b31c7…
11-01 14:53:58	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x1d4d89…
11-01 14:53:40	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x1112f4…
11-01 14:50:07	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x80ed2e…
11-01 14:45:31	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x03ea9f…
11-01 11:24:33	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x2e4e71…
11-01 09:54:18	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5fd420…
11-01 09:50:43	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x35064d…
11-01 04:42:57	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xada112…
11-01 04:26:27	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x916a96…
11-01 04:08:54	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa50684…
11-01 04:08:54	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x9b5da1…
11-01 04:08:52	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xec493b…
11-01 03:55:03	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x9c063d…
11-01 03:51:19	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xdd2f46…
11-01 03:33:19	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x66c475…
11-01 02:52:37	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x3f594d…
11-01 01:33:00	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x9bb2b8…
11-01 01:33:00	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x753ce6…
11-01 01:20:03	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xdd42f5…
11-01 00:07:45	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x539243…
10-31 23:48:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xc16030…
10-31 23:29:28	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xc5e4eb…
10-31 23:08:34	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x406b65…
10-31 22:55:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x7582e0…
10-31 22:37:58	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5a50d…
10-31 22:15:39	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xfab3a4…
10-31 22:15:39	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xfa3cdc…
10-31 22:15:37	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x07c2b5…
10-31 22:15:37	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x06638b…
10-31 22:15:36	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa126ba…
10-31 22:15:36	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x1e918b…
10-31 22:15:34	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x710e5e…
10-31 22:15:34	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x4594d5…
10-31 22:15:33	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xfee116…
10-31 22:15:33	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x1ce84b…
10-31 22:15:31	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x0a0e32…
10-31 22:15:31	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x00d527…
10-31 22:15:30	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x8dd451…
10-31 22:15:28	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc695b7…
10-31 22:15:28	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa3bf40…
10-31 22:15:28	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x9aab5a…
10-31 22:15:27	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x0ca038…
10-31 22:15:25	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x794863…
10-31 22:15:25	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x3df883…
10-31 22:15:24	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x78cdc8…
10-31 22:15:24	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x00f42e…
10-31 22:15:22	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5de00f…
10-31 22:15:21	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x7b2de5…
10-31 22:15:21	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x1b9af4…
10-31 22:15:19	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x9741fa…
10-31 22:15:18	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xd0c957…
10-31 22:15:18	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x3b723c…
10-31 22:15:16	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x8a40cc…
10-31 22:15:16	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x43aec3…
10-31 22:15:15	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xb747e5…
10-31 22:15:15	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x041b24…
10-31 22:15:13	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc17727…
10-31 22:15:13	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x996f51…
10-31 22:15:12	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa7f775…
10-31 22:15:12	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x6fa7be…
10-31 22:15:10	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x56f578…
10-31 22:15:10	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x54b2dc…
10-31 22:15:09	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc1f816…
10-31 22:15:09	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x8bd16d…
10-31 22:15:07	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xd7f293…
10-31 22:15:07	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xca622d…
10-31 22:15:07	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5e5738…
10-31 22:15:06	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc6990d…
10-31 22:15:04	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x1bae68…
10-31 22:15:04	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x191747…
10-31 22:15:03	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xcd5748…