Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

241 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$236

$1.68K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-07 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 68% +$7

Other

2% 40% -$4

Politics

2% 17% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+11	$3	5¢	$1	-$2	11-06 09:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+34	$1	2¢	$1	$0	10-09 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	3	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7PM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	10-07 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 19:50 UTC	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	03-25 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6PM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	10-07 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5PM ET	2	$34	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	10-07 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$34	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$1	10-07 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	3	$25	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 08:29
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	3	$25	49	49	+0	Up	+$13	03-25 18:58
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	3	$24	42	42	+0	No	+$19	03-19 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-08 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET	3	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-08 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	4	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 07:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	3	$21	87	87	+0	Yes	+$16	03-04 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-08 10:14
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	3	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-11 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-09 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-11 14:54
Solana Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	4	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 11:59
Solana Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-19 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	10-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-08 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-09 07:58
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-14 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-09 08:28
Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-11 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:20:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x95d30e…
11-06 09:59:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xd1698f…
11-03 20:49:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xce617b…
11-03 20:43:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x388a53…
10-30 07:59:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x3db6bd…
10-29 23:37:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x311321…
10-23 12:52:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x918b1f…
10-23 12:04:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x98f1cb…
10-19 13:52:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4c06b0…
10-19 13:48:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0xcb4025…
10-19 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x38005f…
10-19 13:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xec4e68…
10-19 12:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcaa85d…
10-19 12:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7a5721…
10-19 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x96951c…
10-19 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f5514…
10-19 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc2de60…
10-19 08:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x1bb2e3…
10-19 08:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf5b6c4…
10-19 08:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x72807b…
10-19 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x43e52e…
10-19 08:44:05	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc49c39…
10-19 08:44:03	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x355efd…
10-19 08:41:27	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5f4bf9…
10-19 08:28:30	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x646599…
10-19 08:28:27	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3077d7…
10-19 08:27:06	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x7099be…
10-17 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfce534…
10-17 19:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x420b94…
10-17 14:55:42	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5c9241…
10-17 14:40:30	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xc29812…
10-16 14:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8e5813…
10-16 14:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb12d5a…
10-16 13:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x6f893d…
10-16 13:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x03f7fc…
10-16 13:14:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6fe852…
10-16 13:13:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaad8d1…
10-16 12:48:03	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd0cdf3…
10-16 12:45:01	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xda6a87…
10-16 11:59:01	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x25abdc…
10-16 11:58:43	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8bef18…
10-16 11:57:51	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8ebeb5…
10-16 11:54:25	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfc8263…
10-16 06:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x70d56a…
10-14 16:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7b87df…
10-14 16:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6f818c…
10-14 16:12:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x378f93…
10-14 16:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x9276c3…
10-14 16:09:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x19daa4…
10-14 15:53:00	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xff5d5b…
10-14 15:49:13	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x966e05…
10-14 15:48:34	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa90ecd…
10-14 15:12:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xfa128d…
10-14 15:10:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x35cfd6…
10-14 14:53:43	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2f1172…
10-14 14:53:03	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x63abf4…
10-14 14:47:18	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb0c693…
10-14 10:58:10	dogecoin up or down october 14 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d1da2…
10-14 10:58:07	dogecoin up or down october 14 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x54b13b…
10-14 10:54:28	dogecoin up or down october 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcc2252…
10-14 07:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x010392…
10-14 07:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfd2daf…
10-14 07:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe501cd…
10-14 07:11:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3dc937…
10-14 06:44:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f5964…
10-14 06:41:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x89d075…
10-14 04:56:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf41cac…
10-14 04:55:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4bfc17…
10-13 07:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x199837…
10-13 07:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d5c50…
10-13 07:51:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea5744…
10-12 19:48:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd10f65…
10-12 19:45:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x8a2863…
10-12 09:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x643e1d…
10-12 09:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc88c6a…
10-12 05:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf8d4c0…
10-12 05:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x25b138…
10-12 05:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3fed23…
10-11 16:57:12	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbe86f5…
10-11 16:54:00	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x765649…
10-11 14:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7f941b…
10-11 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x911bf8…
10-11 13:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7a10fe…
10-11 13:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc95c42…
10-11 13:12:22	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x90b6e7…
10-11 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1fd9db…
10-11 12:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb1a378…
10-11 12:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xc73a93…
10-11 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x881ae2…
10-11 05:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1cd71e…
10-11 05:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xd3eccb…
10-11 05:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2fde66…
10-11 04:58:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xc41fdf…
10-10 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe93cb9…
10-10 18:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc59c7c…
10-10 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2828a2…
10-10 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7fb535…
10-10 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x607d33…
10-09 15:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfd4d92…
10-09 15:24:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc398f2…