Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$186

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved (30d)

490

Trades (30d)

1,932

7,821 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$624

$3.17K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 11-01 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

78% 33% +$869

Politics

12% 42% +$83

Sports

5% 8% -$6

Crypto

3% 47% +$88

Tech

2% 50% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 43% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?	38	$256	2,298	298	+2,000	Yes	+$241	08-25 02:25
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	59	$142	1,391	355	+1,036	Yes	+$120	09-09 17:56
AEK vs. OFI: Neither team to score first?	4	$130	216	216	+0	Yes	+$125	09-02 16:49
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 27?	33	$85	186	137	+49	No	+$120	08-27 13:00
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	26	$74	215	202	+14	No	+$87	09-09 17:13
HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	4	$70	70	70	+0	Down	+$69	10-29 21:03
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on August 28?	9	$62	69	63	+6	No	+$58	08-28 05:34
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	44	$54	1,321	197	+1,124	Yes	+$43	10-26 22:33
Will the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	15	$32	50	50	+0	No	+$29	10-06 04:50
Will Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?	58	$32	561	501	+60	Yes	+$20	09-27 21:45
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on August 24?	6	$31	18	48	-30	No	+$31	08-24 23:34
Will SV Meppen 1912 win on 2026-08-23?	47	$29	369	369	+0	No	+$26	08-23 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	48	$25	184	184	+0	Yes	+$3	08-18 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?	43	$22	198	166	+32	Yes	+$8	08-23 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	34	$19	104	104	+0	Yes	+$3	08-29 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 28?	44	$18	222	149	+74	Yes	+$2	08-28 13:52
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	36	$17	338	86	+251	Yes	+$1	08-31 16:23
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26?	2	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$13	09-22 04:33
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	6	$17	178	16	+162	Yes	+$14	08-24 00:42
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	10	$15	200	43	+157	Yes	+$7	10-28 04:38
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 24?	25	$14	454	18	+436	Yes	+$8	08-25 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 16?	28	$14	111	72	+39	Yes	+$0	08-16 22:50
Will "My Brilliant Career: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	31	$14	183	117	+66	Yes	+$1	08-24 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 17?	39	$13	123	115	+8	Yes	+$3	08-17 10:40
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on August 29?	6	$13	34	26	+8	No	+$10	08-30 05:06
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	25	$12	105	88	+17	Yes	+$1	09-21 18:21
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	28	$12	254	170	+84	Yes	+$1	09-20 23:10
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 25?	28	$12	615	75	+541	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:23
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	11	$11	80	43	+37	Yes	+$3	08-14 03:06
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	12	$11	98	98	+0	No	+$11	09-05 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:33:04	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x9db9b8…
11-01 16:27:12	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xcc69d2…
11-01 16:27:09	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x072dd8…
11-01 15:44:46	Will Chase Meidroth win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xe3c591…
11-01 15:10:04	Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3f809a…
11-01 14:53:21	Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xc0c2c0…
11-01 14:53:21	Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2ca5a4…
11-01 13:15:21	Will Vox win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x204f7b…
11-01 12:57:19	Will ERC win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x8b0da5…
11-01 12:42:34	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xa07306…
11-01 12:41:39	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x9247d0…
11-01 12:30:43	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd189eb…
11-01 12:23:19	Will FPS win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x4560dc…
11-01 11:07:45	Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xbd292b…
11-01 11:07:39	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xf2f7eb…
11-01 11:07:39	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x056dd6…
11-01 10:19:24	Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcbaabe…
11-01 10:19:03	Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5e7e3f…
11-01 10:18:31	Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc721f1…
11-01 10:14:46	Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x416785…
11-01 07:24:54	Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x0e2fb1…
11-01 07:03:12	Will Bitcoin hashprice be greater than $45 for the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x863495…
11-01 07:03:07	Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $40 and $45 for the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca4145…
11-01 06:16:07	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1814d1…
11-01 05:31:13	Will Deshaun Watson finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x00ef31…
11-01 05:15:45	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x32d799…
11-01 05:15:42	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xfa9da2…
11-01 04:08:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,400,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcc9403…
11-01 02:17:57	Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x7024b9…
11-01 01:52:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd06db9…
11-01 01:03:06	Spread: Quimsa (-7.5)	Quimsa	BUY	460	0¢	$0	0x4f78c4…
11-01 01:03:00	Quimsa vs. Penarol: O/U 159.5	Over	BUY	535	0¢	$1	0x6bc337…
11-01 01:02:49	Quimsa vs. Penarol: O/U 159.5	Over	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xc8044e…
11-01 01:02:10	Spread: Quimsa (-7.5)	Quimsa	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc53241…
11-01 01:02:04	Spread: Quimsa (-7.5)	Quimsa	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xc63ead…
11-01 01:02:01	Quimsa vs. Penarol	Penarol	BUY	397	0¢	$0	0x3d898c…
11-01 01:01:25	Quimsa vs. Penarol	Penarol	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x5323c1…
11-01 01:01:19	Quimsa vs. Penarol	Penarol	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc906d8…
11-01 00:58:18	Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x4ac6a1…
10-31 22:44:00	Spread: Quimsa (-7.5)	Quimsa	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xfef7c7…
10-31 22:24:58	Quimsa vs. Penarol	Penarol	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x97579e…
10-31 21:46:49	Colon de Santa Fe vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x7f2a67…
10-31 21:08:54	Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3f3f0d…
10-31 19:49:42	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x706888…
10-31 19:24:18	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x547d5e…
10-31 17:16:37	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xb89982…
10-31 16:45:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x484ea0…
10-31 16:45:45	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x94a85a…
10-31 16:20:51	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc12e38…
10-31 16:17:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfc2df2…
10-31 16:10:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x4748a5…
10-31 16:10:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x31feb0…
10-31 16:00:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x104b9d…
10-31 15:11:54	Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x281a38…
10-31 15:10:22	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x865a3f…
10-31 14:32:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6e0968…
10-31 12:52:30	Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x302202…
10-31 11:17:09	Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x5e29f5…
10-31 10:11:40	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xec48d2…
10-31 10:11:40	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x0451bd…
10-31 09:52:36	Will PSMS Medan win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x4b1394…
10-31 08:53:30	Will Salvadoran Democracy (DS) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x0bfe4b…
10-31 07:47:00	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x311985…
10-31 07:17:27	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x42c173…
10-31 06:36:52	Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xdf3724…
10-31 03:37:13	Will PSOE win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8971b1…
10-31 02:00:15	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xf50fdc…
10-31 01:40:46	will trump meet with xi jinping by november 30 2026	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x333b85…
10-31 00:29:00	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?	Over	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x9bdd03…
10-31 00:27:46	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x95b957…
10-31 00:27:37	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf7bd64…
10-31 00:21:07	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x25f1c3…
10-31 00:20:37	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3582cc…
10-30 23:42:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0x40574c…
10-30 23:41:46	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x188f11…
10-30 23:41:45	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x98adab…
10-30 23:41:45	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1e3906…
10-30 23:39:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xdfc1f6…
10-30 22:05:52	Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x753b64…
10-30 21:17:27	Will Salvadoran Democracy (DS) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xddb96d…
10-30 20:15:54	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x53ff15…
10-30 19:26:07	Will FPS win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3b0a2e…
10-30 19:25:39	Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb62542…
10-30 19:25:39	Will FPS win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x423e44…
10-30 19:25:37	Will FPS win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8ac88c…
10-30 18:23:54	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf2e0fe…
10-30 18:23:51	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb53c8f…
10-30 18:23:48	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x74292a…
10-30 18:23:39	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x340952…
10-30 18:23:39	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x14f711…
10-30 18:15:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on November 2?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xfb254b…
10-30 16:49:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x5be775…
10-30 16:32:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,400,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb8ccf4…
10-30 16:23:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x985049…
10-30 16:09:01	Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xe62a3e…
10-30 15:48:28	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x33e3be…
10-30 15:46:27	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xdbb87d…
10-30 15:44:57	Will PP win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x47e120…
10-30 13:38:13	Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x601d05…
10-30 13:35:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on November 2?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5b819…