Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

1,613

Trades

8,183

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 11-04 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

77% 33% +$868

Politics

13% 40% +$82

Sports

5% 9% -$2

Crypto

3% 44% +$88

Tech

2% 54% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% 43% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?	38	$256	2,298	298	+2,000	Yes	+$241	08-25 02:25
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	59	$142	1,391	355	+1,036	Yes	+$120	09-09 17:56
AEK vs. OFI: Neither team to score first?	4	$130	216	216	+0	Yes	+$125	09-02 16:49
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 27?	33	$85	186	137	+49	No	+$120	08-27 13:00
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	26	$74	215	202	+14	No	+$87	09-09 17:13
HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	4	$70	70	70	+0	Down	+$69	10-29 21:03
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on August 28?	9	$62	69	63	+6	No	+$58	08-28 05:34
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	44	$54	1,321	197	+1,124	Yes	+$43	10-26 22:33
Will the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	15	$32	50	50	+0	No	+$29	10-06 04:50
Will Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?	58	$32	561	501	+60	Yes	+$20	09-27 21:45
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on August 24?	6	$31	18	48	-30	No	+$31	08-24 23:34
Will SV Meppen 1912 win on 2026-08-23?	47	$29	369	369	+0	No	+$26	08-23 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	48	$25	184	184	+0	Yes	+$3	08-18 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?	43	$22	198	166	+32	Yes	+$8	08-23 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	34	$19	104	104	+0	Yes	+$3	08-29 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 28?	44	$18	222	149	+74	Yes	+$2	08-28 13:52
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	36	$17	338	86	+251	Yes	+$1	08-31 16:23
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26?	2	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$13	09-22 04:33
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	6	$17	178	16	+162	Yes	+$14	08-24 00:42
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	10	$15	200	43	+157	Yes	+$7	10-28 04:38
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 24?	25	$14	454	18	+436	Yes	+$8	08-25 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 16?	28	$14	111	72	+39	Yes	+$0	08-16 22:50
Will "My Brilliant Career: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	31	$14	183	117	+66	Yes	+$1	08-24 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 17?	39	$13	123	115	+8	Yes	+$3	08-17 10:40
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on August 29?	6	$13	34	26	+8	No	+$10	08-30 05:06
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	25	$12	105	88	+17	Yes	+$1	09-21 18:21
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	28	$12	254	170	+84	Yes	+$1	09-20 23:10
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 25?	28	$12	615	75	+541	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:23
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	11	$11	80	43	+37	Yes	+$3	08-14 03:06
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	12	$11	98	98	+0	No	+$11	09-05 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:41:28	Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x0766a9…
11-04 20:57:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc440f4…
11-04 20:06:54	Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $30 and $35 for the week of October 26?	No	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x9fc59e…
11-04 20:02:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe66a95…
11-04 19:35:54	Will Danielle Carter-Walters win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xa5d474…
11-04 18:53:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfd6182…
11-04 18:27:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x1a44bf…
11-04 17:20:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$0	0x27c864…
11-04 17:20:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3a4b8a…
11-04 17:20:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x33b9c2…
11-04 17:04:51	Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x02a11d…
11-04 16:36:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a6c30…
11-04 16:36:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6a61f5…
11-04 16:36:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xc06c1c…
11-04 16:36:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0afc69…
11-04 16:36:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdc2b7e…
11-04 16:36:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x78f3c8…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe961b1…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xdff093…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd9172a…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd6911a…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xa60d49…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6808d7…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5a12f1…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x54f3b2…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4f6ec7…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x205332…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x142e60…
11-04 16:36:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0c0a4e…
11-04 16:09:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd21b8c…
11-04 16:01:46	Will Francis Ngannou return to the UFC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x91c483…
11-04 15:45:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x26f49c…
11-04 15:44:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x77bbef…
11-04 14:55:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc892d1…
11-04 14:54:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x285da6…
11-04 14:40:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x21e9f5…
11-04 14:37:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x988726…
11-04 14:27:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe41349…
11-04 13:06:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x2b10cf…
11-04 12:57:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x07cf54…
11-04 12:53:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x6aecb0…
11-04 12:53:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0dd841…
11-04 12:53:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0dc424…
11-04 12:53:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcdee26…
11-04 12:53:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x28c14c…
11-04 12:52:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x63e0bc…
11-04 12:52:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x11e690…
11-04 12:52:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x0559cb…
11-04 12:52:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x71cb17…
11-04 12:52:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6a3baa…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe9e868…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd192e1…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa4382e…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x8a3e6e…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x588fed…
11-04 12:38:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x5959b9…
11-04 11:42:16	Will Democrats win the Louisiana and Mississippi Senate seats, and Republicans win Florida?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x68fb14…
11-04 11:42:07	Will Democrats win the Louisiana and Mississippi Senate seats, and Republicans win Florida?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x00df9a…
11-04 11:41:49	Will Democrats win the Louisiana Senate seat, and Republicans win Mississippi and Florida?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9fe3fb…
11-04 10:35:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xada26b…
11-04 10:00:33	Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x707406…
11-04 09:54:40	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the South Carolina Republican primary?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x7ac212…
11-04 09:54:07	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the South Carolina Republican primary?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x421bb4…
11-04 09:52:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x06d4d7…
11-04 08:07:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x50132b…
11-04 07:27:57	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xe2407f…
11-04 07:26:42	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2f9b53…
11-04 07:26:37	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd71e3e…
11-04 07:26:30	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xeff068…
11-04 07:26:24	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x3fc184…
11-04 07:17:33	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x8fff77…
11-04 06:33:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x874fca…
11-04 06:25:22	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xde471f…
11-04 06:04:27	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x133087…
11-04 05:53:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xdba910…
11-04 05:34:34	Will Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x18c5b4…
11-04 05:26:58	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x857f32…
11-04 05:25:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd28749…
11-04 05:25:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2ff08a…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xfd1b21…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf41e55…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xce657a…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9ddd98…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x61c8f5…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1a3c42…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x134cd6…
11-04 05:19:39	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x04f789…
11-04 05:01:31	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7a40f6…
11-04 05:00:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfa4a63…
11-04 05:00:03	Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0f33a6…
11-04 04:56:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xdd426f…
11-04 04:53:22	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xeceae8…
11-04 04:50:27	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x2732b8…
11-04 04:50:24	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?	No	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2f07f6…
11-04 04:50:22	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x7c2390…
11-04 04:50:22	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x30a378…
11-04 04:45:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x6a3d10…
11-04 04:45:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xc73221…
11-04 04:35:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x249dfd…
11-04 04:35:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc96a86…