Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved (7d)

154

Trades (7d)

706

7,682 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$280

$3.13K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-30 16:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

78% 33% +$870

Politics

12% 40% +$73

Sports

5% 8% -$6

Crypto

3% 44% +$88

Tech

2% 50% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 43% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?	38	$256	2,298	298	+2,000	Yes	+$241	08-25 02:25
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	59	$142	1,391	355	+1,036	Yes	+$120	09-09 17:56
AEK vs. OFI: Neither team to score first?	4	$130	216	216	+0	Yes	+$125	09-02 16:49
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 27?	33	$85	186	137	+49	No	+$120	08-27 13:00
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	26	$74	215	202	+14	No	+$87	09-09 17:13
HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	4	$70	70	70	+0	Down	+$69	10-29 21:03
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on August 28?	9	$62	69	63	+6	No	+$58	08-28 05:34
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	44	$54	1,321	197	+1,124	Yes	+$43	10-26 22:33
Will the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	15	$32	50	50	+0	No	+$29	10-06 04:50
Will Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?	58	$32	561	501	+60	Yes	+$20	09-27 21:45
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on August 24?	6	$31	18	48	-30	No	+$31	08-24 23:34
Will SV Meppen 1912 win on 2026-08-23?	47	$29	369	369	+0	No	+$26	08-23 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	48	$25	184	184	+0	Yes	+$3	08-18 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?	43	$22	198	166	+32	Yes	+$8	08-23 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	34	$19	104	104	+0	Yes	+$3	08-29 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 28?	44	$18	222	149	+74	Yes	+$2	08-28 13:52
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	36	$17	338	86	+251	Yes	+$1	08-31 16:23
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26?	2	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$13	09-22 04:33
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	6	$17	178	16	+162	Yes	+$14	08-24 00:42
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	10	$15	200	43	+157	Yes	+$7	10-28 04:38
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 24?	25	$14	454	18	+436	Yes	+$8	08-25 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 16?	28	$14	111	72	+39	Yes	+$0	08-16 22:50
Will "My Brilliant Career: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	31	$14	183	117	+66	Yes	+$1	08-24 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 17?	39	$13	123	115	+8	Yes	+$3	08-17 10:40
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on August 29?	6	$13	34	26	+8	No	+$10	08-30 05:06
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	25	$12	105	88	+17	Yes	+$1	09-21 18:21
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	28	$12	254	170	+84	Yes	+$1	09-20 23:10
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 25?	28	$12	615	75	+541	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:23
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	11	$11	80	43	+37	Yes	+$3	08-14 03:06
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	12	$11	98	98	+0	No	+$11	09-05 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:49:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x5be775…
10-30 16:32:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,400,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb8ccf4…
10-30 16:23:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x985049…
10-30 16:09:01	Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xe62a3e…
10-30 15:48:28	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x33e3be…
10-30 15:46:27	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xdbb87d…
10-30 15:44:57	Will PP win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x47e120…
10-30 13:38:13	Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x601d05…
10-30 13:35:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on November 2?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5b819…
10-30 13:03:49	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfb2a3c…
10-30 11:54:31	Will George Cardenas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x05ef8c…
10-30 11:43:46	Monmouth Hawks vs. St. John's Red Storm	Monmouth Hawks	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb44b7b…
10-30 10:51:28	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0xdaf841…
10-30 07:50:31	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x2dd7e5…
10-30 07:25:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xba20d0…
10-30 01:20:37	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9217cc…
10-30 01:18:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0c31b0…
10-30 00:48:36	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xba67cd…
10-30 00:38:34	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x17bea3…
10-30 00:30:48	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x74bfb5…
10-30 00:16:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6fdc42…
10-29 23:58:55	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe4c44f…
10-29 23:58:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1d54ef…
10-29 23:58:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xddaac3…
10-29 23:58:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xac82ef…
10-29 23:58:37	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4c9d5d…
10-29 22:52:19	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x69f44d…
10-29 22:52:19	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0a4e3c…
10-29 22:35:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x0eb013…
10-29 22:34:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc80967…
10-29 22:13:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x97e8c2…
10-29 22:09:16	Will Maria Pappas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb0ca23…
10-29 21:43:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa09886…
10-29 21:40:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xae6e1c…
10-29 21:40:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xbc5e9d…
10-29 21:23:18	Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xf83c22…
10-29 21:05:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc58808…
10-29 21:03:03	HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd1f416…
10-29 21:00:43	HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa357c5…
10-29 20:57:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe5d948…
10-29 20:51:31	HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xd1823f…
10-29 20:41:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x35e13e…
10-29 20:30:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x071959…
10-29 20:20:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 60% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x11cc61…
10-29 20:19:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa566f8…
10-29 20:19:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb861c0…
10-29 19:59:31	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3e3fcc…
10-29 19:59:31	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x1cd651…
10-29 19:59:31	Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0b1ed8…
10-29 19:31:37	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x88bfd3…
10-29 19:29:00	Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5589e0…
10-29 19:28:58	Will JD Vance be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe8c144…
10-29 19:28:58	Will JD Vance be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9e0f58…
10-29 19:28:58	Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x99c753…
10-29 19:10:55	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xafa0e5…
10-29 19:08:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xb48d78…
10-29 19:06:28	Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x54f5a4…
10-29 17:39:58	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xc14c09…
10-29 17:38:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0xf9bb4d…
10-29 17:33:28	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x670237…
10-29 17:06:04	Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfc08ae…
10-29 17:06:04	Will JD Vance be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x4e5426…
10-29 14:42:44	Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$1	0xb5b803…
10-29 14:40:53	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd60555…
10-29 12:37:59	Will Royal Francs Borains vs. FCV Dender EH end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x10c7fd…
10-29 11:58:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x80969a…
10-29 11:54:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6e943e…
10-29 11:27:58	Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x6e964b…
10-29 11:27:58	Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x1c1b60…
10-29 11:27:47	Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1238ff…
10-29 11:27:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9c8288…
10-29 10:16:22	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x78cd97…
10-29 10:15:59	Will Junts win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xfc7b5f…
10-29 08:39:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x65fc0e…
10-29 08:29:58	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xff9242…
10-29 08:23:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0x63eb41…
10-29 08:05:20	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xaa76b9…
10-29 07:50:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 45% or more?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xf5db15…
10-29 03:12:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xf18043…
10-29 03:11:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x888dbf…
10-29 03:11:04	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x38d3b4…
10-29 02:40:11	Will JD Vance be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x3d00ef…
10-29 01:35:29	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Hornets	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbc3ae8…
10-29 01:35:29	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Hornets	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x765ee0…
10-29 01:35:29	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Hornets	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0x52a47e…
10-29 01:35:22	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe447c0…
10-29 01:34:05	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9ec2d9…
10-29 01:26:01	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb5d364…
10-29 01:24:46	Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc87bcb…
10-29 00:29:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x441687…
10-29 00:13:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x17e63e…
10-29 00:10:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0dda05…
10-28 23:57:58	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x7191d6…
10-28 23:38:58	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xf8fead…
10-28 23:38:58	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x6ed77b…
10-28 23:18:13	Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x81713f…
10-28 23:18:11	Hornets vs. Pistons: Race to 10 Points	Pistons	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4b943d…
10-28 23:18:11	Hornets vs. Pistons: Race to 10 Points	Pistons	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x241ba6…
10-28 23:15:04	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4dbcd8…
10-28 23:13:50	Spread: Pistons (-29.5)	Pistons	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xfd68fd…