Oily-Automaton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$563

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

110

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$8.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-06 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 24% -$560

Politics

21% 70% +$112

Other

16% 27% -$60

Sports

3% 0% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$654	448	448	+0	open	—	05-06 08:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$638	1,120	1,120	+0	Yes	-$34	05-19 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	5	$623	1,257	1,031	+226	Down	+$433	05-19 10:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$573	392	392	+0	No	+$63	05-02 17:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$484	284	284	+0	No	+$27	04-26 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$460	457	457	+0	Down	+$220	05-19 10:04
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	5	$425	440	440	+0	Up	+$209	05-19 09:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$397	243	243	+0	No	+$61	04-24 15:29
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$311	943	236	+707	Down	-$189	05-19 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$286	491	340	+151	Down	+$76	05-19 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$265	217	217	+0	Down	+$165	05-19 11:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$259	159	159	+0	Yes	+$59	04-05 06:42
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	1	$257	0	311	-311	Yes	-$54	04-29 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$200	648	0	+648	Down	-$200	05-19 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$199	359	238	+121	Up	+$146	05-19 09:39
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$196	477	277	+200	Down	+$54	05-19 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$175	185	185	+0	Down	+$75	05-19 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$151	1,085	0	+1,085	Down	-$151	05-19 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$150	1,426	0	+1,426	Up	-$150	05-19 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$100	400	0	+400	Up	-$100	05-19 12:33
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$100	625	0	+625	Down	-$100	05-19 10:17
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$100	395	0	+395	Up	-$100	05-19 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$100	243	0	+243	Up	-$100	05-19 09:55
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$100	315	0	+315	Down	-$100	05-19 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$100	1,195	0	+1,195	Down	-$100	05-19 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$84	429	0	+429	Up	-$84	05-19 12:54
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$74	238	0	+238	Up	-$74	05-19 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$50	360	0	+360	Up	-$50	05-19 11:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$50	381	0	+381	Down	-$50	05-19 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$50	278	0	+278	Up	-$50	05-19 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 19:12:24	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	123	26¢	$32	0x515c62…
10-03 16:14:00	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	305	6¢	$18	0xf0fb38…
09-29 19:26:44	Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	565	8¢	$45	0x879852…
05-19 13:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x8dfc46…
05-19 13:02:37	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	276	11¢	$30	0x603343…
05-19 12:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0x6568cb…
05-19 12:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	429	20¢	$84	0x26961c…
05-19 12:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x730a48…
05-19 12:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77e286…
05-19 12:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa0dbef…
05-19 12:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x204d4c…
05-19 12:36:59	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	395	25¢	$100	0xc28f5c…
05-19 12:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xf70c3c…
05-19 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	18¢	$12	0xf232f8…
05-19 11:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x805518…
05-19 11:41:39	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbcbd57…
05-19 11:39:42	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3b1582…
05-19 11:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	109	25¢	$27	0x2de2b7…
05-19 11:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaf49f4…
05-19 11:26:10	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	252	1¢	$3	0x791b98…
05-19 11:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,195	8¢	$100	0xb5bbe3…
05-19 11:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	289	17¢	$50	0x9c61c1…
05-19 11:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	381	13¢	$50	0x4617fb…
05-19 11:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0x26b5d6…
05-19 11:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xb12065…
05-19 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	202	2¢	$5	0x638f0e…
05-19 11:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	648	31¢	$200	0x4f63c1…
05-19 11:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	360	14¢	$50	0xd0280d…
05-19 10:57:33	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5e55ec…
05-19 10:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6b70f5…
05-19 10:56:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	731	2¢	$11	0x6cb3c0…
05-19 10:54:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9a3ba2…
05-19 10:54:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x62fa32…
05-19 10:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe767ea…
05-19 10:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	963	5¢	$50	0x3ae874…
05-19 10:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	463	22¢	$100	0x754561…
05-19 10:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	210	9¢	$19	0x528869…
05-19 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0xf134ce…
05-19 10:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0xaef9d7…
05-19 10:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1,031	44¢	$454	0x3e7092…
05-19 10:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	157	13¢	$20	0x92276e…
05-19 10:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	875	11¢	$95	0x51f335…
05-19 10:28:19	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	193	29¢	$56	0xfb2d9c…
05-19 10:26:22	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	236	26¢	$61	0xd99103…
05-19 10:25:47	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0x4aad3d…
05-19 10:22:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	624	19¢	$121	0x390f3a…
05-19 10:22:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	318	41¢	$129	0x0fb7b0…
05-19 10:17:34	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x8b5f54…
05-19 10:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x681589…
05-19 10:12:36	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa59911…
05-19 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	340	53¢	$181	0xdbee7f…
05-19 10:08:38	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x7c5437…
05-19 10:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0xb63aac…
05-19 10:06:44	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	277	45¢	$125	0x544a25…
05-19 10:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x47a0df…
05-19 10:05:20	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	277	22¢	$61	0xc5f1fe…
05-19 10:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	457	74¢	$340	0xe6d031…
05-19 10:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	457	26¢	$120	0x0e71ff…
05-19 10:01:54	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	315	32¢	$100	0x8b94f4…
05-19 09:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0xce00a7…
05-19 09:57:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xee7b51…
05-19 09:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x35cc31…
05-19 09:52:55	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7147dd…
05-19 09:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x5ddb26…
05-19 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x7c7bd7…
05-19 09:47:56	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb0ca7d…
05-19 09:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	224	22¢	$50	0x2cacf3…
05-19 09:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x6d4a66…
05-19 09:40:00	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0e3bb4…
05-19 09:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa2cb54…
05-19 09:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfa5cec…
05-19 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	20¢	$9	0x325e98…
05-19 09:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	238	54¢	$129	0x1766df…
05-19 09:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xbedcab…
05-19 09:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	185	67¢	$125	0x7e2276…
05-19 09:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x76a40f…
05-19 09:33:57	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x4089be…
05-19 09:33:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xd69039…
05-19 09:28:13	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x63858c…
05-19 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9e215d…
05-19 09:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x448cb7…
05-19 09:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9138a1…
05-19 09:24:22	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x51baf1…
05-19 09:23:06	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51bfc8…
05-19 09:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	509	10¢	$50	0x254189…
05-19 09:19:57	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	226	13¢	$30	0x2b7771…
05-19 09:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x7f8d2b…
05-19 09:15:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9f6795…
05-19 09:14:58	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xc2805e…
05-19 09:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x807ddc…
05-19 09:14:00	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x470093…
05-19 09:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb9670c…
05-19 09:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd0ec0e…
05-19 09:07:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x2cbcab…
05-19 09:05:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x391189…
05-19 09:03:13	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x771556…
05-19 09:02:38	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	364	66¢	$241	0xc5b889…
05-19 09:01:56	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	360	27¢	$97	0x90de1e…
05-19 09:01:38	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5ae79c…
05-19 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8c86eb…