Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$195

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-25 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

39% 42% +$308

Other

35% 40% -$36

Crypto

16% 46% -$110

Sports

7% 0% -$258

Tech

3% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$947	869	869	+0	Yes	+$392	10-25 22:56
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	3	$243	165	165	+0	Yes	+$87	03-09 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	2	$170	193	0	+193	Up	-$3	03-25 21:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$167	476	476	+0	No	-$33	03-25 21:32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$163	0	327	-327	Yes	-$163	07-14 20:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$136	467	467	+0	No	-$79	05-06 20:56
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	3	$96	96	94	+2	Yes	+$18	04-15 20:55
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$80	2,278	0	+2,278	No	-$80	05-11 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	1	$70	99	0	+99	Down	-$70	03-07 22:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$64	54	54	+0	Yes	+$38	03-09 07:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$58	0	60	-60	No	-$2	05-06 13:51
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	2	$56	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 21:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:25 UTC	2	$53	33	33	+0	Down	+$12	03-07 22:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$51	36	36	+0	No	+$11	03-16 23:07
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	102	0	+102	No	-$50	03-25 22:26
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	4,851	0	+4,851	No	-$50	03-25 22:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$49	30	30	+0	No	+$9	05-06 21:09
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$48	62	62	+0	Yes	+$8	03-21 19:04
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$45	26	26	+0	No	+$5	03-19 19:17
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	03-09 17:39
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$33	25	25	+0	No	+$13	03-16 21:37
will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	3	$30	1,161	10	+1,151	No	-$10	03-09 17:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$30	10,606	0	+10,606	Yes	-$30	03-13 07:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$28	18	18	+0	No	+$8	04-01 07:32
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	2	$23	72	72	+0	No	+$3	03-16 21:23
will the secret agent win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	1	$23	105	0	+105	No	-$23	03-13 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:55 UTC	1	$23	39	0	+39	Down	-$23	03-23 17:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	1	$21	695	0	+695	Yes	-$21	03-09 20:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 23:15
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$20	59	59	+0	No	-$20	03-31 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:56:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	869	77¢	$669	0x0acbcf…
10-23 22:09:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	486	24¢	$117	0x4ce8a5…
10-03 16:51:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	383	42¢	$161	0xbf6be1…
07-14 20:19:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	327	50¢	$163	0x815c4f…
06-01 17:06:44	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0xab187c…
06-01 17:06:18	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	SELL	136	0¢	$0	0x5fe518…
05-11 11:35:01	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,278	3¢	$80	0x8a22a1…
05-06 21:09:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x5b7749…
05-06 21:05:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x505a58…
05-06 21:02:47	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0xeba559…
05-06 21:02:00	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x16bd01…
05-06 20:57:41	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x416ab7…
05-06 20:56:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	467	6¢	$28	0xefab33…
05-06 18:27:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	467	23¢	$107	0x5b15ed…
05-06 13:51:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x7f445f…
04-28 18:27:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x31643f…
04-28 18:27:34	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2b5820…
04-28 18:26:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xbf4e5b…
04-28 18:25:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe4a5d0…
04-20 10:02:08	Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	126	1¢	$1	0xd208aa…
04-15 23:06:46	Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x63a30b…
04-15 21:55:32	Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xbd811b…
04-15 21:17:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x92d020…
04-15 20:55:08	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	94	60¢	$56	0x25f05b…
04-15 20:08:10	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x21c91f…
04-15 18:14:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x29d19c…
04-07 22:47:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x55d190…
04-07 08:32:01	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x94c535…
04-01 07:32:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7d7c5c…
03-31 19:34:41	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x02ebe3…
03-31 14:31:45	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	126	4¢	$5	0x27d006…
03-31 08:31:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xeb2dd3…
03-31 08:30:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0x6f474f…
03-31 08:26:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x1ef045…
03-30 21:15:07	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0xf8d50f…
03-30 21:05:47	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1ded9c…
03-30 20:43:09	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa3363b…
03-30 20:29:09	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2a1d2f…
03-30 20:23:07	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9d0339…
03-30 20:20:59	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xeb406e…
03-30 20:04:21	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xef9d9c…
03-30 19:56:17	will elon musks net worth be between 680b and 690b on march 31	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0xb8e879…
03-30 19:55:15	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x92b47d…
03-25 22:35:53	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x7fc923…
03-25 22:26:59	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x93eb79…
03-25 22:26:31	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,851	1¢	$50	0xcc0625…
03-25 21:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x133100…
03-25 21:54:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0x0ef867…
03-25 21:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x44a21b…
03-25 21:37:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a65d6…
03-25 21:32:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	476	14¢	$67	0xa74778…
03-25 10:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcb871f…
03-25 10:32:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x2caf6d…
03-23 17:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x27780e…
03-23 17:53:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xaaa85f…
03-22 19:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x6cfc79…
03-22 19:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x303a10…
03-22 19:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x178e4f…
03-22 19:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4fe259…
03-22 19:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x17182d…
03-21 19:04:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0xf0d082…
03-19 21:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc472a0…
03-19 21:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa74155…
03-19 21:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe47667…
03-19 21:07:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x448a82…
03-19 21:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x49832c…
03-19 20:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b9d40…
03-19 20:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaa672b…
03-19 20:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x726134…
03-19 20:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7eb090…
03-19 19:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3e2a82…
03-19 19:19:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8c7a64…
03-19 19:17:51	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xca42d9…
03-17 08:15:23	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	Yes	BUY	218	6¢	$12	0x36c27e…
03-17 08:12:43	Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	395	3¢	$10	0x0b1c80…
03-17 08:12:37	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0xa0c447…
03-17 08:12:01	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8724ad…
03-16 23:15:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x80b708…
03-16 23:07:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	36	84¢	$31	0x85b75c…
03-16 23:01:53	will elon musks net worth be between 680b and 690b on march 31	Yes	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xe5f227…
03-16 23:01:39	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on march 31	Yes	BUY	129	10¢	$13	0x2c39e5…
03-16 21:37:37	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xdfb2f6…
03-16 21:24:37	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	Yes	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0x8ffad0…
03-16 21:23:41	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	72	19¢	$13	0xbc7bfc…
03-16 21:01:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3df948…
03-16 20:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0ef33e…
03-16 20:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x55f723…
03-13 07:45:17	will the secret agent win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	105	22¢	$23	0xa87d1b…
03-13 07:44:01	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	272	4¢	$10	0x582aff…
03-13 07:43:41	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x341d74…
03-13 07:41:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x00a318…
03-13 07:41:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x558ec7…
03-09 20:47:25	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd361cc…
03-09 20:45:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1d7952…
03-09 20:29:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	695	3¢	$21	0x4ce21f…
03-09 20:29:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	606	3¢	$20	0x908cf3…
03-09 20:25:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9778ed…
03-09 20:22:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb2bc7e…
03-09 18:16:13	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc63018…
03-09 18:02:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x25d784…