Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
485
Trades
590
lifetime
Volume
$2.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$141
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-03 17:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Sports
55% 52% -$4
Other
39% 49% -$33
Politics
5% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 10-26 15:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 10-28 17:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 10-28 22:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-28 17:52
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +9 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 11-03 01:57
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +17 $5 30¢ $5 +$0 11-02 02:05
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 11-03 01:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-29 00:20
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 11-03 17:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +17 $5 30¢ $5 $0 10-30 18:28
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +17 $5 30¢ $5 $0 11-02 02:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? Yes +7 $5 72¢ $5 $0 11-02 17:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 64¢ $5 $0 11-02 01:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +8 $5 64¢ $5 $0 10-31 02:34
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +12 $5 42¢ $5 $0 11-02 00:11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November? No +19 $5 24¢ $5 $0 11-02 16:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +13 $5 37¢ $5 $0 11-03 01:04
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +16 $5 30¢ $5 $0 10-30 12:59
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +7 $5 64¢ $5 $0 10-30 16:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $5 29¢ $5 $0 11-01 23:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +17 $5 28¢ $5 $0 10-30 18:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $5 36¢ $5 $0 11-03 01:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 66¢ $5 $0 10-24 17:08
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +11 $5 40¢ $5 $0 11-02 01:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +18 $5 24¢ $4 -$1 10-30 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +14 $5 30¢ $4 -$1 10-30 14:01
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +24 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-29 19:16
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $5 30¢ $4 -$1 10-29 01:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $5 26¢ $4 -$1 10-26 20:22
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 38¢ $3 -$2 10-24 18:43