Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

124

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$1.55K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-30 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

74% 83% +$1,004

Crypto

20% 60% -$107

Politics

6% 100% +$674

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+1,974	$1,500	78¢	$1.5K	+$49	10-30 15:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1.9K	2,015	0	+2,015	Yes	+$110	04-23 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1.5K	1,974	0	+1,974	open	—	10-30 15:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.3K	962	962	+0	No	+$288	09-11 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$1.1K	573	573	+0	No	+$65	10-07 14:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$1.1K	723	723	+0	No	-$149	10-07 23:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	3	$848	455	455	+0	No	+$56	10-03 01:41
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	3	$803	446	446	+0	No	+$3	09-27 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$658	360	360	+0	No	+$58	09-23 01:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	2	$642	349	349	+0	No	+$42	09-23 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	2	$632	427	427	+0	Yes	-$168	10-09 10:44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$629	332	332	+0	No	+$29	10-06 01:47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$500	09-11 15:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$500	1,562	0	+1,562	Yes	+$1,062	09-24 15:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$500	662	0	+662	No	+$162	09-23 10:39
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	1	$500	562	0	+562	Yes	-$500	03-14 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$416	253	253	+0	No	+$16	09-20 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$416	219	219	+0	No	+$16	10-01 12:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$411	217	217	+0	No	+$11	10-12 01:36
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	4	$407	227	227	+0	Up	+$7	10-12 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$401	385	343	+42	Up	-$49	10-01 13:58
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	1	$400	432	0	+432	No	+$32	03-07 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$317	342	342	+0	Up	-$83	10-01 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$300	334	0	+334	No	+$34	09-23 10:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	1	$300	312	0	+312	Yes	+$12	09-20 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$276	218	218	+0	Up	+$26	10-01 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	13	$240	200	200	+0	Up	+$40	10-01 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	2	$223	124	124	+0	No	+$23	10-06 10:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	2	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	10-03 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$209	112	112	+0	Down	+$9	10-01 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$200	243	0	+243	Yes	+$43	10-09 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:41:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,974	76¢	$1,500	0x56aa36…
10-18 02:11:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x46a65b…
10-17 03:12:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	91	88¢	$80	0xa3c1d4…
10-14 14:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xada39e…
10-13 15:06:52	nvda close above 225 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xb43314…
10-12 15:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x5959cf…
10-12 14:47:30	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x292cae…
10-12 14:46:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	105	91¢	$96	0xa23567…
10-12 14:46:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xaaa7cb…
10-12 14:27:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x9e5f1a…
10-12 14:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xbf9b0c…
10-12 14:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x0ed039…
10-12 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xbb3057…
10-12 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x8941ad…
10-12 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x596c75…
10-12 14:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xc8bf57…
10-12 14:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x6193ea…
10-12 13:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9dcbba…
10-12 01:36:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	217	97¢	$211	0xde0c16…
10-11 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xf77c4c…
10-11 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xf2087a…
10-11 16:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xba62c5…
10-11 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x7dce12…
10-11 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1902e6…
10-11 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe384d2…
10-11 15:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xd98a19…
10-11 15:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x05b73e…
10-11 15:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x76067c…
10-11 15:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x654b07…
10-11 15:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xdb8c6d…
10-11 15:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x5f34b7…
10-11 15:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc46c89…
10-11 15:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x8988a9…
10-11 15:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4ee152…
10-11 14:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xfb4446…
10-11 14:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x77439b…
10-11 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x908fcd…
10-11 14:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x89d715…
10-11 11:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x8f20b6…
10-11 11:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xaf7fa5…
10-11 08:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xcb1e79…
10-11 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$9	0xa96c11…
10-11 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x2a4044…
10-11 08:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x41b289…
10-10 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xfb7244…
10-10 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x2e3703…
10-10 15:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xea20d0…
10-10 14:55:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xbd0773…
10-09 17:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x61e2a2…
10-09 17:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x295cc9…
10-09 10:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0xf4f8a9…
10-09 10:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	427	54¢	$232	0x321b05…
10-08 21:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x666bb6…
10-08 21:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x045316…
10-08 21:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x33683d…
10-08 21:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x0b9984…
10-08 21:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x5f860f…
10-08 21:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x38ac9c…
10-08 20:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xcab3d6…
10-08 20:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0357ec…
10-08 20:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	42¢	$5	0x2c5f4a…
10-08 20:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x1b8b8e…
10-08 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xaa6e22…
10-08 20:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9d04db…
10-08 19:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0x1eda3c…
10-08 19:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcce73e…
10-08 19:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xfaf94c…
10-08 19:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xb3b75f…
10-08 19:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x56c416…
10-08 19:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xe3641b…
10-08 18:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6ab122…
10-08 18:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xbf938c…
10-08 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x118e07…
10-08 18:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x9555e7…
10-08 18:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe0b03c…
10-08 18:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0xcef1cb…
10-08 18:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x5cee69…
10-08 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x17a132…
10-08 18:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x6c4a7b…
10-08 18:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0xb45688…
10-08 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xbcb240…
10-08 18:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0xa9abe3…
10-08 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x4bca4f…
10-08 18:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xb1a2fb…
10-08 18:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x62af38…
10-08 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb4c394…
10-08 17:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0xcff5b8…
10-08 17:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x9bfb5c…
10-08 17:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xf69c68…
10-08 17:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9b2a52…
10-08 17:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xe6b155…
10-08 17:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x20f763…
10-08 17:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x88fe2d…
10-08 17:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x893f65…
10-08 17:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0x5e4f40…
10-08 17:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$13	0xb9f715…
10-08 17:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0xd8c913…
10-08 17:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0xe0ec45…
10-08 17:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x35a8c6…
10-08 17:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xd95e2e…