Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

25.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$552

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-16 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% $-29

Other

46% 50% +$2

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		-17	$-12	86¢	$-15	$-2	06-16 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	4	$32	69	69	+0	open	—	03-31 01:26
will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	04-15 12:41
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$23	74	74	+0	open	—	03-30 02:05
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	1	$21	0	24	-24	open	—	06-16 01:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	03-24 01:07
will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	04-22 00:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	04-23 00:27
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	91	0	+91	open	—	04-21 00:36
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	1	$20	117	0	+117	Yes	$-20	04-20 00:55
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,170,000 and $1,180,000 on April 30?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-19 12:10
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$20	108	0	+108	open	—	04-23 00:27
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	1	$17	75	0	+75	open	—	04-15 13:48
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	1	$17	69	0	+69	open	—	04-15 13:49
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	1	$16	0	17	-17	open	—	06-16 01:34
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	03-28 11:01
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-15 12:41
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$14	29	0	+29	No	+$15	04-27 11:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$13	32	0	+32	open	—	04-16 01:14
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$13	18	0	+18	Yes	$-13	04-21 00:37
will starmer say ukraine during the next prime ministers questions event 699	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-20 11:44
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$12	0	17	-17	open	—	06-16 01:34
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	04-18 00:42
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-18 00:42
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 12:41
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 01:12
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	04-04 23:37
khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 15 19	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-03 13:39
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	2	$10	37	37	+0	open	—	04-04 23:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 12:41
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	2	$9	19	19	+1	open	—	04-06 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 01:34:52	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x1076e9…
06-16 01:34:49	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xf5b78c…
06-16 01:33:42	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0x285045…
05-03 01:12:24	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x47091e…
04-27 11:36:32	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x20f591…
04-27 11:35:54	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x67c372…
04-23 13:23:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x8dd641…
04-23 00:27:48	Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	108	19¢	$20	0x6f6ec8…
04-23 00:27:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x603008…
04-22 00:22:32	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0xb6a602…
04-21 00:37:36	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x1d6023…
04-21 00:36:58	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x2e646d…
04-20 11:44:04	will starmer say ukraine during the next prime ministers questions event 699	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb57aaf…
04-20 00:55:16	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x16d439…
04-19 12:10:04	Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,170,000 and $1,180,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5a912e…
04-18 00:42:58	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x1ac8ba…
04-18 00:42:50	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x254bfd…
04-16 01:14:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x9663fb…
04-15 13:49:48	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	25¢	$17	0xd1abe9…
04-15 13:48:02	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	75	23¢	$17	0xa03c70…
04-15 12:41:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x011b93…
04-15 12:41:50	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xa55af3…
04-15 12:41:50	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x5b7e01…
04-15 12:41:48	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x206cd1…
04-15 12:41:48	will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x04a3d5…
04-15 12:41:44	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xb5041b…
04-14 00:34:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x4dba0c…
04-09 12:52:15	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x338b1f…
04-09 12:03:47	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x32a991…
04-06 12:35:53	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x295483…
04-06 12:35:01	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x786707…
04-06 02:07:19	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x7fc62a…
04-04 23:38:15	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xdfe8e9…
04-04 23:37:55	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x094602…
04-04 13:12:07	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0x4439db…
04-04 13:11:35	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0xc6c4ba…
04-04 00:35:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x96796b…
04-04 00:27:23	will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xcbe65f…
04-03 13:45:33	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xd62586…
04-03 13:39:55	khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 15 19	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbf4ca3…
04-03 13:18:15	Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbfff7…
04-01 13:16:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7ec705…
03-31 12:56:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa87e32…
03-31 01:26:15	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0xa592a1…
03-31 01:19:59	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x9a488c…
03-31 01:17:05	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	51	19¢	$10	0x9172da…
03-31 01:00:29	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0xe76468…
03-30 13:00:00	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xd736d7…
03-30 12:56:34	will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt252pt50 in march	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeb0aa7…
03-30 02:05:36	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	74	13¢	$10	0x6208af…
03-30 01:51:04	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	74	17¢	$13	0x2d735f…
03-28 11:13:21	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8d4560…
03-28 11:01:19	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x66df56…
03-28 01:11:53	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x215c06…
03-26 13:05:13	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x46b2b5…
03-24 13:34:41	bitboy convicted	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xc3cc78…
03-24 01:18:33	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbf373a…
03-24 01:07:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0xfd5d36…
03-23 01:08:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0x7f2840…
03-22 13:19:25	bitboy convicted	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xb7e73a…
03-21 13:52:41	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeb3e28…
03-20 23:15:57	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xca43a8…
03-20 09:21:35	Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x31b2f4…
03-19 05:55:45	bitboy convicted	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x1f7ad5…