Cavernous-Million — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$2.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-12 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

31% — —

Sports

30% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+8	$4	54¢	$4	$-0	05-27 21:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	23	$307	541	541	+0	No	$-0	04-22 08:40
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$228	130	130	+0	open	—	04-23 17:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$205	222	222	+0	open	—	04-26 10:16
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$190	101	101	+0	Yes	$-0	04-20 12:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$114	96	96	+0	open	—	06-10 20:12
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	2	$102	54	54	+0	open	—	03-30 20:33
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	03-31 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$94	127	127	+0	open	—	05-20 15:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	04-09 23:33
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	03-28 10:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$91	73	73	+0	open	—	06-12 10:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	05-19 05:59
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	04-08 01:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$86	53	53	+0	open	—	06-06 19:27
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	06-13 03:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	5	$84	198	198	+0	open	—	06-06 05:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$81	76	68	+8	open	—	05-27 21:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	06-05 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$77	46	46	+0	open	—	06-06 10:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$67	73	73	+0	open	—	06-01 08:25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 07:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 10:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	11	$21	241	241	+0	open	—	05-17 23:23
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$9	144	144	+0	open	—	04-24 20:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$9	159	159	+0	open	—	03-30 13:00
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$6	150	150	+0	No	$-0	04-04 03:45
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$6	168	168	+0	open	—	04-11 16:46
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$3	41	41	+0	open	—	06-05 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 03:43:51	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x2e2a96…
06-13 02:31:01	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x3c4896…
06-12 10:53:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xe6954a…
06-12 08:25:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xd92f35…
06-10 20:12:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$16	0x16304a…
06-10 17:54:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x9d87bc…
06-09 03:16:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	21	78¢	$16	0x4de736…
06-09 03:16:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x9811e8…
06-08 17:29:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x3d76a7…
06-07 23:24:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	57	66¢	$38	0x17cbbb…
06-07 19:00:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	57	68¢	$39	0xfba75e…
06-06 19:27:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xe134d9…
06-06 19:26:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	45	81¢	$37	0x661934…
06-06 18:05:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x4c8a3f…
06-06 10:34:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	46	84¢	$39	0x914e79…
06-06 09:11:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x9abf9a…
06-06 09:11:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x92067f…
06-06 05:08:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x3dd4f2…
06-06 03:41:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x4614c3…
06-05 21:11:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xe66cc0…
06-05 21:11:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x5413e9…
06-05 19:06:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x8db1c7…
06-05 14:41:33	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xcabd67…
06-05 12:52:40	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xd4c5eb…
06-05 11:03:55	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x37c25d…
06-05 11:03:55	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$2	0x2961d6…
06-05 08:42:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0xf202a0…
06-01 08:25:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	39¢	$28	0x614c8d…
05-29 23:12:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	53¢	$39	0xd88f60…
05-27 21:43:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	56¢	$38	0xfe8e2f…
05-27 20:02:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	56¢	$43	0xe3f0ca…
05-20 15:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x85810b…
05-20 15:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x12a8ba…
05-20 12:02:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x0cf2cc…
05-19 05:59:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe267be…
05-19 05:59:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x958cf6…
05-19 01:55:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x4c8666…
05-18 13:43:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x51599d…
05-18 12:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd3378a…
05-18 12:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xbf9f90…
05-17 23:23:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$1	0x63e748…
05-17 21:28:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xb66959…
05-16 21:53:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xd96bbb…
05-16 21:53:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x505e7a…
05-16 21:53:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xe9ae02…
05-16 21:53:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x288778…
05-16 17:55:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$6	0xd17c1a…
05-16 13:32:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x4c1e8a…
05-16 13:32:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x24478a…
05-16 10:13:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xabac9f…
05-16 10:13:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x8bca99…
05-15 10:18:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xa3e265…
05-15 06:55:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x140884…
04-26 10:16:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x23918b…
04-26 09:09:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x07b05f…
04-26 05:01:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x9e55d1…
04-26 01:51:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xd7f9bf…
04-26 00:43:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xa5ae52…
04-26 00:42:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x437556…
04-24 20:45:00	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xd55d31…
04-24 20:45:00	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0xcad1bf…
04-24 20:45:00	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xa03411…
04-24 20:45:00	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x1d378e…
04-24 18:27:32	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x741d8f…
04-23 17:49:40	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x9a1dbb…
04-23 17:49:40	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x132705…
04-23 14:28:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf98a5a…
04-23 14:28:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0xf7239f…
04-23 01:34:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xbb9a6a…
04-23 01:33:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x623963…
04-23 00:52:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x693761…
04-22 14:13:18	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	88¢	$47	0x6c9ac4…
04-22 10:46:56	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	88¢	$47	0xed31a9…
04-22 08:40:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x4c70d4…
04-22 08:40:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x7b9cb5…
04-22 08:40:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	98	12¢	$11	0x45b726…
04-22 08:40:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0x01eb8d…
04-22 08:36:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9ad63c…
04-22 08:36:28	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	148	12¢	$17	0xa1a66b…
04-22 02:52:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	37	88¢	$33	0xab4791…
04-22 00:29:12	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x4cedf0…
04-21 20:00:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xbf7d99…
04-21 18:35:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$2	0x2b027f…
04-21 07:00:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x46748e…
04-21 06:52:16	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7f2838…
04-20 12:40:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x8544ec…
04-20 12:40:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x947c45…
04-14 03:46:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xcb76e6…
04-14 03:46:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x8b238c…
04-14 02:29:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc2ab55…
04-13 15:26:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x48f282…
04-13 13:33:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x9ef036…
04-13 13:33:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x37bea0…
04-11 16:46:23	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x474cb3…
04-11 16:45:57	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xc636b2…
04-11 16:45:57	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0x8cf223…
04-11 16:45:57	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x7be846…
04-11 13:16:27	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	168	2¢	$3	0x148093…
04-10 03:00:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	81	8¢	$6	0xb32a59…
04-10 01:53:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0xaf91ac…