Frequent-Colleague — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$418

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-19 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 78% +$2

Other

28% 100% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes		-5	$-3	36¢	$-2	+$1	06-20 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$22	37	0	+37	open	—	05-19 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	8	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	05-19 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	11	$19	35	0	+35	open	—	05-19 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$16	20	10	+10	Up	$-3	05-08 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$15	33	0	+33	open	—	05-19 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	05-18 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$13	21	0	+21	open	—	05-19 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$12	19	5	+15	open	—	05-19 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	10	$10	24	10	+14	Down	$-4	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	5	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 07:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-23 07:34
will starmer say social media during resignation 20260622052443844	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-22 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 08:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	06-22 08:38
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	7	$9	13	2	+11	Up	$-1	05-09 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$8	15	0	+15	Up	$-0	05-09 01:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$8	17	17	+0	open	—	06-22 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$8	11	1	+10	Up	+$1	05-09 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$7	33	17	+17	Up	$-1	05-08 07:31
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	07-19 20:07
will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	06-22 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-08 07:14
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	07-19 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-24 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 07:01
will starmer say labour during resignation 20260622052443861	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-22 08:34
will starmer say russia or ukraine during resignation 20260622052443858	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-22 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-08 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 20:18:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2cb794…
07-19 20:07:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6499ce…
07-19 20:07:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x7a8f8f…
07-19 19:39:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfc5ff7…
07-12 02:38:10	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x120aad…
07-12 02:09:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xde1233…
07-12 02:08:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe8c86d…
06-22 08:38:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x554451…
06-22 08:38:04	will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x884f7a…
06-22 08:37:58	will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x39f730…
06-22 08:36:11	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x4fc86f…
06-22 08:35:38	will starmer say russia or ukraine during resignation 20260622052443858	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa53557…
06-22 08:35:17	will starmer say social media during resignation 20260622052443844	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x82d84b…
06-22 08:34:44	will starmer say labour during resignation 20260622052443861	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2add1e…
06-20 21:31:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9fad93…
06-20 21:31:40	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8c4dcd…
06-20 21:31:25	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x463d87…
05-28 09:02:27	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3ba468…
05-28 08:58:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x606d76…
05-23 02:49:04	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb9ee16…
05-21 08:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4bea85…
05-21 08:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x73ba36…
05-20 18:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9dea71…
05-20 09:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x806a50…
05-20 08:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb6f619…
05-20 08:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x56bea7…
05-20 08:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfdd751…
05-20 03:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x747d93…
05-19 10:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb2b84d…
05-19 10:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x07b56a…
05-19 10:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d4de1…
05-19 10:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdb2425…
05-19 10:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x86b8c2…
05-19 10:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5b40dd…
05-19 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd08fad…
05-19 10:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x97832c…
05-19 10:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa85a63…
05-19 10:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb08be9…
05-19 10:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfdabdf…
05-19 10:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x28b1d5…
05-19 10:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9194da…
05-19 10:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe346e7…
05-19 10:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xcacd94…
05-19 10:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x981b68…
05-19 09:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x89090b…
05-19 09:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8c1266…
05-19 09:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x58e59c…
05-19 09:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd613aa…
05-19 09:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x92ef45…
05-19 09:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x14b81e…
05-19 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb4550c…
05-19 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2f6dd8…
05-19 09:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe45ffe…
05-19 09:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa39357…
05-19 09:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf16aa6…
05-19 09:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1f83dc…
05-19 09:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xec83f5…
05-19 09:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d6cbb…
05-19 09:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2228bc…
05-19 09:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe1d34e…
05-19 09:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8441f4…
05-19 09:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xae0e99…
05-19 09:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x70c823…
05-19 08:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x92b493…
05-19 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xcbbb7a…
05-19 08:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x3c5193…
05-19 08:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeefad6…
05-19 08:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa1e1ad…
05-19 08:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xc34978…
05-19 08:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x62cabc…
05-19 08:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc21f54…
05-19 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x95dac5…
05-19 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x67c9aa…
05-18 08:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xde797d…
05-18 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf29ee3…
05-18 08:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x378bf4…
05-18 08:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd34d5c…
05-18 08:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xda957c…
05-18 08:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe3da70…
05-18 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xaf5a16…
05-09 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf2634f…
05-09 02:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x781245…
05-09 01:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x10265e…
05-09 01:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd958a9…
05-09 01:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1be385…
05-09 01:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3ed398…
05-09 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf7102e…
05-09 01:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2edfdd…
05-09 01:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3ec6b0…
05-09 01:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3cda18…
05-09 01:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcfb9ed…
05-09 01:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x41ee3f…
05-09 01:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0x16ce32…
05-09 01:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x23023b…
05-09 01:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf23bc9…
05-09 01:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x324f78…
05-09 01:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1523d7…
05-09 01:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdff036…
05-09 00:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x356da6…
05-09 00:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcfe614…