(anonymous) 0xb9d1a1…7d6de5 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$231
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
132
Trades
1,071
lifetime
Volume
$9.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$374
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-22
last 11-06 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
63% 41% -$299
Other
27% 53% +$66
Crypto
9% 47% -$1
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +125 $25 20¢ $26 +$1 10-30 15:22
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +76 $25 32¢ $25 $0 11-05 05:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +93 $23 25¢ $23 $0 11-05 05:28
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +71 $26 30¢ $21 -$5 11-04 00:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +109 $25 19¢ $21 -$4 11-04 05:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +109 $25 18¢ $20 -$5 11-05 15:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +68 $12 29¢ $19 +$8 11-05 15:59
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? Yes +86 $21 20¢ $17 -$3 11-05 05:41
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +39 $19 44¢ $17 -$2 11-05 17:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +68 $24 22¢ $15 -$8 11-05 06:22
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31? Yes +43 $17 34¢ $15 -$3 11-04 04:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +156 $23 8¢ $12 -$11 11-03 07:24
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes +78 $25 15¢ $12 -$13 11-05 05:32
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? Yes +73 $14 16¢ $11 -$3 11-06 09:58
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes +78 $24 14¢ $11 -$13 11-05 05:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +46 $19 24¢ $11 -$8 11-05 05:19
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $10 38¢ $9 -$1 11-05 17:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +22 $8 39¢ $9 +$1 11-05 21:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $8 16¢ $8 +$0 11-05 19:21
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? Yes +43 $8 18¢ $8 +$0 11-05 19:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $8 42¢ $8 $0 10-31 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8? Yes +58 $15 13¢ $7 -$8 11-05 23:21
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +52 $8 13¢ $7 -$1 11-04 18:48
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +25 $6 28¢ $7 +$1 11-06 01:06
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 21¢ $7 -$3 11-05 15:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +30 $12 20¢ $6 -$6 11-04 03:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +32 $6 19¢ $6 +$0 11-06 01:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +15 $6 42¢ $6 $0 11-05 07:06
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +10 $5 56¢ $6 +$1 11-06 04:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +11 $3 48¢ $5 +$2 11-04 16:45