Bleak-Vibraphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$995

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

401

Trades

774

lifetime

Volume

$33.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 08-18 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

73% 54% -$1,453

Politics

13% 78% +$389

Sports

9% 75% +$415

Crypto

6% 38% -$345

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-24	-$4	8¢	$-2	+$2	08-18 00:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$2.5K	1,830	1,830	+0	Yes	+$169	04-19 16:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	6	$1.8K	1,467	1,467	+0	Yes	-$689	05-04 16:05
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.1K	640	640	+0	No	+$131	04-13 00:19
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	3	$964	494	494	+0	Yes	+$24	05-04 00:06
nba den lal 2026 03 14	2	$821	469	469	+0	Lakers	+$108	03-15 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3?	2	$813	413	413	+0	No	+$13	05-04 00:51
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 11 2026 22c	2	$799	406	405	+1	No	+$11	04-11 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	5	$772	433	433	+0	No	+$92	05-04 19:02
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 draw	2	$738	395	395	+0	Yes	+$51	03-14 21:58
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	44	$708	424	417	+6	Yes	+$123	04-23 18:13
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 24c	2	$696	350	350	+0	No	+$4	04-09 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	7	$638	332	332	+0	Yes	+$18	07-04 20:03
sea ver gen 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	1	$634	902	0	+902	Over	-$634	03-15 13:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 11 2026 23c	9	$629	458	455	+3	Yes	-$180	04-11 16:35
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 29c	5	$617	319	318	+1	No	+$20	04-09 01:08
epl che new 2026 03 14 new	2	$598	348	348	+0	Yes	+$98	03-14 19:30
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 10 2026 20c	6	$561	284	284	+0	No	-$1	04-10 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?	2	$500	518	0	+518	Yes	+$18	07-05 19:03
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 29c	2	$448	230	230	+1	No	+$11	04-13 00:19
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 10 2026 22c	2	$421	218	218	+1	No	+$14	04-10 17:27
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 25c	7	$410	234	233	+1	No	$0	04-09 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?	1	$400	405	0	+405	No	+$5	06-30 17:02
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 10 2026 21c	3	$385	194	194	+0	No	+$4	04-10 16:36
nhl nyr dal 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	5	$360	200	200	+0	Under	+$40	04-11 23:55
nba sac lac 2026 03 14	1	$342	393	0	+393	Kings	+$51	03-15 04:31
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 27c	3	$319	327	13	+313	Yes	+$3	04-09 18:34
nba was bos 2026 03 14 total 231pt5	2	$313	213	213	+0	Under	+$113	03-15 00:16
sea udi juv 2026 03 14 total 2pt5	2	$285	185	185	+0	Under	+$85	03-14 21:41
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 27c	24	$269	195	192	+4	No	+$35	04-22 17:41
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	7	$267	151	151	+0	Yes	+$30	07-06 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 00:10:09	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xd2a649…
08-18 00:09:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0xf1d9f9…
07-08 08:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x660204…
07-06 19:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	151	98¢	$148	0xc26025…
07-06 18:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xc3a72a…
07-06 18:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xe83907…
07-06 17:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8814c4…
07-06 17:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x38864a…
07-06 17:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xadb7e3…
07-06 16:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 6?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$70	0xe30d0e…
07-06 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9c2a38…
07-05 19:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 6?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x65771a…
07-05 19:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 6?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa5a80b…
07-05 19:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0xcd7e5f…
07-05 18:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x06fc57…
07-05 05:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 6?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x6ed128…
07-05 05:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 5?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb1871e…
07-05 05:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9879b9…
07-05 05:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 5?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa10130…
07-04 20:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 5?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf2a701…
07-04 20:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 5?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3ced22…
07-04 20:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x01b0c7…
07-04 19:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x9abb31…
07-04 19:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6ad20f…
07-04 19:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x43094b…
07-04 19:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x2f5c75…
07-04 18:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0xdb4515…
07-04 18:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0x29f61e…
07-04 18:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 4?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbd1fb7…
07-04 16:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 4?	No	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x25b436…
07-04 16:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 4?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8743ca…
07-04 16:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x0a1563…
07-04 15:58:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x4ff582…
07-04 15:29:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6cf81f…
07-03 18:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$2	0x0ce048…
07-03 18:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1d7f3a…
07-03 05:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 3?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x0baa0b…
07-03 05:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 3?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x52151c…
07-03 05:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x43cbe1…
06-30 17:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$400	0xc3a99e…
06-20 06:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb15387…
06-19 08:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe82a48…
06-17 09:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfa4244…
06-17 09:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xca74e2…
06-16 10:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x90fa7a…
06-14 09:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x725adc…
06-13 21:25:34	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xaf670b…
06-13 21:24:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x8e9efe…
06-13 21:24:06	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x8e1390…
06-13 21:23:00	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x2a26a7…
06-13 21:22:42	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xbcd167…
06-13 21:21:40	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xc30543…
06-13 04:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3a00c7…
06-13 04:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x650704…
06-13 04:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x659936…
06-13 04:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	204	1¢	$2	0x651b73…
06-12 04:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1eeeb0…
06-12 04:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x729c78…
06-12 04:40:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd76510…
05-06 10:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd8a7eb…
05-06 10:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4a80b6…
05-06 10:15:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 6?	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x363f97…
05-05 22:52:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x2dae6a…
05-05 19:29:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 7?	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0x9a03fc…
05-05 19:29:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 7?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x0e0051…
05-05 19:27:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 6?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x3f9935…
05-05 13:39:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xdb1fdf…
05-04 19:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	No	SELL	433	100¢	$432	0xfe110e…
05-04 19:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 4?	No	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x503e1b…
05-04 19:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	188	96¢	$180	0x310b52…
05-04 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	734	3¢	$24	0x364bac…
05-04 14:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	135	81¢	$110	0x23f445…
05-04 14:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x0ade27…
05-04 14:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x302cb9…
05-04 14:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xa64a11…
05-04 14:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x0453ca…
05-04 14:39:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	734	73¢	$534	0xa9ec6f…
05-04 14:01:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x10fc25…
05-04 13:58:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0x1beb78…
05-04 13:58:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	709	85¢	$600	0x7ef33f…
05-04 13:57:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	214	83¢	$177	0x5c95fe…
05-04 00:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3?	No	SELL	413	100¢	$413	0xc0aecf…
05-04 00:06:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	494	100¢	$494	0xa6a573…
05-03 18:36:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	188	96¢	$180	0x2d3b05…
05-03 18:35:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	306	95¢	$290	0x07ae91…
05-03 18:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3?	No	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0xcf1689…
05-03 18:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xe3ff41…
04-29 16:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x68dd0f…
04-28 14:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb276a1…
04-28 14:12:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7b0130…
04-28 14:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x51c700…
04-28 14:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4f7460…
04-27 13:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x324f7b…
04-27 13:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x7c7576…
04-27 13:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x04f493…
04-26 13:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc171df…
04-26 13:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9e4d72…
04-26 13:31:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1a5a24…
04-25 13:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbab32e…
04-25 13:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x82ad3f…