Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 7?
open
Total volume
$128
$134 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$220
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 22:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $29
vs crowd: 3% YES on $81)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $2 | $44 | $41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Centurion 0x8850…d68d | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-07 00:02 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 06:18 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 09:03 |
| Kosher-Innocent 0xb166…0c07 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 01:39 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 04:08 |
| Striped-Rehospitalisation 0x4862…4e2f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:35 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 12:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 22:31:37 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xf202c5… |
| 05-07 19:46:13 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xdbabab… |
| 05-07 15:02:15 | Near-Cathedral 0xf141…67b0 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1c7b86… |
| 05-07 12:21:22 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe39228… |
| 05-07 12:15:56 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa84489… |
| 05-07 10:20:21 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8225a0… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8551c9… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9eee8f… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad694b… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbeba8e… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x150981… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfbba6e… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaa2d20… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x823eff… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x76dfec… |
| 05-07 09:03:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xa5cfa7… |
| 05-07 08:57:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x030452… |
| 05-07 08:29:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc4db38… |
| 05-07 06:18:56 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xbccd0a… |
| 05-07 05:08:04 | Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | BUY | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0xcd0bab… |
| 05-07 04:08:04 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x029107… |
| 05-07 00:02:08 | Little-Centurion 0x8850…d68d | No | BUY | 23 | 63¢ | $15 | 0x3e51c5… |
| 05-06 15:35:36 | Striped-Rehospitalisation 0x4862…4e2f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xb0aac6… |
| 05-06 15:10:22 | Little-Centurion 0x8850…d68d | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x05ee5d… |
| 05-06 01:39:32 | Kosher-Innocent 0xb166…0c07 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x72e5c6… |