Striped-Rehospitalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$535

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-10 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-2

Crypto

31% 56% $-8

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	2	$58	60	57	+3	open	—	04-27 13:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$23	8,476	0	+8,476	open	—	04-27 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$20	16	14	+2	Down	+$2	05-07 18:08
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	5	$17	576	576	+0	open	—	04-27 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	8	$17	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$13	13	10	+3	Up	+$1	05-07 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 18:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$10	6,167	0	+6,167	open	—	04-27 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$9	9	5	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$8	22	6	+17	Up	$-2	05-07 11:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$7	5,167	0	+5,167	open	—	04-27 15:41
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	3	$7	292	278	+15	open	—	04-22 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$5	10	2	+9	Up	$-3	05-07 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-07 18:25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 28?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-28 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$4	11	5	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C or below on April 28?	2	$4	335	0	+335	open	—	04-26 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or below on April 27?	2	$3	2,260	0	+2,260	open	—	04-26 16:04
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	273	0	+273	open	—	04-27 16:42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$3	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-22 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 27?	2	$3	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	04-26 16:04
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 18:36
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	2	$3	672	0	+672	open	—	04-23 14:48
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$3	587	0	+587	open	—	04-28 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-07 18:30
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	22	0	+22	open	—	04-26 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 11:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd0b8ed…
05-10 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe092cc…
05-07 18:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc91a11…
05-07 18:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x498ce9…
05-07 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb2e0e3…
05-07 18:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xd56939…
05-07 18:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x92e460…
05-07 18:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xfc319c…
05-07 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6d6a92…
05-07 18:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x134d34…
05-07 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2c7cdd…
05-07 18:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x9f1c79…
05-07 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf7f826…
05-07 18:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x1b5b90…
05-07 18:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8e75d1…
05-07 18:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x3898a9…
05-07 18:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8ea6ea…
05-07 18:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x6b4334…
05-07 18:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc65c07…
05-07 18:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xd60568…
05-07 18:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa9ed83…
05-07 18:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x699f72…
05-07 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4d0cc0…
05-07 18:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1c1cea…
05-07 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0xef7ef2…
05-07 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc38e5c…
05-07 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcf9ce6…
05-07 18:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x95000a…
05-07 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3f79f0…
05-07 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x32cd7f…
05-07 18:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xcec8e9…
05-07 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5d9bce…
05-07 18:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xc8023d…
05-07 18:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd28967…
05-07 18:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xed33c4…
05-07 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x68e38d…
05-07 18:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xea3053…
05-07 18:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3d8be0…
05-07 18:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4ccc6b…
05-07 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x124e3f…
05-07 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0867e5…
05-07 18:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x7805c0…
05-07 18:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x99515e…
05-07 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xb02819…
05-07 18:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x928283…
05-07 18:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe324ee…
05-07 18:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8ac040…
05-07 18:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x31e891…
05-07 18:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd20812…
05-07 18:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x67f8a4…
05-07 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0e1c82…
05-07 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x702984…
05-07 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1435d3…
05-07 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfefe0a…
05-07 17:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6cd3f2…
05-07 17:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc87dd8…
05-07 17:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc5dda3…
05-07 17:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x588cf4…
05-07 17:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9971e9…
05-07 11:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbbf13a…
05-07 11:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa43746…
05-07 11:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x3cd441…
05-07 11:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee9f83…
05-07 11:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x67175c…
05-07 10:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3534fd…
05-07 10:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbb5a00…
05-07 10:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x642d61…
05-07 10:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe8cfb8…
04-29 14:05:08	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xceb955…
04-28 20:39:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd9fbad…
04-28 14:47:44	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe7495d…
04-28 14:45:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x83b0ad…
04-28 14:02:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x33a871…
04-28 04:51:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4e4162…
04-28 04:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x0c5fb4…
04-27 19:55:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xd05383…
04-27 19:54:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa6e107…
04-27 19:51:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xd9f4a2…
04-27 19:49:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5d8dea…
04-27 19:49:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3bfa34…
04-27 19:45:28	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	SELL	576	2¢	$11	0x4d65a0…
04-27 19:04:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x46ca83…
04-27 19:04:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x185648…
04-27 19:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xffefb2…
04-27 18:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x3722c3…
04-27 16:45:12	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc4c4e2…
04-27 16:45:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6d20ed…
04-27 16:44:54	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	278	1¢	$2	0x8000ac…
04-27 16:42:44	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x42954a…
04-27 16:42:34	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xaf0e7c…
04-27 16:41:18	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xca586e…
04-27 15:45:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xabd574…
04-27 15:41:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x09dcc7…
04-27 15:41:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xee5ce2…
04-27 15:38:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa45dfb…
04-27 15:38:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7541c1…
04-27 15:38:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$12	0x96d7d5…
04-27 13:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x1bf646…
04-27 13:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x8fbf09…
04-27 13:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x88fb4f…