Near-Cathedral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,033

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-10 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

84% 28% +$6

Politics

11% 0% $-0

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-124	$-41	32¢	$-39	+$2	06-10 07:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	38	$260	418	418	+0	open	—	03-13 03:53
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	17	$138	230	230	+0	open	—	03-13 04:15
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	11	$118	210	200	+10	open	—	03-14 13:49
spx up or down on march 12 2026	8	$103	190	190	+0	open	—	03-12 04:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	17	$96	605	605	+0	open	—	03-09 02:55
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	9	$80	160	160	+0	open	—	03-13 01:03
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	14	$77	164	164	+0	open	—	03-15 05:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	30	$71	519	519	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 12:32
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	13	$64	121	121	+0	open	—	03-15 19:51
spx up or down on march 13 2026	10	$62	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 02:16
will vance say epic fury during his rocky mount visit	4	$49	79	79	+0	open	—	03-13 17:08
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	3	$45	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 18:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	0	124	-124	open	—	06-10 07:37
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	15	$41	305	305	+0	open	—	03-09 03:17
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	18	$37	133	133	+0	open	—	03-12 21:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 42 and 46 million views on day 2	22	$36	431	431	+0	open	—	03-09 10:44
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	4	$34	51	51	+0	open	—	03-12 18:43
will pacto histrico win 27 29 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 315 883	2	$31	50	50	+0	open	—	03-14 03:58
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	42	$31	344	344	+0	open	—	04-03 12:03
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	10	$31	209	209	+0	open	—	03-13 04:12
will vance say ass during his rocky mount visit	5	$30	55	55	+0	open	—	03-13 17:46
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 18:54
spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	2	$25	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 02:04
will sinners win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	3	$24	46	46	+0	open	—	03-15 21:03
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	8	$23	53	53	+0	open	—	03-14 02:11
will vance say somali or somalian during his rocky mount visit	4	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 17:52
will vance say made in america during his rocky mount visit	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 17:29
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	5	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	03-10 02:40
will mom be said at the oscars	13	$20	286	286	+0	open	—	03-16 00:02
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	16	$20	741	536	+205	open	—	04-13 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:37:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0x217e17…
06-10 07:19:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	32¢	$23	0x7f579c…
05-13 12:32:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x4c083b…
05-13 12:27:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa6d04c…
05-13 12:21:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0x61fc7b…
05-13 12:15:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x041464…
05-13 12:08:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x717ed9…
05-13 12:00:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x721421…
05-13 11:50:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x8011ce…
05-13 11:43:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0xc28680…
05-13 11:38:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x03cc8d…
05-13 11:33:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x63e293…
05-13 11:30:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xb7c28a…
05-13 11:26:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdc6679…
05-13 11:26:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5f761f…
05-13 11:22:44	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x5cd072…
05-13 11:21:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7591e1…
05-13 11:04:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0xee3e57…
05-13 11:02:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x73eb0b…
05-13 10:53:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xf5123b…
05-13 10:52:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2efdca…
05-13 10:51:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x95b07b…
05-13 10:48:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0x912148…
05-13 10:36:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf77284…
05-13 10:35:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3cfbe4…
05-13 10:35:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xfb0af3…
05-13 10:07:08	Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xbb7b36…
05-13 09:41:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xbd3a34…
05-13 09:39:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc66ea5…
05-13 09:39:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x3411f4…
05-13 09:33:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0x1f6251…
05-13 09:33:25	Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4ef1da…
05-13 09:09:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0x02939b…
05-13 09:05:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x62b5be…
05-13 09:04:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x644b8b…
05-12 19:47:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfe994c…
05-12 19:08:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xf3f28f…
05-12 18:29:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	No	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x3c600e…
05-12 18:19:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x32e27b…
05-12 18:01:24	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xb4117f…
05-12 17:51:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x4bf966…
05-12 17:40:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x912c0b…
05-12 17:35:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	No	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x2af50c…
05-12 17:32:45	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xf9fe82…
05-12 17:31:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x30894b…
05-12 17:23:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe79051…
05-12 17:03:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xa99423…
05-12 12:28:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x304792…
05-12 12:23:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x409ae6…
05-12 12:21:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x4e8ad2…
05-12 12:17:42	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xccd026…
05-12 12:05:08	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	166	0¢	$0	0xbeea37…
05-12 12:05:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x682ed9…
05-12 12:00:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa2bc24…
05-12 11:57:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0xcc193f…
05-12 11:45:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0x1cbfa7…
05-12 11:39:45	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner	Nova Esports	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc6fac8…
05-12 11:38:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xf8de40…
05-12 11:36:36	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner	Nova Esports	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x347573…
05-12 11:27:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xf211da…
05-12 11:24:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x715415…
05-11 14:00:52	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0xfdc490…
05-11 13:33:59	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x510b9e…
05-07 17:02:00	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0xe437cf…
05-07 16:18:38	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x388750…
05-07 16:00:57	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xffcfc2…
05-07 15:46:50	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x158e3f…
05-07 15:34:34	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x3c0fc4…
05-07 15:13:56	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x284bf7…
05-07 15:09:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x305ce7…
05-07 13:30:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd54ba4…
05-07 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xad365b…
05-07 13:29:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xdf8b22…
05-07 13:27:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x2c7c65…
05-07 13:26:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x959694…
05-07 13:24:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x70f020…
05-07 13:22:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x576d54…
05-07 13:16:24	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0x13b519…
05-07 13:16:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa521cc…
05-07 13:11:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x11f940…
05-07 13:07:30	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x591f31…
05-07 12:42:50	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2849fe…
05-07 12:12:03	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x1a97d3…
05-06 20:00:03	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x3baa46…
05-06 19:57:34	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xcbe169…
05-06 19:53:33	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf39ab4…
05-06 19:38:47	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0xe7d96b…
05-06 19:12:09	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x250029…
05-06 19:01:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x584f24…
05-06 19:00:08	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x930525…
05-06 18:51:04	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xf9d59b…
05-06 18:46:14	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd89f7a…
05-06 18:31:12	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaa8658…
05-06 18:16:11	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb20aa1…
05-06 18:12:01	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x627294…
05-06 18:00:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x108ae9…
05-06 17:15:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa86ef6…
05-06 17:01:10	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x4e760c…
05-06 17:00:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x921b94…
05-06 16:44:20	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x9f6295…