0xb9e50ed239a11755cc1bba501fed4b084072f82e — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$472

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.6%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-24 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 33% $-472

Other

35% 0% —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	17	$2.5K	1,310	1,305	+5	open	—	04-13 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$996	822	250	+572	Yes	$-525	04-14 11:17
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	9	$639	583	315	+268	open	—	04-17 12:55
maduro mugshot released by monday	11	$608	676	561	+115	open	—	01-03 18:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$588	350	350	+0	open	—	03-22 20:17
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	4	$527	200	346	-146	open	—	03-12 00:07
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	8	$507	558	450	+108	open	—	04-18 15:10
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	7	$492	568	0	+568	open	—	01-27 18:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$490	300	300	+0	open	—	04-12 19:12
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	4	$383	300	300	+0	open	—	01-03 22:44
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	6	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	01-22 22:20
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	3	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 19:26
maduro mugshot released by january 9	4	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$338	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 05:36
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$280	334	0	+334	No	+$53	05-06 09:43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$279	166	198	-32	open	—	04-19 16:32
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	6	$277	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 08:02
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	5	$260	376	0	+376	open	—	05-15 02:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$246	300	0	+300	open	—	01-10 22:08
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	3	$227	300	0	+300	open	—	01-05 21:38
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	6	$187	249	412	-163	open	—	01-16 00:21
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 17 2026	4	$186	200	100	+100	open	—	01-15 13:55
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	4	$181	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 17:02
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 10 2026 538 895	5	$175	217	0	+217	open	—	01-08 22:03
will trump visit greenland by march 31	7	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 18:19
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	2	$172	100	100	+0	open	—	01-21 23:16
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 19:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$163	400	200	+200	open	—	02-25 18:11
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	3	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	01-21 17:01
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$160	184	0	+184	open	—	04-20 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:09:32	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xd9279b…
06-16 22:18:34	will trump shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615194910741	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xfadd0b…
05-15 02:02:37	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x32c5a2…
05-15 01:51:11	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x7c8c17…
05-15 01:46:45	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	59	55¢	$32	0x744092…
05-14 18:58:24	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x509bdd…
05-08 05:36:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x87613c…
05-07 20:39:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x959975…
05-06 09:43:38	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	334	84¢	$280	0x7b1e47…
05-04 08:50:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0x581ac6…
04-27 10:39:22	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb73ed8…
04-26 17:44:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x5c1105…
04-26 10:34:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9db538…
04-22 14:43:14	Drake Iceman sculpture Date Revealed by April 24?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcfd6b9…
04-20 17:36:42	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0x7fceff…
04-20 09:33:44	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x5063eb…
04-20 09:33:26	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	84	86¢	$73	0x372734…
04-20 07:30:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x07b499…
04-19 17:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xf6c4e3…
04-19 16:32:24	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	198	83¢	$164	0x48cdbd…
04-18 15:10:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xb34c78…
04-17 20:53:36	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0b142c…
04-17 15:24:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	250	42¢	$105	0x12d505…
04-17 13:17:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	114	24¢	$27	0x45c358…
04-17 13:17:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x9b37ff…
04-17 13:16:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xda14a6…
04-17 13:03:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x783a5c…
04-17 12:56:46	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xf4e9ef…
04-17 12:55:54	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x7e876e…
04-17 12:38:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	62	71¢	$44	0xf20779…
04-17 12:37:20	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9dd613…
04-17 12:33:56	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	138	71¢	$98	0xb8e77e…
04-17 12:23:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xc600d3…
04-17 10:56:30	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xdd10d6…
04-17 08:08:54	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x5676e3…
04-17 08:04:44	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x3e99eb…
04-17 07:49:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0xa8d919…
04-16 15:12:24	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe21b3e…
04-16 15:12:24	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x1363ee…
04-16 15:10:00	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4ed01f…
04-16 14:49:04	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x909f3d…
04-16 14:20:22	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc83e43…
04-16 14:07:20	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x72e2f6…
04-16 13:54:32	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xdb040e…
04-16 11:26:18	will mark rutte say ally or allied or alliance during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2d14cf…
04-16 11:05:22	will mark rutte say ally or allied or alliance during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa58171…
04-16 10:37:20	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8157d9…
04-16 10:35:06	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xbd08ee…
04-16 10:23:20	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x836071…
04-15 17:51:42	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x36f67d…
04-15 16:14:22	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	69¢	$57	0x9510bb…
04-15 15:49:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0xdf1850…
04-15 14:30:00	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x69b983…
04-15 14:16:32	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa9add7…
04-15 13:54:24	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x2ee589…
04-15 13:39:30	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5b6f12…
04-15 13:39:04	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x7d74bb…
04-15 10:02:00	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x94e67f…
04-14 11:17:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	322	94¢	$302	0x0d859b…
04-13 11:13:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x83bb7e…
04-13 10:33:27	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	630	100¢	$628	0xb986c8…
04-13 08:33:25	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	326	100¢	$325	0xd7d26a…
04-13 07:51:03	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4fb4fe…
04-13 07:40:17	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x8cdba0…
04-13 07:34:07	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdfb9c1…
04-13 07:06:25	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$160	0xd934e7…
04-13 06:22:15	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x85f493…
04-13 06:07:39	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x51a9f2…
04-12 20:08:57	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0xdad112…
04-12 20:07:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0x8ce8c3…
04-12 19:29:17	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	280	93¢	$260	0x05fe72…
04-12 19:27:07	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x761e20…
04-12 19:26:33	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xdd9cc0…
04-12 19:25:49	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x23dcc6…
04-12 19:25:29	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6012ca…
04-12 19:13:21	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x4fb432…
04-12 19:12:45	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xfcdbc2…
04-12 19:09:41	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x5498b3…
04-12 19:00:55	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	155	90¢	$140	0xd3d428…
04-12 18:59:43	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x8122df…
04-12 07:35:37	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xb42287…
04-12 07:27:35	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	SELL	99	72¢	$71	0x9e01b4…
04-10 13:59:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$458	0x42223f…
04-10 10:43:13	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	SELL	69	78¢	$54	0xd5ed52…
04-10 09:26:09	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0x940c45…
04-09 13:40:57	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x43c70e…
04-09 12:20:51	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x19c779…
04-09 05:24:07	Will any of the stolen KitKats be recovered by April 15?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x481428…
04-08 17:30:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x008fdf…
04-08 12:28:43	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	SELL	28	87¢	$25	0x753bd2…
04-08 10:20:45	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x8289f6…
04-08 10:14:01	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x96292c…
04-08 07:57:51	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	87¢	$49	0xaa0467…
04-07 21:06:09	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x15a441…
04-07 20:43:35	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xed7b5e…
04-07 18:51:27	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xb53b89…
04-07 18:45:09	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x7f7292…
04-07 04:21:55	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0xeeedfe…
04-05 14:27:43	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x6358ac…
04-05 14:18:07	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x515998…