0xb9e50ed239a11755cc1bba501fed4b084072f82e — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$274

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

101

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$465

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

58% 57% -$6

Other

41% 61% +$238

Sports

1% 17% -$22

Tech

0% 50% +$66

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	No	+200	$182	94¢	$187	+$5	08-19 07:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$164	92¢	$185	+$21	09-22 05:43
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+56	$40	94¢	$53	+$13	08-02 05:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-40	-$39	97¢	$-39	$0	10-02 07:08
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+200	$16	0¢	$1	-$15	06-02 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	17	$2.5K	1,310	1,305	+5	Yes	+$83	04-13 10:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$996	822	250	+572	Yes	-$525	04-14 11:17
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	9	$639	583	315	+268	No	+$79	04-17 12:55
maduro mugshot released by monday	11	$608	676	561	+115	No	-$47	01-03 18:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$588	350	350	+0	No	+$42	03-22 20:17
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	6	$554	355	355	+0	No	+$101	09-20 19:13
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	4	$527	200	346	-146	No	+$13	03-12 00:07
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	8	$507	558	450	+108	No	+$7	04-18 15:10
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	11	$504	720	472	+248	open	—	10-19 12:53
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	7	$492	568	0	+568	No	+$76	01-27 18:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$490	300	300	+0	Yes	+$48	04-12 19:12
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	4	$383	300	300	+0	Yes	+$56	01-03 22:44
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	6	$383	200	200	+0	No	+$15	01-22 22:20
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	2	$382	200	200	+0	No	+$18	09-12 20:15
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	3	$368	200	200	+0	Yes	+$8	04-12 19:26
maduro mugshot released by january 9	4	$360	200	200	+0	No	+$12	01-08 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$338	200	200	+0	No	+$62	05-08 05:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 05:28
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$280	334	0	+334	No	+$53	05-06 09:43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$279	166	198	-32	No	+$50	04-19 16:32
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	6	$277	200	200	+0	No	+$47	01-15 08:02
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	5	$260	376	0	+376	No	-$260	05-15 02:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$246	300	0	+300	No	+$54	01-10 22:08
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	3	$227	300	0	+300	No	+$73	01-05 21:38
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?	1	$202	302	0	+302	open	—	09-29 19:59
Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	10-19 12:36
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	6	$187	249	412	-163	No	-$36	01-16 00:21
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 17 2026	4	$186	200	100	+100	No	+$70	01-15 13:55
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	2	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	08-19 07:15
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	4	$181	100	100	+0	No	+$11	03-20 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 18:53:51	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0x6427e3…
10-19 12:53:45	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x0d1379…
10-19 12:36:39	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x727649…
10-19 12:36:14	Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x6ebc83…
10-15 23:20:30	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xc9c964…
10-15 23:16:48	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x3fb3f6…
10-15 23:09:34	us imports russian diesel by october 31	No	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0x14c107…
10-13 05:28:47	russia reinstates diesel export ban by october 31	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xa4dad3…
10-12 10:46:05	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xd1c62e…
10-10 09:43:18	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0xa14f9f…
10-09 07:57:27	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	62	28¢	$17	0x8e4b27…
10-07 06:46:26	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	185	31¢	$57	0xca267e…
10-05 21:18:11	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xaffe74…
10-03 17:02:02	Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x5cd8c6…
10-02 07:09:12	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0x5ddd62…
10-02 07:08:23	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xa4746f…
09-29 19:59:45	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	302	67¢	$202	0x756b49…
09-26 17:04:20	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	96	41¢	$39	0x563f09…
09-25 21:16:12	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xf622f8…
09-23 09:48:16	Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5bf52b…
09-22 05:43:15	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xd4ed81…
09-20 19:13:50	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	328	96¢	$315	0x20e317…
09-19 19:14:23	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	84¢	$160	0x8f1a7f…
09-19 19:14:00	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf81b87…
09-19 11:43:14	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	224	66¢	$148	0x7853a0…
09-18 08:05:06	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xc0cea4…
09-17 07:28:42	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0x2e32d4…
09-16 19:28:27	Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x966813…
09-16 16:43:06	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0xfb3679…
09-12 20:15:18	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x19b921…
09-11 06:05:58	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	224	66¢	$147	0xed081d…
09-10 10:24:01	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x258221…
08-19 07:15:15	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	No	BUY	199	91¢	$181	0x365936…
08-04 18:15:48	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	BUY	122	42¢	$51	0x21ebda…
08-04 18:14:42	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xff2548…
08-04 18:13:57	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	BUY	216	31¢	$67	0xd7f298…
08-02 05:35:30	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	No	BUY	110	35¢	$38	0xebcedf…
08-02 05:28:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x200be7…
07-31 00:44:57	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfe06b4…
06-24 14:09:32	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xd9279b…
06-16 22:18:34	will trump shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615194910741	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xfadd0b…
06-02 15:11:24	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xbb3550…
06-02 14:23:34	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xb2282e…
06-02 12:15:40	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0xf9c4a9…
06-02 12:14:34	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x469c4d…
05-16 03:17:04	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	133	79¢	$105	0xe4e4e1…
05-15 02:02:37	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x32c5a2…
05-15 01:51:11	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x7c8c17…
05-15 01:46:45	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	59	55¢	$32	0x744092…
05-14 19:02:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x45baf5…
05-14 18:58:24	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x509bdd…
05-14 04:29:45	Will Slavia Prague win Czechia Fortuna Liga?	No	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x0f34a8…
05-12 12:09:20	Will Slavia Prague win Czechia Fortuna Liga?	No	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0x21ee38…
05-09 21:16:02	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	75	45¢	$34	0xa09e50…
05-09 21:15:20	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x27ead0…
05-09 21:13:09	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	81	46¢	$37	0x01722a…
05-08 05:36:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x87613c…
05-08 05:28:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x2f790e…
05-07 20:39:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x959975…
05-06 09:43:38	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	334	84¢	$280	0x7b1e47…
05-05 20:11:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xc2695a…
05-04 08:50:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0x581ac6…
04-27 10:39:22	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb73ed8…
04-26 17:44:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x5c1105…
04-26 10:34:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9db538…
04-22 14:43:14	Drake Iceman sculpture Date Revealed by April 24?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcfd6b9…
04-20 17:36:42	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0x7fceff…
04-20 09:33:44	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x5063eb…
04-20 09:33:26	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	84	86¢	$73	0x372734…
04-20 07:30:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x07b499…
04-19 17:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xf6c4e3…
04-19 16:32:24	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	198	83¢	$164	0x48cdbd…
04-18 15:10:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xb34c78…
04-17 20:53:36	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0b142c…
04-17 15:24:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	250	42¢	$105	0x12d505…
04-17 13:17:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	114	24¢	$27	0x45c358…
04-17 13:17:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x9b37ff…
04-17 13:16:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xda14a6…
04-17 13:03:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x783a5c…
04-17 12:56:46	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xf4e9ef…
04-17 12:55:54	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x7e876e…
04-17 12:38:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	62	71¢	$44	0xf20779…
04-17 12:37:20	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9dd613…
04-17 12:33:56	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	138	71¢	$98	0xb8e77e…
04-17 12:23:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xc600d3…
04-17 10:56:30	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xdd10d6…
04-17 08:08:54	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x5676e3…
04-17 08:04:44	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x3e99eb…
04-17 07:49:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0xa8d919…
04-16 15:12:24	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe21b3e…
04-16 15:12:24	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x1363ee…
04-16 15:10:00	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4ed01f…
04-16 14:49:04	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x909f3d…
04-16 14:20:22	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc83e43…
04-16 14:07:20	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x72e2f6…
04-16 13:54:32	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xdb040e…
04-16 11:26:18	will mark rutte say ally or allied or alliance during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2d14cf…
04-16 11:05:22	will mark rutte say ally or allied or alliance during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa58171…
04-16 10:37:20	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8157d9…
04-16 10:35:06	will mark rutte say nato 5 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xbd08ee…