Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

2,244

Trades

2,775

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-16 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Politics

32% 19% -$2,824

Crypto

23% 90% +$639

Other

23% 69% -$1,336

Sports

22% 64% +$710

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$9.9K	12,626	3,993	+8,632	Yes	-$2,687	02-28 19:46
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	5	$2.7K	1,814	1,814	+0	Patriots	+$705	01-25 22:54
cs2 ace1 nvq 2026 03 02	5	$2.5K	1,266	1,266	+0	Acend	+$65	03-02 11:06
will baile inolvidable be played at the super bowl halftime show	35	$2.1K	3,918	10	+3,908	Yes	-$117	02-07 22:40
iran strike on israel by december 31	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 21:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,333	1,333	+0	No	+$387	05-24 17:10
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	6	$1.4K	1,195	1,195	+0	Yes	+$144	02-20 10:00
iran strike on israel by february 28	4	$1.1K	576	576	+0	Yes	+$8	02-28 08:27
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$1.1K	610	610	+0	No	+$90	01-15 03:12
nba den cle 2026 01 02	6	$809	1,818	1,818	+0	Cavaliers	+$209	01-03 01:56
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	1	$735	0	815	-815	Yes	-$80	05-18 20:26
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	1	$518	2,700	0	+2,700	No	-$518	07-07 16:02
will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	2	$500	400	400	+0	Yes	+$300	01-31 16:46
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$444	11,111	11,111	+0	No	+$44	07-07 08:33
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	1	$399	0	1,125	-1,125	No	+$399	02-22 06:15
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$326	1,188	1,188	+0	No	+$30	02-11 07:47
atp rybakov berret 2026 03 02	6	$296	200	200	+0	Alex Rybakov	+$104	03-02 15:51
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$265	204	204	+0	Yes	+$65	02-09 02:23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$255	450	0	+450	No	-$255	07-09 18:18
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$212	848	0	+848	Yes	-$212	02-13 14:01
val pr1 nrg 2026 03 02	2	$206	200	200	+0	Paper Rex	+$10	03-02 18:14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	1,961	0	+1,961	No	-$200	05-28 19:17
lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 total games 3pt5	1	$200	270	0	+270	Under	-$200	07-07 09:32
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 29?	21	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	08-29 07:25
cs2 sparta ww 2026 03 02	2	$198	200	200	+0	WW Team	+$2	03-02 16:30
wta semenis day 2026 03 03	6	$196	400	0	+400	Kayla Day	+$4	03-03 12:12
nhl det nsh 2026 03 02	5	$196	400	0	+400	Red Wings	+$4	03-02 15:36
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	2	$194	400	0	+400	Clippers	+$6	03-02 19:58
cs2 nrg mnte 2026 03 02	9	$193	400	0	+400	Monte	+$7	03-02 11:11
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$183	317	317	+0	No	-$17	03-02 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 20:05:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb365bd…
10-16 14:05:27	cs2 100t sng2 2026 10 16	100 Thieves	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd1053b…
10-16 09:04:52	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	Liquid	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa4e13c…
10-16 07:04:46	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1df2b2…
10-16 06:04:46	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x16a4a9…
10-16 04:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2ca6ce…
10-15 23:34:16	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe09f9d…
10-15 22:04:12	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x08211f…
10-15 22:04:11	Flames vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x889e38…
10-15 15:33:40	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x518ceb…
10-15 13:33:38	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x026ec4…
10-15 12:03:19	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbaefc0…
10-15 12:03:17	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	BC.Game Esports	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x2f6d2c…
10-14 22:32:21	cs2 aur1 nip 2026 10 15	Aurora Gaming	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc697b0…
10-14 19:32:10	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe1b5e3…
10-14 06:30:47	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa05586…
10-14 04:30:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0c7c53…
10-13 04:28:47	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbfea62…
10-13 04:28:47	Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x3b75aa…
10-12 13:57:32	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xdcf708…
10-12 13:57:30	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc10858…
10-12 13:27:36	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7873eb…
10-12 11:27:20	Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x076dfe…
10-12 07:57:10	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xaf808b…
10-12 06:57:10	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x09bde8…
10-12 05:56:54	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x1b5d3a…
10-12 00:56:47	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf35c37…
10-12 00:56:45	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x10db98…
10-12 00:26:38	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xbd15e7…
10-11 19:56:16	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xbfd2ee…
10-11 08:25:07	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xedc294…
10-11 04:54:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2b8070…
10-11 00:24:43	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Falcons	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x02a087…
10-10 21:54:36	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x256e9d…
10-10 21:54:34	Lightning vs. Islanders	Lightning	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x31a945…
10-10 20:54:33	Spread: 49ers (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x1f0049…
10-10 19:24:24	Virginia Tech vs. California	Virginia Tech	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3df1dc…
10-10 19:24:22	Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt	Ole Miss	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd84a6a…
10-10 18:54:15	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf28811…
10-10 17:54:15	LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x156d75…
10-10 07:23:15	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa213da…
10-10 06:23:15	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x569c68…
10-09 21:22:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x3ad3f1…
10-09 18:52:41	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x61e9b9…
10-09 18:52:40	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x040d87…
10-09 16:22:12	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x91c440…
10-09 15:22:19	Columbia vs. Marist	Columbia	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9dd176…
10-09 12:22:07	cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 09 map handicap home 1pt5	FURIA	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb47d2e…
10-09 12:22:06	val 100t1 ns1 2026 10 09	100 Thieves	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc90cdb…
10-09 12:22:04	cs2 gl1 sin2 2026 10 09	GamerLegion	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xb1b850…
10-09 07:51:10	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2c77e1…
10-09 03:50:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x51602b…
10-08 16:20:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xffb18a…
10-08 16:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf4b464…
10-08 04:18:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x8b8804…
10-08 03:19:01	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb17a45…
10-06 22:47:14	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)	Islanders	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x082b42…
10-06 00:33:28	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6128ab…
10-06 00:33:20	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa1cacd…
10-06 00:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x093ddc…
10-06 00:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x80b043…
10-06 00:28:05	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd5487d…
10-06 00:28:04	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f0d05…
10-06 00:18:29	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb52e7f…
10-06 00:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x89f3fa…
10-06 00:15:13	Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)	Team Vitality	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xbdc0bd…
10-06 00:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfc2d62…
10-06 00:08:04	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xacfacb…
10-06 00:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x48137f…
10-05 23:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeb585d…
10-05 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x89fba8…
10-05 23:53:04	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5e0f7e…
10-05 23:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc81c79…
10-05 23:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda218f…
10-05 23:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x093f22…
10-05 23:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x8454d2…
10-05 23:23:04	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc66f36…
10-05 23:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x70d937…
10-05 23:18:11	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8d3622…
10-05 23:13:10	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x062d09…
10-05 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa61cd8…
10-05 23:08:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbe339d…
10-05 23:08:02	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x931cbd…
10-05 22:58:20	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xac50cf…
10-05 22:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40ebdf…
10-05 22:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x66ce5c…
10-05 22:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x69bb28…
10-05 22:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbfebf1…
10-05 22:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x23e09d…
10-05 22:43:31	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa60465…
10-05 22:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x42bc74…
10-05 22:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbe4f06…
10-05 22:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x91297a…
10-05 22:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x73b3fd…
10-05 22:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x628902…
10-05 22:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4ec440…
10-05 22:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8634d6…
10-05 22:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ac635…
10-05 22:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e3647…
10-05 21:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9c2c5f…