Short-Wrong — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

22 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$226

$226 lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 50% +$30

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down		+85	$26	0¢	$0	$-26	05-05 04:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	5	$77	130	+130	open	—	05-05 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	2	$40	52	+52	Down	+$12	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	5	$34	64	+64	open	—	05-05 14:32
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$26	85	+85	open	—	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	2	$25	52	+52	Down	+$27	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	1	$14	26	+26	open	—	05-05 10:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	2	$7	34	+34	Down	$-7	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	Up	$-2	05-05 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x745b87…
05-05 15:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x580aea…
05-05 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x379e72…
05-05 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x2295cb…
05-05 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x213e58…
05-05 14:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x4d539a…
05-05 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x55f1e6…
05-05 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xeb99af…
05-05 14:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x8a934a…
05-05 14:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x07834a…
05-05 10:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x3c1150…
05-05 04:50:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x1d782d…
05-05 04:50:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x965458…
05-05 04:49:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x4ec10a…
05-05 04:40:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6d85e9…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3afeed…
05-04 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4a328f…
05-04 23:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0xa33456…
05-04 22:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x8d62a8…
05-04 22:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xc0a4f9…
05-04 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x8c48e2…
05-04 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x9baa4c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	6	$2.01K	24	05-05 14:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	5	$2.82K	53	05-05 14:59
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	5	$1.58K	47	05-05 15:44
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	5	$706	11	05-05 15:12
Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e	4	$783	29	05-05 15:04
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	3	$640	7	05-05 15:04