(anonymous) 0xba0d25…84f656 Create alert
bot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
306
Trades
1,090
lifetime
Volume
$7.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 11-15 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
44% 7% -$36
Crypto
35% 64% -$31
Politics
14% 0% -$15
Tech
6% 0% $0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +150 $99 99¢ $149 +$50 11-03 14:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? No +100 $73 100¢ $100 +$26 11-03 22:53
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +85 $61 76¢ $65 +$4 11-11 13:39
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +80 $59 76¢ $60 +$2 11-04 20:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? No +98 $48 57¢ $56 +$8 11-10 23:11
Will Hy4 debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? Yes +90 $46 58¢ $53 +$7 11-07 08:34
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? No +70 $50 75¢ $53 +$3 11-13 17:53
Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? No +50 $43 100¢ $50 +$7 10-29 09:42
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +50 $35 92¢ $46 +$11 10-27 10:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +50 $30 90¢ $45 +$15 10-29 16:30
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $38 86¢ $43 +$4 10-29 17:52
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? Yes +98 $52 43¢ $42 -$10 11-10 23:11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +50 $38 80¢ $40 +$3 11-09 13:51
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +50 $28 80¢ $40 +$12 10-26 20:28
Will Broad Front (FA) win 9-11 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +55 $36 71¢ $39 +$3 11-11 05:46
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +50 $34 78¢ $39 +$5 11-14 19:23
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +59 $39 64¢ $38 -$1 11-14 01:05
Will Hy4 debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? No +90 $46 42¢ $37 -$9 11-07 08:35
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? No +50 $37 73¢ $37 $0 11-14 07:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +50 $25 72¢ $36 +$11 11-02 14:59
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +40 $31 88¢ $35 +$5 11-13 10:58
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +40 $32 88¢ $35 +$3 11-08 11:22
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? Yes +46 $30 74¢ $34 +$4 10-29 08:41
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +35 $31 93¢ $33 +$2 11-13 15:04
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $32 64¢ $32 +$0 11-13 19:21
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? No +50 $33 62¢ $31 -$2 11-05 17:50
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? Yes +42 $26 74¢ $31 +$5 11-08 01:58
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $33 77¢ $31 -$2 11-12 02:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? Yes +39 $29 78¢ $31 +$1 11-11 17:50
Will Dani win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final? No +59 $32 50¢ $30 -$2 11-08 19:22