Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.3%

Resolved (90d)

280

Trades (90d)

762

762 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.24K

$7.24K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-28 03:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

41% 11% -$20

Other

40% 0% -$18

Crypto

19% 67% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$631	603	603	+0	open	—	10-14 22:45
will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	20	$450	507	507	+0	open	—	09-15 17:55
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	4	$414	406	406	+0	open	—	09-30 18:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	2	$306	201	201	+0	open	—	10-15 20:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$304	201	201	+0	open	—	10-11 17:47
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$303	205	205	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 03:01
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$302	201	201	+0	open	—	10-25 05:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$298	233	233	+0	No	-$5	09-16 11:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$285	205	205	+0	No	-$2	09-24 11:47
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	8	$277	315	315	+0	Yes	+$4	09-14 20:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$271	201	201	+0	Yes	-$14	10-22 09:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$264	330	330	+0	open	—	09-14 15:17
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	2	$229	201	201	+0	open	—	10-26 23:15
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$183	201	201	+0	Yes	-$2	10-05 11:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$180	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$160	200	200	+0	No	+$0	09-04 11:20
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	2	$151	201	201	+0	open	—	10-02 06:55
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$95	100	100	+0	Yes	-$9	10-04 04:17
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	2	$94	80	80	+0	No	-$3	09-25 18:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	10-10 19:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 15:14
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$73	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-28 03:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	09-29 01:39
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 17:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	3	$62	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-27 23:52
laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	4	$56	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	09-08 13:29
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	2	$56	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	10-08 05:39
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	09-20 21:40
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$38	80	80	+0	open	—	10-02 20:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	4	$33	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-26 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:33:36	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x2448ac…
10-28 03:03:15	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x812ded…
10-27 23:52:14	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0x93401b…
10-27 22:15:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x1c17bf…
10-27 19:29:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb17ecc…
10-26 23:15:05	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	201	57¢	$115	0xf1ef75…
10-26 16:22:30	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	201	57¢	$115	0x41754f…
10-25 05:31:44	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x4fd839…
10-24 12:18:21	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x4d56c3…
10-24 11:45:00	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	75¢	$35	0x117545…
10-24 02:12:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	75¢	$151	0xf708cd…
10-22 09:39:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	64¢	$129	0x43ffb2…
10-21 15:24:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	71¢	$143	0x9193de…
10-20 05:48:54	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x31ecb8…
10-19 10:25:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x541237…
10-15 20:24:23	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0x6094f3…
10-15 19:09:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0xeb1624…
10-14 22:45:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	201	26¢	$52	0x9d0f22…
10-14 21:30:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	201	28¢	$56	0x2c6dfb…
10-11 17:47:19	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0x46e47d…
10-11 16:32:15	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	201	76¢	$153	0x4b06a5…
10-10 19:18:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xba3716…
10-10 18:03:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x224599…
10-08 05:39:22	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x647673…
10-08 04:26:01	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x1e2acb…
10-05 11:12:58	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	45¢	$90	0xd94b39…
10-05 10:37:53	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	46¢	$92	0x1a8566…
10-04 22:49:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	191	62¢	$118	0x0f4c10…
10-04 22:49:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x3c7f9a…
10-04 22:48:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	62¢	$125	0x453ffd…
10-04 04:17:35	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x330e0d…
10-04 03:42:17	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xe6516f…
10-03 05:26:27	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xf7f2d8…
10-03 04:51:23	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x41da9f…
10-02 20:01:26	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	80	22¢	$18	0x0509ea…
10-02 19:17:30	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x107272…
10-02 06:55:08	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	Yes	SELL	201	36¢	$72	0x08ee59…
10-02 04:14:59	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	201	39¢	$78	0x0e9282…
10-01 12:46:48	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x0f34db…
10-01 12:46:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc908cd…
09-30 18:43:32	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	201	57¢	$115	0x4a555a…
09-30 17:48:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	201	59¢	$119	0xda6b66…
09-30 17:33:41	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x4cf8c9…
09-30 17:26:08	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x51c261…
09-29 22:03:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x574b6a…
09-29 21:54:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd2a8a6…
09-29 19:33:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	201	68¢	$137	0xae34a5…
09-29 19:12:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	68¢	$137	0x263fb3…
09-29 01:39:20	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x977e26…
09-29 00:00:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x95f2d8…
09-28 06:32:11	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x6b5dcf…
09-28 06:32:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd3d246…
09-26 12:14:47	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	205	43¢	$88	0xf30209…
09-26 12:04:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	205	45¢	$92	0x0dee6d…
09-26 00:39:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xd446f8…
09-26 00:29:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe9ee80…
09-25 18:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	80	57¢	$45	0x346048…
09-25 18:08:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x42d579…
09-24 22:23:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x501eef…
09-24 22:23:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x842834…
09-24 11:47:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	205	69¢	$141	0x0caa7a…
09-24 11:47:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	205	70¢	$144	0x42d8c6…
09-23 15:14:23	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xf2d5ea…
09-23 15:14:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x90f1be…
09-23 11:39:58	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xdcf64e…
09-23 11:38:05	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6b8389…
09-22 21:52:58	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x3e1361…
09-22 21:52:46	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbf5af9…
09-22 07:56:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	51	29¢	$15	0x564bca…
09-22 07:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x01dc35…
09-21 19:54:01	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x9e83a2…
09-21 19:53:54	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1063f9…
09-20 21:40:25	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x01210d…
09-20 21:40:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xebbec4…
09-19 03:01:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	205	74¢	$152	0xfbd7a4…
09-19 02:46:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	205	74¢	$152	0x3920eb…
09-16 11:22:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	63¢	$147	0x5f5b1a…
09-16 11:22:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	233	65¢	$151	0xc61a0c…
09-15 17:55:46	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	SELL	142	45¢	$64	0xae3651…
09-15 15:18:52	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	BUY	45	52¢	$24	0x2b2cf6…
09-15 15:18:52	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x2b2cf6…
09-15 14:46:13	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x2baf91…
09-15 14:35:36	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xbe6c86…
09-15 14:34:43	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x13592c…
09-15 14:29:24	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb396f1…
09-15 14:28:57	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf8f31c…
09-15 14:28:15	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x2fb7b7…
09-15 14:24:48	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xdc3aba…
09-15 14:24:48	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	SELL	116	53¢	$62	0xdc3aba…
09-15 14:24:43	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xf10ea5…
09-15 14:23:36	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x6df3c6…
09-15 09:35:16	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	SELL	188	31¢	$58	0xf12d0b…
09-15 09:35:16	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf12d0b…
09-15 09:18:10	Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0xfde606…
09-15 08:41:48	Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0x0828f6…
09-14 20:57:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	64¢	$46	0x83eaa2…
09-14 20:33:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	No	SELL	244	39¢	$95	0x9b1468…
09-14 20:33:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x9b1468…
09-14 20:27:33	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	No	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x0cc74c…
09-14 20:22:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	No	BUY	62	38¢	$24	0x0a6af0…