Past-Alb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

415

Trades

5,029

lifetime

Volume

$32.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-25 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 68% $-151

Politics

7% — —

Other

6% 92% +$5

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 369 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes		+100	$8	0¢	$0	$-8	06-10 00:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	56	$550	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	04-14 17:16
btc updown 5m 1771352100	11	$235	4,209	169	+4,040	open	—	02-17 18:20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	15	$185	210	210	+0	open	—	04-18 10:23
btc updown 5m 1772288700	2	$178	91	91	+0	open	—	02-28 14:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$173	115	114	+1	open	—	04-16 23:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$172	97	97	+0	open	—	04-02 01:17
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	6	$171	109	109	+0	open	—	03-22 10:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$166	140	140	+0	open	—	04-13 21:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	22	$156	2,733	5,493	-2,761	open	—	04-21 00:12
btc updown 5m 1772384100	7	$147	106	105	+1	open	—	03-01 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	7	$147	130	30	+100	open	—	05-04 19:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	25	$131	2,080	1,937	+143	open	—	04-18 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$131	100	97	+3	open	—	04-28 08:08
btc updown 5m 1773531900	1	$114	115	0	+115	open	—	03-14 23:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$111	127	127	+0	open	—	03-31 17:01
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	5	$107	115	115	+0	open	—	04-06 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$104	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	05-06 11:10
btc updown 5m 1773522900	5	$101	110	0	+110	open	—	03-14 21:20
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$100	109	109	+0	open	—	04-06 21:53
btc updown 5m 1773513300	6	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 18:40
btc updown 5m 1773530700	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 23:30
btc updown 5m 1773521100	6	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 20:50
btc updown 5m 1773516300	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 19:30
btc updown 5m 1773520500	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 20:40
btc updown 5m 1773518700	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 20:10
btc updown 5m 1773515700	5	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 19:20
btc updown 5m 1773515400	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 19:15
btc updown 5m 1773513600	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 18:45
btc updown 5m 1773519300	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 20:20
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	27	$98	1,514	3,214	-1,700	open	—	04-21 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 21:27:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,440	0¢	$22	0x9b2bd5…
06-22 17:57:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,440	0¢	$27	0x93b918…
06-22 17:50:32	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	Yes	BUY	1,400	2¢	$31	0x265920…
06-15 04:16:27	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x780c58…
06-14 20:21:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	800	1¢	$7	0x863372…
06-11 20:00:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xd5c54e…
06-11 07:36:09	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x40350c…
06-11 07:36:04	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x1ba419…
06-11 07:36:00	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x4824ac…
06-11 07:35:54	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x5d260e…
06-10 06:46:03	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xafd019…
06-10 06:42:10	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc4991b…
06-10 00:46:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x6ce2c7…
06-09 20:36:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x8cc4f2…
06-09 19:36:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$7	0x378c04…
06-09 19:34:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1396d6…
06-09 19:31:28	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x2644b5…
06-09 16:41:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	140	16¢	$22	0x23ee6f…
06-08 23:23:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	140	13¢	$18	0x7db087…
06-07 12:49:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	150	9¢	$14	0xf78eea…
06-06 06:15:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xc622e7…
06-05 22:58:39	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xccd57b…
06-05 21:29:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x7e73a9…
06-05 21:23:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	76	9¢	$7	0x2e6e30…
06-05 18:41:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	178	3¢	$5	0xc125df…
06-05 18:25:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	222	3¢	$6	0xcbff1b…
06-05 18:04:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xcac83e…
06-05 16:13:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xa8ccd0…
06-05 16:06:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$11	0x5f378e…
06-05 08:11:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	264	2¢	$6	0x1ae7be…
06-05 07:52:37	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x577f7f…
06-05 07:34:31	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4ab828…
06-05 07:32:57	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc9cfcc…
06-05 07:12:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4d6a0b…
06-05 07:03:30	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x0ec76a…
06-05 07:03:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x7e8e67…
06-05 02:41:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xa87fc6…
06-03 22:45:43	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x1590b0…
05-17 01:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc13927…
05-17 01:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf79df5…
05-12 19:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x7f8685…
05-12 19:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0b7cd4…
05-12 19:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf34427…
05-12 19:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xb230cd…
05-12 19:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf80627…
05-12 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xeef616…
05-12 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x29a49e…
05-12 19:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x60be49…
05-12 19:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xedbc52…
05-12 18:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe39be8…
05-12 18:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x5e8e8a…
05-12 18:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x216d61…
05-12 18:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x87a6b9…
05-12 18:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xef19fd…
05-12 18:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb57ee8…
05-12 18:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7eb80d…
05-11 19:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbffea5…
05-11 19:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xfcd5f2…
05-11 19:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf68f7e…
05-11 19:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe48047…
05-11 19:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xa5065d…
05-11 19:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x953b5e…
05-11 19:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x097148…
05-11 19:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xd06132…
05-11 19:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7aea42…
05-11 19:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x99de3e…
05-11 19:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x81a8b2…
05-11 19:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	334	10¢	$33	0xe68495…
05-11 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	4¢	$7	0x337a08…
05-11 19:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x190d62…
05-11 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xe1a406…
05-11 19:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc2a982…
05-11 19:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6711e6…
05-11 19:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xae1157…
05-11 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xffbca7…
05-11 19:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x81411e…
05-11 19:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe1751f…
05-11 19:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x725ff2…
05-11 19:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x4d78cb…
05-11 19:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x14a662…
05-11 18:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x719430…
05-11 18:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x793bbc…
05-11 18:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xc29009…
05-11 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcacd14…
05-11 09:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0x95f75d…
05-11 09:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x23833a…
05-11 08:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe32849…
05-11 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0xefa1dd…
05-11 07:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0xb9d7d8…
05-11 07:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x45aec1…
05-11 03:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xadb2ee…
05-11 03:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0xaeb8d7…
05-11 03:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfa5dce…
05-11 03:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xbdbcf3…
05-11 03:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x85dda6…
05-11 02:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0x7e7f4e…
05-11 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xf238e6…
05-11 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xe9550d…
05-11 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb7bfc2…
05-11 00:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x8d5c2e…