Past-Alb — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$425

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

121

6,513 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.22K

$44.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-02 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 69% -$1,448

Politics

5% 58% +$107

Other

5% 82% +$50

Tech

1% 62% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	21	$594	900	0	+900	Down	-$594	08-17 00:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	56	$550	1,391	1,391	+0	No	-$5	04-14 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	28	$260	440	0	+440	Up	+$181	08-16 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:15 UTC	11	$235	4,209	169	+4,040	Down	-$11	02-17 18:20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	15	$185	210	210	+0	No	+$5	04-18 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:25 UTC	2	$178	91	91	+0	Down	+$2	02-28 14:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$173	115	114	+1	Yes	+$1	04-16 23:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$172	97	97	+0	No	+$6	04-02 01:17
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	6	$171	109	109	+0	No	+$15	03-22 10:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$166	140	140	+0	No	+$37	04-13 21:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	22	$156	2,733	5,493	-2,761	Yes	+$55	04-21 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:55 UTC	7	$147	106	105	+1	Up	+$2	03-01 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	7	$147	130	30	+100	Down	+$3	05-04 19:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	25	$131	2,080	1,937	+143	No	+$11	04-18 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$131	100	97	+3	Up	+$8	04-28 08:08
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	44	$125	4,710	3,393	+1,318	No	-$2	06-26 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:45 UTC	1	$114	115	0	+115	Down	+$1	03-14 23:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$111	127	127	+0	Yes	+$9	03-31 17:01
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	5	$107	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$104	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	05-06 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:15 UTC	5	$101	110	0	+110	Up	-$1	03-14 21:20
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$100	109	109	+0	No	$0	04-06 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:10 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-14 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:35 UTC	6	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-14 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:15 UTC	5	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-14 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC	6	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-14 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:25 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-14 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-14 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:15 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-14 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:35 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-14 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 23:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8c7bd7…
10-02 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa0ef24…
10-02 17:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x17cf6c…
10-02 17:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x00c849…
10-02 17:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xddccd1…
10-02 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xad66dc…
10-02 17:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x85a730…
10-02 17:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x6db110…
10-02 17:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x26d369…
10-02 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x576d3b…
10-02 16:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x7e1ee1…
10-02 16:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe1b62a…
10-02 16:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78b508…
10-02 15:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x26aa9c…
10-02 14:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x93515d…
10-02 13:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x099886…
10-02 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x866e56…
10-02 12:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x19ffbb…
10-02 09:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe87c47…
10-02 09:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4900d4…
10-02 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7f67e9…
10-02 07:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x898fc8…
10-02 07:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8438fc…
10-02 07:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8bc248…
10-02 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xe60a4e…
10-02 07:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x102a96…
10-02 07:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x8c11e8…
10-02 07:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x29e687…
10-02 06:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e989f…
10-02 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd82721…
10-02 04:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x288c05…
10-02 03:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1c3369…
10-02 03:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8198df…
10-02 02:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x092b17…
10-02 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4f913b…
10-02 02:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xef818c…
10-02 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x01a933…
10-02 02:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7a7840…
10-02 02:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6fd1ce…
10-02 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xd81131…
10-02 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x182e0f…
10-02 02:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x523a3a…
10-02 02:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x3ec1f6…
10-02 02:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x63167d…
10-02 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x525568…
10-02 01:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdbfa8d…
10-02 01:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x4b6367…
10-02 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xe34480…
10-02 00:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5a523b…
10-02 00:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb416f0…
10-02 00:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xf243c7…
10-01 23:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa4cdd9…
10-01 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd0ec60…
10-01 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7b516b…
10-01 23:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xeb7d47…
10-01 20:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xbf7d9b…
10-01 20:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x928e7f…
10-01 20:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x446075…
10-01 20:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xd3c4e2…
10-01 20:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x038c73…
10-01 19:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2976cb…
10-01 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1db061…
10-01 18:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x8bf1a6…
10-01 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd254ed…
10-01 10:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1a5edc…
10-01 07:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5aa409…
10-01 01:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x946d22…
09-30 23:26:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x77a2cd…
09-30 22:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x911c56…
09-30 22:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5b2862…
08-17 00:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0x866322…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xfb3e2c…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf18e88…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd8bdc0…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc2bcd5…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0xadd987…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x8899f4…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	55	66¢	$37	0x65e94c…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x56fa11…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	123	66¢	$81	0x44ff8a…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x2fedd6…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x26a588…
08-17 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x0491da…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa76fcc…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xa5132f…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5bde4e…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x44358e…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x246cc5…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x17655d…
08-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x09e796…
08-17 00:21:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0xa595c4…
08-16 13:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xc3ff3c…
08-16 13:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x54532c…
08-16 13:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3cd492…
08-16 13:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x046cff…
08-16 13:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd9dcd8…
08-16 13:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x7e2fcc…
08-16 13:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7a16c3…
08-16 13:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x080220…
08-16 13:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xca5c19…