(anonymous) 0xba71c9…84e31b Create alert
new 10W streak
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$331
Hit rate
95.9%
Resolved (90d)
109
Trades (90d)
677
677 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.2K
$15.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$5.40K
29 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
53% 89% +$9
Other
40% 79% -$7
Sports
6% 100% +$21
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1,045 $893 100¢ $1.0K +$152 11-04 00:07
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +996 $985 100¢ $995 +$10 10-31 09:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +661 $660 100¢ $660 $0 11-04 14:37
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +360 $357 99¢ $357 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +352 $351 100¢ $352 +$1 11-04 03:44
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +321 $317 100¢ $321 +$4 11-04 01:38
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +310 $310 100¢ $310 +$0 11-04 04:06
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +271 $271 100¢ $271 $0 11-04 03:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas? No +212 $211 100¢ $211 $0 11-02 22:58
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +180 $16 94¢ $168 +$152 11-04 04:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +127 $114 89¢ $114 $0 10-31 20:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +109 $89 100¢ $109 +$21 11-04 06:54
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +107 $104 100¢ $106 +$2 11-02 22:44
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? No +78 $78 100¢ $78 +$0 10-30 22:38
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +76 $73 99¢ $75 +$2 10-31 15:41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +120 $65 54¢ $65 +$0 11-04 16:12
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 11-04 01:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-30 22:11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-30 23:08
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +39 $21 52¢ $20 -$1 10-31 23:54
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18 $15 85¢ $15 +$0 11-01 08:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +14 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 11-01 20:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-02 20:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +27 $0 8¢ $2 +$2 11-04 13:36
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw? No +23 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-04 15:10
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw? No +6 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-04 14:04
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +22 $13 1¢ $0 -$13 11-02 05:26
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? No +6 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-04 11:20